Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? (Before election day 2026)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Nov 3 · $311 today · $40.3K traded · $14.2K at stake · prices read 13 min ago

The odds

1%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 1% on Oct 20, 1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 1¢ $100.00 4.0M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mitch McConnell

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  • California’s road to recovery runs through D.C. RepublicansPOLITICO · 54 min agoBy Jeremy B. White 05/07/2020 08:44 PM EDT OAKLAND — California has come to a conclusion around its budget in the pandemic era: Only the feds can save us now. Gov. Gavin Newsom and his financial advisers have long warned that the federal…
  • Trump Seethes That ‘Fox is Doing Little to Help’ Republicans Win the Election — Hours After Appearing on the Network for a Fawning InterviewMediaite · 8 h agoPresident Donald Trump seethed on Sunday over Fox News giving air time to Democrats in the lead-up to the consequential midterm elections. “FoxNews is spending far too much time putting on the OPPONENTS of Republican Party Candidates…
  • Willie Nelson’s $200 Million THC Drinks Brand Faces a Federal BanCEOWORLD Magazine · 4 h agoWillie Nelson’s Remedy+, a line of THC-infused seltzers, shots and bottled drinks sold under Willie Nelson’s name, has become one of the fastest-growing brands in the American hemp beverage market. Greg Serrao, chief executive of partner…
  • An existential threat to THC drinks pits Willie Nelson against Mitch McConnellLos Angeles Times · 2 days agoThe $1.5 billion hemp drink market pioneered by legendary stoners like Cheech & Chong and Willie Nelson is facing an existential crisis, unless lawmakers in Washington strike a deal overturning legislation poised to make the…
  • Mitch McConnell and Willie Nelson go to war over 'existential crisis'Alternet.org · 2 days agoTheir battle is coming to a head as December brings a fast-approaching deadline. Mitch McConnell and Willie Nelson go to war over 'existential crisis' Willie Nelson / Marco Bello / REUTERS In recent months, one stony issue has pitted…
  • Senator Mitch McConnell, 81, hospitalized after collapsing in hotelSandra Rose · 3 days agoSenate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was hospitalized on Wednesday after falling in a hotel, his office announced. The Republican Party leader from Kentucky had attended a private dinner when he “tripped and fell” at a swanky hotel in…
  • Rand Paul plans Patriot Act filibuster in Senate@ConstitutionCtr · 22 h agoMay 12, 2015 | by NCC Staff Senator Rand Paul and a few colleagues will try to block an extension of the controversial Patriot Act provisions using a filibuster, Paul confirmed Monday in an interview. Paul, a Republican from Kentucky, told…
  • Politics MondayPBS News · 35 h agoAmy Walter and Tamara Keith kick off the week with an in-depth discussion of the latest political news. NPR’s Tamara Keith and Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter join Geoff Bennett to discuss the latest political news…
  • Suspicious bruising on Trump spreads to his face as speculation aboundsDrudge Retort · 34 h agoPresident Donald Trump showed up Friday with a fresh bruise on his left temple, on top of bruising on both hands, and the sight set off new speculation about his health, the Daily Beast reported. Posted by reinheitsgebot at 12:32 PM | 5…
  • The Kentucky Canary in the Coal Mine for RepublicansNewsweek · 2 days agoOct 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT When you think of Kentucky, you probably think of horse racing and bourbon. On election night, the state’s 6th Congressional District will be one of the first competitive House races out of the gate, and the…
  • Meet the 'Ruthless Podcast' FellasFox News · 2 days agoThe co-hosts of the "Ruthless Podcast" are Josh Holmes, Comfortably Smug (aka Shashank Tripathi), Michael Duncan and John Ashbrook. (Ruthless/Fox News) The "Ruthless Podcast" has filled a massive void in the political media landscape for…
  • Matt Friend turns ‘Thursday Night Football’ political in ‘The Friend Zone’ debutAwful Announcing · 2 days agoThe Chicago Bears defeated the visiting New England Patriots at Soldier Field on Prime Video’s Thursday Night Football. Afterward, comedian Matt Friend, a native Chicagoan, debuted “The Friend Zone with Matt Friend” on TNF Nightcap. Before…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions