Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment? (Before 2028)
9%chance
Install
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction? (Before 2029)
The odds
33%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 34% on Oct 20, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33% | ▼ 1 | 29¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 6.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Supreme Court, SCOTUS
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Supreme Court of the United States news - Today’s latest updatesThe Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The Supreme Court has rejected an effort from the Trump administration to restrict some medical… -
Kamala Harris: We can’t count on the Supreme CourtFox News contributor Marc Thiessen discusses former Vice President Kamala Harris’ comments about the Supreme Court on ‘Fox & Friends.’ ... Kamala Harris: We can’t count on the Supreme Court Fox News contributor Marc Thiessen discusses… -
US supreme court sides with Republicans on rejecting student IDs in New Hampshire midtermsVoting rights advocates say directive would disenfranchise young and low-income voters, but Republicans say it’s needed to combat voter fraud The US supreme court has cleared the way for New Hampshire to prohibit student IDs as a form of… -
Supreme Court blocks use of student IDs as voter identification in New HampshireFirst Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli examines the growing dispute over voter eligibility verification in California. Los Angeles County election officials acknowledge they lack the resources to verify the citizenship status of… -
Home distillers rejoice as US Supreme Court considers whether to finally legalise moonshineGeno Stecks, 66, of Wyoming, began making homemade moonshine two years ago Wyoming mechanic and amateur moonshiner Geno Stecks proudly details the modifications he's made at his two-bedroom home to facilitate his hobby of distilling liquor… -
Jackson again publicly breaks with Supreme Court as justices side with GOP in last-minute voter ID fightFirst Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli examines the growing dispute over voter eligibility verification in California. Los Angeles County election officials acknowledge they lack the resources to verify the citizenship status of… -
Trump administration asks Supreme Court to resume Big Bend border wallCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Trump administration asks… -
Supreme Court rules New Hampshire can ban use of student IDs for midterm votersOctober 22, 2026 / 7:53 PM EDT / CBS/AP The Supreme Court cleared the way Thursday for New Hampshire to fully ban the use of student IDs for voting during the midterm elections. The justices granted a Republican-backed emergency appeal and… -
Supreme Court says New Hampshire can limit use of student IDs for votingThe Supreme Court on Thursday allowed New Hampshire officials to limit when voters may use a student ID to receive a ballot, agreeing that a lower court ruling that blocked enforcement of the policy was too close to Election Day. The… -
Supreme Court justice turns on her own court with dire warning about American democracyAmericans interviewed on Capitol Hill were split over whether the Supreme Court of the United States should expand as Congress introduces proposals to make reforms to its current size. (Nicholas Ballasy for Fox News Digital) Supreme Court… -
Supreme Court Justice Kagan warns some conservative rulings have been 'destructive of our democracy'Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan suggested Tuesday that some recent decisions by her conservative colleagues have undermined democracy, while admitting at times they had also pushed back against the Trump administration. Kagan took part… -
Supreme Court says New Hampshire student IDs can’t be used to vote in NovemberWASHINGTON — In a win for Republicans, the Supreme Court on Thursday said that student IDs cannot be used in New Hampshire for the midterm elections. The justices granted an emergency request filed by the state, which had the backing of…
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All supreme court & courts ›Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
3%chance
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
30%December 31
- June 30, 202730%▲ 5
- December 3130%▲ 1
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
49%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar49%▲ 6
- Cassidy Hutchinson29%▼ 3
- John Brennan22%
40 more
- Dan J. Sullivan17%▲ 3
- Anthony Fauci14%
- Fani Willis14%
- Gustavo Petro12%▲ 1
- Jack Smith11%▼ 2
- Lisa Cook10%▼ 1
- Tim Walz10%
- James Clapper10%
- Andrew Weissmann10%
- Gavin Newsom10%
- Peter Strzok9%
- Hunter Biden9%
- Keith Ellison9%
- Adam Schiff9%
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom9%▲ 3
- Chris Krebs8%
- Alvin Bragg7%▲ 3
- Miles Taylor7%▲ 1
- Lisa Monaco7%
- Kimberly Guilfoyle7%
- Letitia James6%▼ 4
- Jacob Frey6%▲ 1
- Mark Milley6%
- Elissa Slotkin6%
- Liz Cheney6%
- Mark Kelly6%
- Joe Kent6%▲ 1
- Leon Black6%
- E. Jean Carroll6%
- Christopher Wray5%
- Chris Christie5%▲ 1
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Reid Hoffman5%▲ 1
- George Soros5%
- Pam Bondi4%
- Jerome Powell4%
- Hillary Clinton4%▼ 1
- Bill Clinton3%
- Barack Obama3%
- Joe Biden3%▼ 1
Who will be arrested in 2026?
35%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar35%▲ 3
- John Brennan23%▲ 2
- Mahmoud Khalil14%▲ 1
22 more
- Tom Homan9%▲ 4
- Anthony Fauci9%
- James Clapper8%▼ 2
- Letitia James8%▲ 1
- Adam Schiff7%
- Lee Jae Myung6%
- Susan Rice6%
- Lisa Cook6%
- Candace Owens5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%
- Lee Jun-seok5%
- Loretta Lynch4%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
- Gavin Newsom4%
- Bill Clinton4%
- Hillary Clinton4%
- John Kerry3%
- Pam Bondi3%
- Brandon Johnson3%▼ 1
- Barack Obama3%
- Joe Biden3%
- Kash Patel3%
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.