Will President Trump be impeached during his term? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
68%chance▼ 1
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Will Trump be impeached? (Before 2028)
The odds
Aug 4, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 20274%
- Before Feb 1, 202716%▼ 1
- Before Mar 1, 202727%▲ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202735%▲ 5
- Before May 1, 202745%▲ 7
- Before Jun 1, 202745%▲ 4
- Before Jul 1, 202749%▲ 9
- Before Aug 1, 202749%▲ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202765%▲ 9
- Before Jan 1, 202865%
How the odds have moved
Before May 1, 2027: 38% on Oct 20, 45% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 109.0K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | 1.6M | |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 16% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 24.1K |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 27% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 400.5K |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 35% | ▲ 5 | 34¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 929 |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 45% | ▲ 7 | 42¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 2.4K |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 45% | ▲ 4 | 45¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 966 |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 49% | ▲ 9 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 8.1K |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | 49% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 3.1K |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 65% | ▲ 9 | 65¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 9.3K |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 65% | 64¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 1.2M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: impeachment
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Warnock Backs Post-Midterms Trump Investigations Amid Impeachment DebateOct 18, 2026 at 05:38 PM EDT Oct 18, 2026 at 06:11 PM EDT Senator Raphael Warnock said Democrats should investigate President Donald Trump and his administration if they win back the House in November, pushing back against warnings that… -
Support for impeachment jumps in new pollVoters are now evenly split on whether Congress should begin impeachment proceedings against President Donald Trump, a marked increase in support for impeachment, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll. The poll, which began… -
Army won't investigate Vindman over impeachment testimony, top leader says02/14/2020 2:04 PM EST The Army will not investigate Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, the former National Security Council staffer who testified in the president’s impeachment investigation, the service’s top civilian said Friday. Army… -
GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the HouseFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports the latest on the midterm elections as early voting opens in Ohio and Florida. GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the House Fox News chief congressional… -
Senior Trump cabinet member 'in trouble' as impeachment becomes 'inevitable': reportUS Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins, Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum, Attorney General Todd Blanche, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent attend a National Design Studio launch event for America.gov, a… -
Trump says Republicans must win 2026 midterms or else he'll be impeached by DemocratsMon, Oct 19, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 7, 1448 | Fajr 05:02|DXB 31.8°C US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that Republicans must win the 2026 midterm elections or else he will get impeached by Democrats. "You gotta win the midterms… -
Trump reacts to report questioning 2019 impeachment testimony: 'Our country was scammed'The findings released include State Department emails and memos that called into question the testimony of witnesses in the 2019 impeachment of Trump. Trump reacts to report questioning 2019 impeachment testimony: 'Our country was scammed'… -
Fox News and Republicans freak out as 'impeachment' loomsOn Monday, Fox News and its Republican guests warned their fellow conservatives that the impeachment of President Donald Trump could be right around the corner. Fox News and Republicans freak out as 'impeachment' looms U.S. President… -
Adiong: Impeachment evidence against VP Duterte may lead to criminal convictionVice President Sara Duterte’s alleged misuse of confidential funds could still result in a criminal conviction despite the impeachment proceedings, according to House prosecution panel spokesperson Rep. Zia Alonto Adiong. The potential… -
Incoming Democrats Avoid 'Impeach The ************' RhetoricHours after Democrats retook the House of Representatives halfway through President Donald Trump's first term in 2019, Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) made a controversial but true statement. Tlaib faced intense backlash for the remark, with… -
Sara skips Senate OVP budget hearing for first time amid impeachment trialEdjen Oliquino · Oct 20, 2026, 12:39 PM The Office of the Vice President's (OVP) proposed P785.20 million budget for 2027 swiftly cleared a Senate panel on Tuesday after senators allied with Vice President Sara Duterte moved to extend… -
Trump Faces Backlash After Demanding New Mexico Change Its Name to 'New America' in Bizarre Rebranding Push: 'Impeach this Idiot'Donald Trump is advocating for a New Mexico name change. Oct. 19 2026, Updated 5:48 p.m. ET Donald Trump once again wants to change geographic names – and this time he's chosen a target within the United States' borders, RadarOnline.com…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.