Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks? (Before Jan 21, 2029)
KalshiPolitics › CongressCloses Jan 20, 2029 · $4 today · $19.7K traded · $6.2K at stake · prices read 31 min ago
The odds
44%Before Jan 21, 2029
Before Jan 1, 20275%
Before Jul 1, 202719%
Before Jan 1, 202830%
Before Jan 21, 202944%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 6% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
5%
5¢
6¢
$17.24
127.3K
Before Jul 1, 2027
19%
18¢
19¢
$5.26
276
Before Jan 1, 2028
30%
28¢
32¢
$3.13
536
Before Jan 21, 2029
44%
43¢
45¢
$2.22
28.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
AOC wants next Congress to investigate top Trump officialsCNN · 2 days agoCNN AOC wants next Congress to investigate top Trump officials While campaigning in Maine with Democrat Troy Jackson, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said she wants the next Congress to open investigations into the heads of major federal…
These midterm races could shift the balance of power in CongressCBS News · 2 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Key midterm races…
Europeans aren’t betting on a Democratic Congress to save UkrainePOLITICO · 3 days agoEven a congressional shift in power won’t significantly change Ukraine’s future. President Donald Trump, right, shakes the hand of Russia's President Vladimir Putin during a joint press conference at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson…
Poll: Voters want Congress to be a check on Trump, trust Democrats more on issuesNPR · 3 days agoVoters have record low trust in Republicans' ability to handle their top issues like immigration and rising prices, according to the latest Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll shared with NPR. The poll also finds a strong majority of voters…
Police investigate suspicious mail sent to 3 Illinois members of CongressCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Police investigate…
President Trump vows to spend millions to keep Republicans in control of CongressCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change President Trump vows to spend millions to keep Republicans in control of Congress Brad Lander says he was detained by IDF…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
