Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
30%December 31
- June 30, 202730%▼ 2
- December 3130%▲ 2
Install
Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts? (Before Apr 1, 2027)
The odds
Mar 14, 2027even chance by
- Before Dec 1, 202633%▲ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202735%
- Before Apr 1, 202754%
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 28% on Oct 20, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 33% | ▲ 2 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 527 |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 35% | 34¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 20.4K | |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 54% | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump's Truth Social
Search ›-
LeBron James doubles down with sneaky golf hip turns during national anthem after Trump's 'total disgrace' digFox News contributor Joe Concha joins 'Fox & Friends First' to react to NBA player LeBron James practicing his golf swing during the national anthem and WNBA teams skipping the anthem. Concha also weighs in on the death of 'Top Gun' actor… -
Trump And Top Florida Republicans Rally In Fort Myers As Early Voting Expands StatewidePresident Trump (Truth Social) President Donald J. Trump headlined a campaign rally in Fort Myers on Friday, joining prominent Florida Republicans to urge voters to cast their ballots early ahead of the November election. Speakers at the… -
Trump’s New Theme Park Target: Demands Six Flags Rebrand Historic Roller Coaster with American FlagIn an eye-catching post on Truth Social, Trump demanded that one of North America’s most recognizable wooden roller coasters undergo an immediate, patriotic name change, promising that it would lift local real estate values and rescue Six… -
“Slow News Day” – LeBron James Shrugs Off Messing Around During The National Anthem After Criticism From President TrumpPhiladelphia 76ers forward (weird, right) LeBron James finally responded to criticism from President Donald Trump… well, sorta. The POTUS isn’t one to shy away from calling anyone out, and in the latest example, Trump has taken aim at… -
Trump slams LeBron James over National Anthem video: 'TOTAL DISGRACE'FOX 29 reporters caught up with Philadelphia 76ers fans to check their temperatures after the Sixers beat the Knicks 106-100 in the season opener at Madison Square Garden Tuesday night. PHILADELPHIA - President Donald Trump has reignited… -
76ers’ LeBron James vs Donald Trump Feud Takes Wild Turn After Latest ReactionsPhiladelphia 76ers superstar LeBron James has spent more than two decades handling criticism from opposing fans, basketball analysts and rival players. However, one of his most persistent critics happens to occupy the White House… -
‘LeBron James disrespects our Country!’ Trump dunks on NBA star for his action during national anthem – WATCHThe stunt involving a protest at an athletic event, ballgame or other event, where participants snub the national anthem by sitting, kneeling, vanishing, or another act of disrespect, has been around for years. It was made a cause celebre… -
Trump's post proves Anthropic's warnings on datacenter backlashMarket Hang's panel discusses Anthropic (ANTH.PVT) listing political backlash against data centers among its core risks, and President Trump's Truth Social post that new data centers will have to generate their own electricity and pay… -
‘Admitted to FRAUD’: Congressman confirms he’ll try to expel Rep. ‘Ilhan Nur Said Elmi’ if she’s convictedOne member of Congress is promising a campaign to expel another member if she’s found guilty of immigration fraud. “You can’t be in Congress if you’re not a citizen of the United States, but if it isn’t automatic, I absolutely will demand… -
Trump thanks ‘legendary friend’ Elon Musk for plan to donate SpaceX shares to American childrenWASHINGTON: US President Donald Trump on Monday (local time) thanked billionaire Elon Musk for his plans to donate SpaceX shares to millions of American children through the administration’s flagship ‘Trump Accounts’ initiative. In a post… -
Natalie Harp first to join Trump on Air Force One as president forgets to saluteNatalie Harp was shown rushing to join President Trump as he entered his Qatari-gifted plane, making the 35-year-old aide the first on the plane after Trump A new video has surfaced of Donald Trump's aide, Natalie Harp, rushing to be first… -
Trump says permanent E-15 ethanol sales will only happen if Kansas reelects GOP Sen. Roger MarshallPresident Donald Trump on Monday promised he would implement the permanent year-round sale of gasoline with 15% ethanol on one condition: the reelection of a beleaguered Republican senator from Kansas. "With Roger Marshall in the Senate…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.