Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Polymarket Politics › Congress Closes Jan 3, 2027 · $3.6K today · $1.8M traded · $226K at stake · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

11%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 7% on Oct 20, 11% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 11% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 $1.8M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mitch McConnell, Senate

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  • Senator Mitch McConnell, 81, hospitalized after collapsing in hotelSandra Rose · 3 days agoSenate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was hospitalized on Wednesday after falling in a hotel, his office announced. The Republican Party leader from Kentucky had attended a private dinner when he “tripped and fell” at a swanky hotel in…
  • Mitch McConnell and Willie Nelson go to war over 'existential crisis'Alternet.org · 3 days agoTheir battle is coming to a head as December brings a fast-approaching deadline. Mitch McConnell and Willie Nelson go to war over 'existential crisis' Willie Nelson / Marco Bello / REUTERS In recent months, one stony issue has pitted…
  • An existential threat to THC drinks pits Willie Nelson against Mitch McConnellLos Angeles Times · 3 days agoThe $1.5 billion hemp drink market pioneered by legendary stoners like Cheech & Chong and Willie Nelson is facing an existential crisis, unless lawmakers in Washington strike a deal overturning legislation poised to make the…
  • California’s road to recovery runs through D.C. RepublicansPOLITICO · 14 h agoBy Jeremy B. White 05/07/2020 08:44 PM EDT OAKLAND — California has come to a conclusion around its budget in the pandemic era: Only the feds can save us now. Gov. Gavin Newsom and his financial advisers have long warned that the federal…
  • Who's running for Mitch McConnell’s Kentucky U.S. Senate seat?WLWT · 6 days agoKentucky voters will elect their first new U.S. senator in more than four decades on Nov. 3, as longtime Republican Sen. Mitch McConnell prepares to leave office. The two candidates met for a debate in the weeks leading up to the election…
  • The Kentucky Canary in the Coal Mine for RepublicansNewsweek · 3 days agoOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT When you think of Kentucky, you probably think of horse racing and bourbon. On election night, the state’s 6th Congressional District will be one of the first competitive House races out of the gate, and the…
  • Rand Paul plans Patriot Act filibuster in Senate@ConstitutionCtr · 36 h agoMay 12, 2015 | by NCC Staff Senator Rand Paul and a few colleagues will try to block an extension of the controversial Patriot Act provisions using a filibuster, Paul confirmed Monday in an interview. Paul, a Republican from Kentucky, told…
  • Meet the 'Ruthless Podcast' FellasFox News · 3 days agoThe co-hosts of the "Ruthless Podcast" are Josh Holmes, Comfortably Smug (aka Shashank Tripathi), Michael Duncan and John Ashbrook. (Ruthless/Fox News) The "Ruthless Podcast" has filled a massive void in the political media landscape for…
  • 9 US Senate races could determine control of the chamberFox News · 13 h agoThe Ben Shapiro Show’ host Ben Shapiro joins ‘One Nation’ to discuss nine U.S. Senate races that could determine control of the Senate, Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed and the 2028 presidential election. 9 US Senate…
  • Iowa’s Senate rivals pitch independence from their partiesPOLITICO · 14 h agoAshley Hinson qualified her pledge to be Trump’s strongest ally, while Josh Turek praised the president’s border record. U.S. Senate candidate Josh Turek speaks during a debate with his Republican opponent, Ashley Hinson, on Oct. 7, 2026…
  • Trump calls Michigan Senate candidate El-Sayed a ‘jihadist’Fox News · 18 h agoPresident Donald Trump speaks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, about Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, his family’s alleged support for terrorist organizations and Trump’s characterization of El-Sayed as a ‘jihadist.’ Trump…
  • Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midtermsFox News · 20 h agoFox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on the closely watched Ohio Senate and governor races ahead of the midterm elections. Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midterms Fox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions