Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

Polymarket Politics › Supreme Court & courts Closes Dec 31 · $455 today · $772K traded · $133K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

23%December 31, 2027
  • December 31, 20264%
  • December 31, 202723%

How the odds have moved

December 31, 2026: 2% on Oct 20, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
December 31, 2026 4% 4¢ 5¢ $20.83 $724K
December 31, 2027 23% 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 $47.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lindsay Clancy

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Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

39%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar39%▼ 1
  • John Brennan24%▲ 3
  • Cassidy Hutchinson22%▼ 4
40 more
  • Fani Willis14%
  • Anthony Fauci14%
  • Gustavo Petro14%▲ 3
  • Kimberly Guilfoyle13%▲ 6
  • Dan J. Sullivan12%▼ 3
  • Jack Smith11%
  • Lisa Cook10%
  • James Clapper10%
  • Keith Ellison10%
  • Andrew Weissmann10%
  • Gavin Newsom10%
  • Peter Strzok9%
  • Hunter Biden9%
  • Miles Taylor9%
  • Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%
  • Tucker Carlson8%▲ 4
  • Chris Krebs8%
  • Lisa Monaco8%▲ 2
  • Tim Walz8%
  • E. Jean Carroll8%▼ 2
  • George Soros8%▲ 3
  • Alvin Bragg7%
  • Letitia James6%
  • Jacob Frey6%
  • Pam Bondi6%
  • Mark Milley6%
  • Elissa Slotkin6%
  • Mark Kelly6%
  • Liz Cheney6%
  • Joe Kent6%
  • Leon Black6%
  • Chris Christie5%
  • Christopher Wray5%
  • Adam Schiff5%▼ 2
  • Reid Hoffman5%
  • Barack Obama4%▲ 1
  • Jerome Powell4%▼ 1
  • Hillary Clinton3%▼ 1
  • Bill Clinton3%
  • Joe Biden3%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $3.6K today

Who will be arrested in 2026?

40%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar40%▲ 7
  • John Brennan22%▼ 2
  • Mahmoud Khalil17%▲ 2
22 more
  • Anthony Fauci9%
  • James Clapper8%
  • Letitia James8%
  • Adam Schiff6%▲ 3
  • Lisa Cook6%
  • Tom Homan5%▼ 4
  • Susan Rice5%
  • Lee Jun-seok5%
  • Candace Owens5%
  • Lee Jae Myung5%▼ 1
  • Benjamin Netanyahu4%▼ 1
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Bill Clinton4%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • John Kerry3%
  • Gavin Newsom3%
  • Pam Bondi3%
  • Kash Patel3%
  • Loretta Lynch3%
  • Brandon Johnson2%▼ 1
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden2%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $435 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions