Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
10%chance▲ 2
Install
Will Ilhan Omar cast a recorded House vote before December? (Before Dec 1, 2026)
The odds
76%chance▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Yes: 45% on Oct 23, 76% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76% | ▼ 4 | 75¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 1.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ilhan Omar, House
Search ›-
Ilhan Omar dodges questions linked to immigration probeFox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar's path to U.S. citizenship and campaign finances. Ilhan Omar dodges questions linked to immigration probe Fox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on the… -
3 clues Ilhan Omar had sham marriage to brotherRepresentative Ilhan Omar has continued to deny allegations she fraudulently married her alleged brother Ahmed Elmi (el-mee) – but when asked if they were related this week, she cautiously replied: “not to my knowledge.” The Minnesota… -
Rep Ilhan Omar ducks questions tied to federal immigration probeRep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., faces a DOJ probe into her citizenship and immigration status. Criminal defense attorney Ken Belkin joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to analyze the allegations and potential legal implications. Rep Ilhan Omar ducks… -
This is not a laughing matter for Ilhan Omar, law professor saysLaw professor John Yoo discusses the legal probe into Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., on ‘The Will Cain Show.’ ... This is not a laughing matter for Ilhan Omar, law professor says Law professor John Yoo discusses the legal probe into Rep. Ilhan… -
Kevin McCarthy warns Rep Ilhan Omar can 'lose her citizenship' amid federal probeFox News Kevin McCarthy warns Rep Ilhan Omar can 'lose her citizenship' amid federal probe Former Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss the increased scrutiny facing Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., after a… -
GREGG JARRETT: Ilhan Omar could face indictment, denaturalization and deportationFox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett breaks down the legal woes Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., could be facing on ‘Hannity.’ Lies, particularly spectacular ones, inevitably crumble over time when subject to scrutiny. A case in point is Rep… -
Trump calls for Ilhan Omar's RESIGNATION'Lock her up!' chants erupt from the crowd at President Donald Trump's Iowa rally as he calls on Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar to resign from Congress. Trump calls for Ilhan Omar's RESIGNATION 'Lock her up!' chants erupt from the crowd at… -
Explosive new details in Ilhan Omar investigationU.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro says Ilhan Omar is not the real name of the Minnesota lawmaker. Omar's office denies the allegation amid a federal investigation. Explosive new details in Ilhan Omar investigation U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro… -
Trump GOES AFTER Ilhan Omar at rallyPresident Donald Trump mocks Rep. Ilhan Omar's "not to my knowledge" response when asked whether she was related to her former husband, bringing up the viral exchange during his campaign rally in Iowa ... Trump GOES AFTER Ilhan Omar at… -
Ilhan Omar makes first public appearance following federal raid'Outnumbered' panel discuss Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., making her first public appearance since a federal raid on her Washington, D.C., home as part of an immigration investigation. Ilhan Omar makes first public appearance following federal… -
Court documents reportedly list Rep. Ilhan Omar under different nameElection Transparency Initiative chairman Ken Cuccinelli discusses reports of court documents listing Rep. Ilhan Omar under a different name. Court documents reportedly list Rep. Ilhan Omar under different name Election Transparency… -
WATCH: Ilhan Omar sets record straight on her name amid conflicting reportsRep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., told Fox News Digital that her real name is "Ilhan Adbullahi Omar" after a federal court filing identified the embattled congresswoman under the name "Ilhan Nur Said Elmi." (Credit: Rashid Umar Abbasi for Fox News…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions