Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Hakeem Jeffries
90%
90¢
91¢
$1.10
$7.1K
Mike Johnson
4%
3¢
6¢
$16.13
$356
Steve Scalise
2%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
$236
Katherine Clark
2%
1¢
4¢
$26.32
$331
Jim Jordan
2%
1¢
3¢
$29.41
$292
Pete Aguilar
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
$658
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Cait Conley calls Mike Lawler a ‘Trump puppet’ while dancing to Hakeem Jeffries’ tuneNew York Post · 43 h agoThere’s a contradiction at the heart of Democrat Cait Conley’s campaign to unseat incumbent Republican Mike Lawler in New York’s 17th congressional district. On the one hand, Conley is making the case that Lawler, or, as she calls him…
Mike Johnson is a complete and shameless liarDaily Kos · 39 h ago“They’re not even within 100 miles of Baghdad. They are not in any place. They hold no place in Iraq. This is an illusion… they are trying to sell to the others an illusion.” – Mohammed Saeed al-Sahaf (Baghdad Bob) A good politician is not…
Fox News Shows Mike Johnson That He Is About To Be UnemployedPoliticusUSA · 45 h agoSpeaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-LA) is not dealing with his looming unemployment well. Johnson has slipped into a state that borders on delusion, and he recently claimed to Punchbowl News that he hasn’t thought about what he will do…
Jeffries: Democrats "on the verge of taking back control" of the Housecnn.com · 46 h agoCNN's Manu Raju hits the campaign trail in California with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who could be just months away from becoming the first Black speaker of the House of Representatives. While confident, Jeffries is also…
Trump Claims Ilhan Omar’s Seat ‘Conceded’ By DemocratsNewsweek · 2 days agoOct 25, 2026 at 01:04 PM EDT U.S. President Donald Trump declared Representative Ilhan Omar’s seat “conceded” by Democrats over federal court filings referring to her as Ilhan Nur Said Elmi, a name Omar has denied is hers. Prosecutors…
Speaker Johnson Says Dem-Favoring House Polls Are Faultyredstate.com · 38 h agoThere are plenty of reasons for Republicans to temper their optimism for their prospects of holding the House of Representatives in next week's midterm elections. The polls all look to favor a Democrat takeover, at least of the House, if…
Speaker Johnson on Forecasts of a Democratic House: ‘These Polls Are Off’@cdnnow · 36 h agoHouse Speaker Mike Johnson on Sunday dismissed forecasts showing Democrats favored to win the House, saying the polls behind them are wrong. “I’m telling you, these polls are off — all of them — because they’re using faulty analysis,”…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
