María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
The odds
>99%Kaitlan Collins
- Kaitlan Collins>99%▲ 17
- Elizabeth Warren>99%▲ 45
- Chuck Schumer100%▲ 59
- Hillary Clinton97%▲ 64
- J.B. Pritzker66%▲ 36
- Hakeem Jeffries50%▼ 7
- Tucker Carlson37%▲ 16
- Mark Carney26%▼ 5
- Ken Paxton25%▲ 8
- Stephen Colbert20%
- Benjamin Netanyahu19%
- Emmanuel Macron16%▲ 2
13 more
- Candace Owens14%▲ 1
- Zohran Mamdani13%▼ 4
- Friedrich Merz11%▲ 1
- Andy Burnham9%
- Mike Rogers8%
- Dario Amodei6%▲ 1
- Kevin Warsh4%
- Masoud Pezeshkian3%
- Vladimir Putin3%
- Pope Leo XIV3%
- J.D. Vance2%
- Elon Musk2%
- Xi Jinping<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Kaitlan Collins: 84% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETKaitlan Collins: 83% → >99%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Joe Biden | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3K | ||
| ✓ Barack Obama | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $24.7K | |
| ✓ Marjorie Taylor Greene | >99% | ▲ 43 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $9.2K | |
| ✓ Jerome Powell | >99% | ▲ 40 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $2.2K | |
| ✓ Nicolás Maduro | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1K | ||
| ✓ Jimmy Kimmel | >99% | ▲ 84 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $8.6K | |
| ✓ James Talarico | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $631 | ||
| ✓ Abdul El-Sayed | >99% | ▲ 7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.7K | |
| ✓ Kathy Hochul | >99% | ▲ 6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.2K | |
| ✓ Ilhan Omar | >99% | ▲ 37 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.8K | |
| ✓ Letitia James | >99% | ▲ 26 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $356 | |
| ✓ Jon Ossoff | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $4.1K | |
| ✓ Gavin Newsom | >99% | ▲ 17 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.6K | |
| ✓ Thomas Massie | >99% | ▲ 48 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3K | |
| ✓ Kamala Harris | >99% | ▲ 23 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $3.9K | |
| ✓ Hasan Piker | >99% | ▲ 54 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $3.5K | |
| Kaitlan Collins | >99% | ▲ 17 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $6.6K | |
| Elizabeth Warren | >99% | ▲ 45 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2.3K | |
| Chuck Schumer | 100% | ▲ 59 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $5.8K | |
| Hillary Clinton | 97% | ▲ 64 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $6.1K | |
| J.B. Pritzker | 66% | ▲ 36 | 42¢ | 90¢ | $1.12 | $794 |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 50% | ▼ 7 | 40¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | $5.9K |
| Tucker Carlson | 37% | ▲ 16 | 12¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | $9.5K |
| Mark Carney | 26% | ▼ 5 | 11¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | $3.9K |
| Ken Paxton | 25% | ▲ 8 | 21¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | $5.4K |
| Stephen Colbert | 20% | 18¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | $58 | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 19% | 1¢ | 37¢ | $2.74 | $2K | |
| Emmanuel Macron | 16% | ▲ 2 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $4.93 | $1.7K |
| Candace Owens | 14% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | $9K |
| Zohran Mamdani | 13% | ▼ 4 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $7.5K |
| Friedrich Merz | 11% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | $3.5K |
| Andy Burnham | 9% | 4¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $1.2K | |
| Mike Rogers | 8% | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $569 | |
| Dario Amodei | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $10.64 | $121 |
| Kevin Warsh | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $795 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $214 | |
| Vladimir Putin | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $1.8K | |
| Pope Leo XIV | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $2.6K | |
| J.D. Vance | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $2.7K | |
| Elon Musk | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $452 | |
| Xi Jinping | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $553 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kaitlan Collins, Elizabeth Warren, Chuck Schumer
Search ›-
WATCH LIVE: Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson joins Elizabeth Warren for town hallJackson and Warren speak in Waterville, Maine, as the midterm elections approach and Jackson challenges incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins. WATCH LIVE: Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson joins Elizabeth Warren for town… -
Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren stumps for Troy JacksonWATERVILLE (WGME) - Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is back in Maine campaigning for Troy Jackson as a heated election hits the home stretch. The two hosted a town hall in Waterville Monday. The event comes about a week before… -
Elizabeth Warren, Troy Jackson hold town hall in WatervilleWATERVILLE, Maine (WABI) -Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren held a town hall Monday afternoon at the Playhouse at Waterville Station. They took questions on education, student loan debt… -
3 moments from Troy Jackson and Elizabeth Warren’s latest appeal to progressivesDemocratic U.S. Senate nominee Troy Jackson joined Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts in a Waterville town hall Monday evening, marking the latest visit from a handful of leading national progressives in his bid to oust Republican Sen… -
Financial agency rule changes leave banks open to cyber threats, Elizabeth Warren warnsThe Senate Banking Committee’s top Democrat is pushing three financial regulatory agencies to reverse course on recent policy changes that she says could make the U.S. banking system more vulnerable to cyberattacks. In letters sent Friday… -
Sen. Elizabeth Warren holds town hall with Troy Jackson targeting college studentsWarren and Jackson called for all student debt to be forgiven as Warren called for an additional wealth tax. Voters will elect a new parliament on 7 November with the cost of living among the key issues. The attack on a village in Syria… -
Kaitlan Collins’ Panel Cracks Up At ‘Perfect Quote’ From Trump Ally About His Ass TalkThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. The CNN panel burst into laughter. CNN’s Kaitlan Collins had her panel laughing on Sunday’s broadcast of “The… -
Unemployment Benefits Would Get Boost Under New Bill Linked to AI FearsOct 26, 2026 at 01:07 PM EDT The Stability and Opportunity for Workers Act, unveiled by Senate Finance Committee Ranking Member Ron Wyden of Oregon, aims to broaden system coverage, extend assistance during periods of economic downturn… -
Trump-backed senator admits GOP faces nightmare scenario in state Republicans haven't lost in 90 yearsSen. Roger Marshall, R-Kan., knows he running for his political life, and his only way to win in Kansas against Adam Hamilton is by getting Trump's loyal voters. But experts say his relationship with Trump could be his biggest weakness… -
The Epstein electionThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By ADAM WREN, DASHA BURNS and WILL STEAKIN 10/26/2026 06:07 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Good Monday morning. News you can… -
Dem bucks party over alleged Alaska vote-siphoning effort: 'Neither party should be doing it'Democratic gubernatorial nominee Rob Sand discusses the dispute involving two Alaska Senate candidates who share the name Dan Sullivan during an exclusive interview with Fox News. Iowa Democratic gubernatorial nominee Rob Sand is…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions