Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?

Kalshi Politics › Supreme Court & courts Closes Jan 1, 2028 · $7.7K traded · $3K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

50%chance

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 50% 49¢ 51¢ $1.96 15.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Brigitte Macron, Candace Owens

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Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

38%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar38%
  • Cassidy Hutchinson30%
  • John Brennan25%▼ 1
40 more
  • Anthony Fauci21%▼ 3
  • Lisa Cook14%▼ 3
  • Fani Willis14%
  • Jack Smith14%▼ 1
  • Dan J. Sullivan13%
  • Gustavo Petro12%▲ 1
  • Letitia James11%▲ 1
  • Keith Ellison10%
  • Peter Strzok10%
  • Tim Walz10%▼ 1
  • James Clapper10%▲ 1
  • Gavin Newsom10%
  • Kimberly Guilfoyle10%▼ 2
  • Adam Schiff9%
  • Hunter Biden9%▲ 1
  • Alvin Bragg9%▲ 1
  • Andrew Weissmann9%▼ 2
  • Chris Krebs8%
  • E. Jean Carroll8%
  • Lisa Monaco7%
  • Jacob Frey7%▲ 1
  • Miles Taylor6%▲ 1
  • Jennifer Siebel Newsom6%▼ 4
  • Mark Milley6%▲ 1
  • Liz Cheney6%
  • Mark Kelly6%
  • Hillary Clinton6%
  • Leon Black6%
  • Elissa Slotkin5%
  • Tucker Carlson5%▼ 3
  • Barack Obama5%
  • Christopher Wray5%
  • Jerome Powell5%
  • Reid Hoffman5%
  • George Soros5%▼ 4
  • Joe Kent4%
  • Bill Clinton4%
  • Joe Biden3%
  • Pam Bondi3%
  • Chris Christie2%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $6.5K today

Who will be arrested in 2026?

32%Ilhan Omar
  • Ilhan Omar32%▲ 10
  • John Brennan19%▼ 4
  • Mahmoud Khalil15%▼ 1
22 more
  • Anthony Fauci9%
  • James Clapper9%
  • Letitia James8%
  • Lee Jun-seok7%
  • Candace Owens7%
  • Lee Jae Myung7%
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero6%▲ 2
  • Gavin Newsom6%
  • Susan Rice6%▼ 1
  • Lisa Cook6%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu6%
  • Adam Schiff5%
  • Tom Homan5%
  • Loretta Lynch5%
  • Brandon Johnson4%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Pam Bondi4%
  • Bill Clinton3%
  • John Kerry3%
  • Joe Biden3%
  • Barack Obama3%
  • Kash Patel3%
KalshiCloses Dec 31 · $487 today

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? (By January 20, 2029)

17%Andrew Oldham
  • Andrew Oldham17%▼ 1
  • D. John Sauer14%
  • James Ho9%
38 more
  • Ted Cruz9%▲ 5
  • Aileen Cannon7%
  • Emil Bove4%
  • Michael Park4%▲ 1
  • Neomi Rao2%
  • Amul Thapar2%▼ 1
  • Mike Lee2%
  • Barbara Lagoa2%
  • Steven Menashi2%▲ 1
  • Patrick Bumatay1%
  • Lawrence VanDyke1%
  • Allison Jones Rushing1%
  • Kathryn Mizelle1%
  • David Stras1%
  • Kenneth Lee1%▼ 1
  • Kevin Newsom1%
  • Gregory G. Katsas1%
  • Ron DeSantis1%▼ 1
  • Yaakov Roth1%
  • Anna St. John1%
  • Matthew Schwartz1%
  • Eric Tung1%
  • Stuart Kyle Duncan<1%
  • Matthew Kacsmaryk<1%
  • Stephanos Bibas<1%
  • Trevor McFadden<1%
  • Britt Grant<1%
  • Mark Martin<1%
  • Evan Young<1%
  • Clint Bolick<1%
  • Kevin Brobson<1%
  • Joan Larsen<1%
  • Kate Comerford Todd<1%
  • Patrick Wyrick<1%
  • Kristen Waggoner<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Morse Tan<1%
  • Allison Eid<1%
KalshiCloses Jan 20, 2029 · $429 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.