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Trump out as President before 2027?
The odds
4%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $13.2M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
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President Trump continues midterm election ralliesCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballotsPresident Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump deliver remarks after casting their early voting ballots in West Palm Beach, Fla. President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballots President Donald Trump and first lady… -
President Trump speaks out against Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
President Trump rallies for Michigan Republicans at Port Huron gatheringOctober 25, 2026 / 5:58 PM EDT / CBS Detroit President Trump is making his case for Republican candidates in Michigan; he spoke at a rally in Port Huron on Sunday ahead of the Nov. 3 midterm elections. During his speech at McMorran Place… -
President Trump and first lady Melania Trump vote early in West Palm BeachA hoarse-sounding President Trump and first lady Melania Trump voted early in West Palm Beach on Saturday – as Trump vowed to keep up the vigorous campaign schedule A hoarse-sounding President Trump cast his ballot alongside first lady… -
Brazil elections: Voters choose between President Lula and Trump ally BolsonaroBrazilians go to the polls as President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and right-wing Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of jailed former president Jair Bolsonaro, face off in a presidential runoff. Brazil elections: Voters choose between President… -
President Trump: Police in France aren’t allowed to do their jobPresident Donald Trump argued that open border policies led to widespread riots in France during a rally in Perry, Ga. President Trump: Police in France aren’t allowed to do their job President Donald Trump argued that open border policies… -
President Trump says Democratic leadership would lead to protests seen in FranceFox News President Trump says Democratic leadership would lead to protests seen in France President Donald Trump targeted Sen. John Ossoff, D-Ga., during a rally in Perry, Ga. -
Trump reflects on 11 years with supporters: 'It's my honor to be your president'Fox News Trump reflects on 11 years with supporters: 'It's my honor to be your president' President Donald Trump delivered a heartfelt closing to his Georgia rally Saturday, reflecting on 11 years alongside his supporters and expressing… -
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visitFox News Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visit Michigan Democrat Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed tells Fox News Digital that former President Barack Obama reminds voters of a president… -
Former NBA player says ‘many’ players secretly support President TrumpEnes Kanter Freedom has never been shy about sharing his political views, and he believes plenty of his former NBA peers share them too. They just won't say so out loud. In a new interview, the former Boston Celtics center claimed that… -
Trump's corporate stakes are a gift to the next Democratic presidentSteve Moore, co-founder of Unleash Prosperity, debates government intervention in the private sector. He warns that government ownership leads to corporate welfare and excessive regulation, arguing that markets are more efficient at…
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- Lisa Cook5%
- Letitia James5%▲ 1
- Hillary Clinton5%▲ 3
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%▲ 1
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
- Adam Schiff4%▼ 4
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions