Trump administration odds

Every Trump administration market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.

781 open markets · $729K traded today

Trending trump administration markets

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

81%Vladimir Putin
  • Vladimir Putin81%▼ 1
  • Mohammed bin Salman72%
  • Kim Jong Un21%▼ 3
  • Aleksandr Lukashenko11%▼ 2
10 more
  • Changpeng Zhao7%
  • King Mohammed VI6%
  • iShowSpeed5%
  • MrBeast5%
  • Yoon Suk Yeol4%
  • Lai Ching-te4%
  • Nick Fuentes4%
  • Nicolás Maduro3%
  • Pope Leo XIV3%
  • Jair Bolsonaro2%
PolymarketCloses Dec 31 · $6.2K today · $1.4M traded

Maduro Prison Time?

55%No prison time
  • No prison time55%
  • 60+22%▲ 1
  • <208%
  • 40–605%
1 more
  • 20–403%▼ 1
PolymarketCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $4.3K today · $932K traded

Will Trump be impeached? (Before 2028)

Jul 16, 2027even chance by
  • Before Jan 1, 20273%
  • Before Feb 1, 202717%▲ 1
  • Before Mar 1, 202730%▲ 1
  • Before Apr 1, 202736%▲ 1
6 more
  • Before May 1, 202741%
  • Before Jun 1, 202743%▼ 1
  • Before Jul 1, 202748%▼ 1
  • Before Aug 1, 202753%
  • Before Oct 1, 202764%
  • Before Jan 1, 202866%
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2028 · $2.6K today · $986K traded

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

99%Andy Burnham
  • Andy Burnham99%
  • Friedrich Merz99%▲ 9
  • Ursula von der Leyen98%▲ 11
  • Mark Rutte30%▼ 1
13 more
  • Ahmed al-Sharaa23%▲ 1
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy19%▼ 5
  • Lula da Silva13%▼ 1
  • Xi Jinping6%▼ 1
  • Maria Corina Machado4%▲ 1
  • Pope Leo XIV3%
  • Yoon Suk Yeol3%▲ 1
  • Kim Jong Un3%▼ 1
  • Miguel Díaz-Canel3%
  • Masoud Pezeshkian2%
  • Reza Pahlavi2%
  • Mojtaba Khamenei2%
  • Nicolás Maduro1%
PolymarketCloses Oct 31 · $7.8K today · $26K traded

Next Press Secretary?

26%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly26%
  • Scott Jennings8%
  • Maria Bartiromo5%
  • Elizabeth Pipko4%▼ 2
27 more
  • Lara Trump4%▼ 1
  • Natalie Harp4%▲ 1
  • Karoline Leavitt4%▲ 2
  • Beni Rae Harmony4%
  • Harrison Fields3%▲ 1
  • Margo Martin3%▼ 1
  • Laura Loomer3%▲ 1
  • Hogan Gidley3%▲ 2
  • Kayleigh McEnany3%
  • Taylor Rogers2%
  • Katie Pavlich2%
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%
  • Kari Lake2%
  • Katie Miller2%▼ 1
  • Monica Crowley2%
  • Steven Cheung2%
  • Alina Habba1%
  • Liz Huston1%
  • Lauren Bis1%
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
  • Matthew Boyle<1%
  • Spencer Pratt<1%
  • Kush Desai<1%
  • Kaelan Dorr<1%
  • Ari Fleischer<1%
  • Pat Adams<1%
  • Jake Paul<1%
PolymarketCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $7.7K today · $253K traded

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

71%Ric Grenell
  • Ric Grenell71%
  • Susie Wiles37%▼ 1
  • Doug Collins31%
  • Amy Gleason30%
27 more
  • Pete Hegseth27%
  • Bill Pulte24%
  • Kash Patel18%▲ 1
  • Steve Witkoff18%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins17%
  • Linda McMahon16%▼ 2
  • Howard Lutnick16%
  • Mike Huckabee16%
  • Peter Navarro14%
  • Tom Homan14%▼ 1
  • Chris Wright14%
  • Scott Turner14%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.13%
  • John Ratcliffe13%▼ 1
  • Rodney Scott13%
  • Sean Duffy12%▼ 1
  • Jamieson Greer12%
  • Russell Vought12%
  • Steven Cheung12%
  • Brendan Carr11%
  • Stephen Miller11%
  • Mehmet Oz11%▼ 1
  • Doug Burgum11%▼ 3
  • Kelly Loeffler10%
  • Marco Rubio9%▼ 1
  • Scott Bessent6%
  • Lee Zeldin6%

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

23%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly23%▼ 4
  • Scott Jennings9%▲ 2
  • Elizabeth Pipko5%
  • Kari Lake3%▼ 1
56 more
  • Danielle Alvarez3%
  • Margo Martin3%
  • Ben Ferguson3%▲ 1
  • Alina Habba2%
  • Roma Daravi2%
  • Katie Miller2%
  • Maria Bartiromo2%▼ 1
  • Beni Rae Harmony2%
  • Steven Cheung1%▲ 1
  • Jason Miller1%
  • Laura Loomer1%▼ 1
  • Tricia McLaughlin1%▼ 1
  • Harrison Fields1%▼ 1
  • Sage Steele1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • No new person1%▼ 1
  • Liz Huston1%
  • Natalie Harp1%
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
  • Spencer Pratt1%
  • Lara Trump1%
  • Jayme Franklin1%
  • Erika Kirk1%
  • Matthew Boyle1%
  • Taylor Budowich1%
  • Monica Crowley1%
  • Kush Desai1%
  • Ari Fleischer1%
  • Benny Johnson1%
  • Matt Walsh1%
  • Ben Shapiro1%
  • Jack Posobiec1%
  • Mike Cernovich1%
  • Dan Bongino1%
  • Kayleigh McEnany1%
  • Taylor Rogers1%
  • Hogan Gidley1%
  • Katie Pavlich1%
  • Lauren Bis1%
  • Pat Adams1%
  • Kaelan Dorr1%
  • Vanessa Broussard1%
  • Cara Castronuova1%
  • Mark Levin1%
  • Logan Paul1%
  • Jake Paul1%
  • Eric Daugherty1%
  • Erin Elmore Scavino1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard1%
  • Peter Doocy1%
  • Sean Spicer1%
  • Karoline Leavitt1%
  • Marco Rubio1%
  • Kat Timpf1%
  • Kaylee McGhee White1%
  • George Santos1%
KalshiCloses Jan 27, 2029 · $8.5K today · $141K traded

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions