Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
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Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) (Before January 20, 2029)
The odds
26%Before January 20, 2029
- Before January 20, 202926%
- Before 202820%▲ 2
- Before 20276%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before January 20, 2029: 27% on Oct 20, 26% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 20, 2029 | 26% | 25¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 578.7K | |
| Before 2028 | 20% | ▲ 2 | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 928.7K |
| Before 2027 | 6% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | 6.2M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Excluding
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Delhi records best AQI for Oct 24 in 10 years excluding Covid period: GovtNew Delhi, Oct 24 (PTI) Delhi recorded an Air Quality Index (AQI) of 191 on Saturday, the lowest for October 24 in a decade, excluding the Covid period, the Delhi government said, attributing the improvement to sustained pollution control… -
Inflation excluding food decreases for the third consecutive month, the effect from rentsCore inflation fell for the third consecutive month in September. According to the Bank of Albania, annual core inflation decreased to 2.37%, from 2.78% a month earlier. Core inflation for the second month was also declining on an annual… -
Woman Is Already Grieving Her Relationship, Miscarriages, And Failed IVF, But Now Her Own Mom Is Excluding Her From Social GatheringsThe woman in this story is at that particular junction, and understandably it’s really tough on her. But the woman that she needs to lean on, her mom, doesn’t seem to understand – and worse, she’s now leaving her out of things too. Read on… -
Lithuania Warns Against Excluding Ukraine from Talks on Ending the Warblue News Lithuania Warns Against Excluding Ukraine from Talks on Ending the War Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda, referring to a possible meeting between Russia, China, and the United States, urged that Ukraine not be left out of… -
Gears of War: E-Day Budget Exceeds Half a Billion Dollars Excluding Marketing - MediaTranslated with AI from the Russian original. Xbox will never recoup these costs. The budget for the shooter Gears of War: E-Day has exceeded $500 million, excluding marketing expenses. This is reported by Kotaku. If the information is… -
Schwab, Citadel Eye Prediction Markets, Excluding SportsSchwab CEO Rick Wurster told investors on a Thursday earnings call that the company would likely offer prediction markets at some point. Charles Schwab and Citadel Securities are both exploring entry into prediction markets, according to… -
(PM) Philip Morris Expects 2026 Adjusted EPS, Excluding Currency, of $8.11 - $8.26Published on 10/21/2026 at 07:10 am EDT Philip Morris CEO Is 'Optimistic' About Zyn Potential September 10, 2026 at 05:54 pm EDT Philip Morris remains one step ahead Philip Morris Lights Up the Market with a Smoky Forecast - Coinbase Opens Midterm Election Dashboard in U.S. App, Excluding Two StatesTOKENPOST Users in Michigan and Nevada are excluded. Coinbase Financial Markets provides the related futures and swaps. Coinbase has launched a dashboard for the 2026 U.S. midterm elections in its U.S. app, but users in Michigan and Nevada…
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Readcrest Capital AG resolves to issue convertible bonds excluding subscription rights in an aggregate principal amount of up to EUR 10 million maturing in 2031Readcrest Capital AG / Key word(s): Capital measures / Other 22-Oct-2026 / 12:04 CET/CEST Disclosure of inside information pursuant to Article 17 of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 THIS ANNOUNCEMENT, INCLUDING THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN… - ALX: Q3 toll revenue slipped 0.4% excluding FX as French traffic weakened and US roads grewTradingView ALX: Q3 toll revenue slipped 0.4% excluding FX as French traffic weakened and US roads grew Proportional toll revenue declined 0.4% YoY excluding FX, with France’s traffic pressured by high fuel prices and growth in the US and…
- Senegal: Locafrique ordered to pay 968 million CFA to FONGIP, excluding interestsHeaded by Adama Wade and his team of 20 journalists, Kapital Afrik offers strategic and financial information to executives and managers. The aim of Kapital Afrik is to provide financial and political news, give priority to human…
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BankUnited, Inc. Reports 3Q 2026 Net Income of $72 million, $1.01 Diluted EPS; Excluding Impact of Securities Sales, Net Income of $74 million, $1.03 Diluted EPSContinued Franchise Momentum Drives NIM Expansion, Stronger Funding Mix and Improved Credit Trends MIAMI LAKES, Fla.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--BankUnited, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: BKU) today announced financial results for the quarter ended…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions