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Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $11M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Greenland
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US oil company holds key to Trump's Greenland drilling ambitionsGreenland Energy CEO Robert Price says the United States needs to look to "friendly jurisdictions" to become independent from foreign supplies of oil. His company is in the permitting process and plans to drill wells in Greenland in 2027… -
Greenland Mines Applauds President Trump’s Focus on Greenland Mineral Exploration, Reinforcing Its Importance to U.S. and Allied SecurityCHARLOTTE, N.C., Oct. 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- via IBN -- Greenland Mines Ltd (Nasdaq: GRML; FSE: HK6) (“Greenland Mines” or the “Company”) ... Greenland Mines Applauds President Trump’s Focus on Greenland Mineral Exploration… -
Denmark handed Greenland over to US — TrumpThe US leader emphasized that "it's going to go down as the greatest real estate deal in history, probably after Venezuela" - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section â- Business & Economy Business &… -
Trump Calls Greenland 'The Greatest Real Estate Deal in History' After Claiming Denmark 'Gave' It to the USDonald Trump has sparked fresh controversy after claiming Denmark had effectively handed Greenland to the United States. He described the supposed acquisition as 'the greatest real estate deal in history' during a Republican rally in… -
Donald Trump falsely claims US "got both" Greenland and Venezuela at Georgia rallyBrazil reviews US-Paraguay deal on Itaipu energy for AI projects "Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam is practised, not merely preached": EAM Jaishankar on India's global outreach "Must show leadership, not be spectator to global crises": EAM Jaishankar… -
Trump focuses on Nicki Minaj’s ‘beautiful’ rear, AOC and owning Greenland in marathon rally speech‘I looked at one hell of a beautiful ass before – Nicki Minaj,’ Trump said as a crowd of his supporters in Michigan roared President Donald Trump spent nearly two hours Sunday afternoon talking about rapper Nicki Minaj’s “beautiful” rear… -
Donald Trump Falsely Claims US Acquired Greenland and Venezuela at Georgia RallyFormer US President Donald Trump recently made a controversial claim at a Georgia rally, asserting that the United States ... - Latest News. Find Breaking Headlines, Current and Latest international news at Lokmattimes.com Former US… -
President Trump Announces We Got Greenland AND Venezuela -- The Press Won't Talk About It!President Trump just said out loud what the political class and its media partners would rather leave buried: America came out of the Greenland standoff and the Venezuela crisis holding two enormous strategic wins. Speaking Saturday night… -
Greenland shark found to be oldest vertebrate, living up to 400 yearsAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… - Denmark says U.S. exploring Greenland must follow relevant pact, Reuters saysThe Denmark Foreign Ministry said if the United States wants to explore the Greenlandic subsoil for oil, gas, and minerals, such actions must ta... Denmark says U.S. exploring Greenland must follow relevant pact, Reuters says The Denmark…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions