How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
KalshiPolitics › CongressCloses Jan 3, 2027 · $438 today · $44.1K traded · $25K at stake · prices read 6 min ago
The odds
239.7median
206254
Median239.7Middle half230.2 – 247.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 235.9 on Oct 20, 239.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
At least 210
96%
94¢
98¢
$1.02
3.9K
At least 214
96%
94¢
97¢
$1.03
4.3K
At least 218
91%
89¢
93¢
$1.08
3.6K
At least 222
90%
▲ 1
88¢
92¢
$1.09
6.1K
At least 226
83%
▲ 2
81¢
85¢
$1.18
9.0K
At least 230
76%
▼ 1
74¢
77¢
$1.30
3.8K
At least 234
66%
▼ 3
63¢
68¢
$1.47
5.2K
At least 238
56%
56¢
57¢
$1.75
7.1K
At least 242
42%
41¢
42¢
$2.38
9.2K
At least 246
31%
30¢
31¢
$3.23
9.6K
At least 250
18%
▼ 2
17¢
19¢
$5.26
16.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions