María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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Will Trump be impeached by...?
The odds
Aug 7, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 20262%
- June 30, 202746%▲ 2
- December 31, 202766%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
December 31, 2026: 2% on Oct 20, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $1.1M | |
| June 30, 2027 | 46% | ▲ 2 | 41¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | $1.6K |
| December 31, 2027 | 66% | ▼ 2 | 64¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | $4.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: impeachment
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Jeffries edges closer to Hegseth impeachment as he eyes the gavel - Live Updates - POLITICOThe House minority leader is again calling for the defense secretary’s firing as his party is favored to retake control of the chamber. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries inched closer to calling for embattled Defense Secretary Pete… -
Adam Schiff says Democrats should put 'overriding emphasis' on costs, not impeachmentIn an exclusive interview with Meet the Press, Sen. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) says Democratic oversight should focus on bringing down costs and corruption, that could potentially lead to impeachment. Kornacki: Where Democrats see openings for… -
Impeachment is back on the menuThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/21/2026 01:40 PM EDT Impeachment dominated much of Donald Trump’s first presidency. Voters think it should come back for a sequel. Half of Americans… -
Trump’s Betrayal Of Ukraine With Russian Diesel Deal Is A Treacherous Impeachable OffenseBlack ★ Star News Home - Uncategorized - Trump’s Betrayal Of Ukraine With Russian Diesel Deal Is A Treacherous Impeachable Offense ★ Trump, Ukraine & Russia In the past week the President of the US has revealed his true colors on Russia’s… -
Schiff: Dem Oversight Could Led to Trump’s ImpeachmentSunday on NBC's "Meet the Press," Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA) said if Democrats win back control of Congress, an impeachment of President Donald Trump is possible. The post Schiff: Dem Oversight Could Led to Trump’s Impeachment appeared first… -
Pete Hegseth Is Trying To Flee The Trump Administration Before He Can Be ImpeachedEight days before the midterm election, two things have become certain. Democrats are going to take back the House, and after they do, Democrats are going to impeach Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth. There is a list of Trump cabinet… -
Jeffries Edges Closer to Hegseth Impeachment“House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries inched closer to calling for embattled Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s impeachment over the weekend, pledging to take action if President Donald Trump doesn’t remove him,” Politico reports. Said… -
Ex-Trump aide predicts how he will get Republicans to back his impeachmentPresident Donald Trump on Capitol Hill, the U.S. Capitol, in Washington, D.C., June 24, 2026. REUTERS/Annabelle Gordon President Donald Trump could continue to "push the envelope" so much that even Republicans become sick of him enough to… -
If convicted in impeachment trial, who will succeed Sara Duterte?VEEP. Vice President Sara Duterte waves to supporters as she arrives at the Quezon City Regional Trial Court for the arraignment of her grave threats case, on October 9, 2026. Even before Vice President Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial… -
Massie vows ‘week one’ vote in lame duck to impeach HegsethThe author of a draft House resolution to impeach the Defense secretary said Monday he plans to force a vote on the measure the week of Nov. 9. The Pete Hegseth impeachment resolution is a “week one” issue for the House lame-duck session… -
Pete Hegseth Reportedly Eyeing Tennessee Senate Seat as Impeachment Fears MountPete Hegseth eyes his next move as lawmakers move to impeach him as Defense Secretary. Oct. 26 2026, Published 12:09 p.m. ET Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is reportedly angling for an appointment to a Tennessee Senate seat to secure a… -
House Democrats eye Hegseth impeachment if they win midtermsEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
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Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Dec 20, 2027even chance by
- October 313%▼ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions