Will President Trump be impeached during his term? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $1.8K today · $503K traded · $164K at stake · prices read 36 min ago

The odds

70%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 70% on Oct 20, 70% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 70% 69¢ 70¢ $1.43 724.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: impeachment

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Will Trump be impeached? (Before 2028)

Aug 10, 2027even chance by
  • Before Jan 1, 20274%
  • Before Feb 1, 202718%▼ 1
  • Before Mar 1, 202727%▲ 1
7 more
  • Before Apr 1, 202734%▲ 1
  • Before May 1, 202738%▲ 3
  • Before Jun 1, 202738%▼ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202743%▲ 1
  • Before Aug 1, 202749%▲ 2
  • Before Oct 1, 202756%
  • Before Jan 1, 202865%
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2028 · $2.7K today

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

>99%Transgender 5+ times
  • Transgender 5+ times>99%▲ 22
  • SI / Super Intelligence>99%▲ 33
  • Star>99%▲ 59
19 more
  • Gay / Palestine>99%▲ 79
  • Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times>99%▲ 13
  • Regulation / Regulatory100%▲ 72
  • Ass1%▼ 64
  • Bull / Bullshit1%▼ 40
  • Fertilizer / Rural1%▼ 47
  • Animal1%▼ 62
  • Drag Show1%▼ 64
  • Maduro1%▼ 26
  • Data Center / Electric / Electricity1%▼ 38
  • Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 72
  • Hormuz / Blockade1%▼ 58
  • Fentanyl / Deport / Deported1%▼ 32
  • America First / Gulf of America1%▼ 62
  • Hell 15+ times<1%▼ 54
  • Tax 33+ times<1%▼ 45
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence<1%▼ 45
  • Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency<1%▼ 2
  • -No Qualifying Event-<1%▼ 3

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

85%Vladimir Putin
  • Vladimir Putin85%▼ 1
  • Mohammed bin Salman79%▲ 2
  • Kim Jong Un14%▼ 14
11 more
  • Changpeng Zhao11%
  • Aleksandr Lukashenko10%▼ 3
  • King Mohammed VI8%▼ 4
  • iShowSpeed5%▲ 2
  • Pope Leo XIV5%▼ 1
  • Lai Ching-te5%▲ 1
  • MrBeast5%
  • Nick Fuentes3%
  • Yoon Suk Yeol3%
  • Jair Bolsonaro2%▼ 1
  • Nicolás Maduro2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.