Next Press Secretary?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $17.2K today · $27K traded · $43.9K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

18%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly18%▼ 8
  • Scott Jennings9%▲ 1
  • Hogan Gidley5%▲ 2
  • Maria Bartiromo5%
  • Elizabeth Pipko4%
  • Lara Trump4%
  • Natalie Harp4%
  • Margo Martin4%▲ 1
  • Beni Rae Harmony4%
  • Karoline Leavitt4%
  • Harrison Fields3%
  • Katie Pavlich2%
19 more
  • Taylor Rogers2%
  • Kari Lake2%
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%
  • Laura Loomer2%
  • Katie Miller2%
  • Kayleigh McEnany2%▼ 1
  • Monica Crowley2%
  • Liz Huston1%
  • Alina Habba1%
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
  • Steven Cheung1%▼ 1
  • Lauren Bis1%▼ 1
  • Spencer Pratt<1%
  • Matthew Boyle<1%
  • Kush Desai<1%
  • Pat Adams<1%
  • Kaelan Dorr<1%
  • Ari Fleischer<1%
  • Jake Paul<1%

How the odds have moved

Anna Kelly: 14% on Oct 20, 18% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 26, 3 PM ETAnna Kelly: 26% → 18%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 23, 11 PM ETAnna Kelly: 18% → 26%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Anna Kelly 18% ▼ 8 17¢ 18¢ $5.56 $96.4K
Scott Jennings 9% ▲ 1 8¢ 9¢ $11.11 $60.3K
Hogan Gidley 5% ▲ 2 4¢ 6¢ $17.24 $787
Maria Bartiromo 5% 4¢ 5¢ $20.41 $15K
Elizabeth Pipko 4% 3¢ 5¢ $19.23 $16.8K
Lara Trump 4% 2¢ 6¢ $15.87 $576
Natalie Harp 4% 2¢ 6¢ $17.86 $10.2K
Margo Martin 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ $22.22 $6.1K
Beni Rae Harmony 4% 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 $993
Karoline Leavitt 4% 2¢ 5¢ $19.23 $6.8K
Harrison Fields 3% 3¢ 4¢ $27.03 $2.3K
Katie Pavlich 2% 2¢ 3¢ $35.71 $4.7K
Taylor Rogers 2% 2¢ 3¢ $35.71 $786
Kari Lake 2% 0¢ 4¢ $23.26 $9.4K
Tricia McLaughlin 2% 2¢ 3¢ $38.46 $4.8K
Laura Loomer 2% 1¢ 4¢ $28.57 $1K
Katie Miller 2% 1¢ 3¢ $37.04 $4.9K
Kayleigh McEnany 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 2¢ $45.45 $6.1K
Monica Crowley 2% 1¢ 3¢ $37.04 $8.2K
Liz Huston 1% 1¢ 2¢ $55.56 $477
Alina Habba 1% 1¢ 2¢ $45.45 $5K
Rachel Campos-Duffy 1% 1¢ 1¢ $71.43 $451
Steven Cheung 1% ▼ 1 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $4.9K
Lauren Bis 1% ▼ 1 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $289
Spencer Pratt <1% 0¢ 1¢ $463
Matthew Boyle <1% 1¢ $564
Kush Desai <1% 0¢ 1¢ $227
Pat Adams <1% 0¢ 1¢ $415
Kaelan Dorr <1% 0¢ 1¢ $285
Ari Fleischer <1% 1¢ $371
Jake Paul <1% 1¢ $320

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Press Secretary, Anna Kelly, Scott Jennings

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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