Amazon.com, Inc. AMZN prediction markets

Every prediction market about Amazon.com, Inc.: its own price outlook, questions about it, and the ones that move it.

250.38 −11.99 (−4.57%)on 4Conservative Finance ›

Where traders see Amazon.com, Inc.

Finance › Stocks

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$266.17high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $266.17 and as low as $247.88.

Reaches $264>99%
Reaches $2688%
Reaches $2728%

Falls to $260>99%
Falls to $256>99%
Falls to $252>99%

Already reached: ↑ $260, ↑ $256, ↑ $252

Finance › Stocks

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026?

$270.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $270.50 and as low as $234.81.

Reaches $264>99%
Reaches $27239%
Reaches $28026%

Falls to $256>99%
Falls to $24886%
Falls to $24069%

Already reached: ↑ $256, ↓ $248, ↑ $248, ↑ $256, ↓ $256, ↓ $256

Finance › Stocks

Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

$2.88Tmedian

$1.5T$5T

Median $2.88TMiddle half $2.57T – $3.3T

Finance › Stocks

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of October 19 above___?

$253.08median

$215$285

Median $253.08

About the company

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

46%Anthropic

Anthropic46%▼ 2
Google45%▲ 4
OpenAI5%▼ 1
Meta1%

11 more

xAI1%
Alibaba<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Moonshot<1%
Z.ai<1%
Mistral<1%
Microsoft<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Meituan<1%
Baidu<1%

AMZN-4.57%BABA-2.48%BIDU-1.07%

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%Google

Google89%▲ 8
Anthropic10%▼ 7
OpenAI1%
Meta<1%

17 more

Alibaba<1%
Moonshot<1%
Baidu<1%
Z.ai<1%
Xiaomi<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Finance › Companies

Largest Company end of December 2026?

60%NVIDIA

NVIDIA60%▼ 17
Apple38%▲ 17
Alphabet1%
Microsoft<1%

4 more

SpaceX<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%

TSLA-3.08%SPCX-9.14%NVDA-4.40%

Finance › Companies

Largest Company end of October 2026?

69%NVIDIA

NVIDIA69%▼ 22
Apple30%▲ 22
Alphabet<1%
Microsoft<1%

5 more

Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%
Amazon<1%
SpaceX<1%

TSLA-3.08%SPCX-9.14%NVDA-4.40%

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

58%Google

Google58%▲ 5
Anthropic35%▼ 6
OpenAI3%▼ 1
Meta1%▼ 1

17 more

Alibaba1%
SpaceXAI1%
Z.ai<1%
Moonshot<1%
Xiaomi<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Baidu<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Finance › Companies

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

44%Microsoft

Microsoft44%▲ 6
Alphabet43%▼ 10
Apple5%▲ 2
NVIDIA1%

5 more

Amazon<1%
SpaceX<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%

NVDA-4.40%SPCX-9.14%TSLA-3.08%

Finance › Companies

3rd Largest Company end of October?

61%Alphabet

Alphabet61%▼ 11
Microsoft38%▲ 14
Apple<1%
NVIDIA<1%

5 more

Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%
Broadcom<1%
SpaceX<1%

TSLA-3.08%SPCX-9.14%NVDA-4.40%

Mentions › Earnings calls

What will American Express say during their next earnings call? (Oct 23, 2026)

97%Platinum (3+ times)

Platinum (3+ times)97%
NII / Net Interest Income96%▼ 2
Millennial92%▼ 4
Lounge87%▲ 4

10 more

NFL76%▲ 7
Amazon54%▼ 1
Regulation / Regulatory50%▼ 1
Currency22%
OpenAI / ChatGPT21%▼ 17
Basel13%▼ 5
Spending Trend11%▼ 1
Stablecoin6%▼ 2
Blockchain5%
Coinbase3%▲ 1

COIN-4.51%AMZN-4.57%AXP+0.48%

Finance › Companies

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

56%Apple

Apple56%▼ 11
NVIDIA32%▲ 9
Alphabet5%▼ 2
Microsoft3%▼ 1

5 more

SpaceX1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%
Broadcom<1%

TSLA-3.08%SPCX-9.14%NVDA-4.40%

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

46%Meta

Meta46%▲ 15
Anthropic39%▼ 13
Google14%▲ 1
OpenAI<1%

17 more

Alibaba<1%
Moonshot<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
MiniMax<1%
Z.ai<1%
Baidu<1%
Xiaomi<1%
DeepSeek<1%
ByteDance<1%
Thinky<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%
Amazon<1%
Nvidia<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Finance › Companies

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

69%Apple

Apple69%▼ 22
NVIDIA27%▲ 17
Alphabet1%
Microsoft<1%

5 more

Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%
Broadcom<1%
SpaceX<1%

TSLA-3.08%SPCX-9.14%NVDA-4.40%

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

49%Anthropic

Anthropic49%▲ 23
Meta41%▼ 22
Alibaba1%▼ 2
Google1%

17 more

Z.ai1%
OpenAI1%
Moonshot1%
DeepSeek1%
SpaceXAI1%
Baidu1%
Tencent<1%
MiniMax<1%
Nvidia<1%
Microsoft<1%
ByteDance<1%
Xiaomi<1%
Thinky<1%
Meituan<1%
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%
StepFun<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

82%Anthropic

Anthropic82%▲ 4
Google12%▼ 4
Meta4%
Alibaba<1%

17 more

StepFun<1%
Moonshot<1%
Baidu<1%
OpenAI<1%
Xiaomi<1%
Z.ai<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Thinky<1%
Mistral<1%
Tencent<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
MiniMax<1%
Meituan<1%
Microsoft<1%

BIDU-1.07%BABA-2.48%AMZN-4.57%

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

74%Anthropic

Anthropic74%▼ 5
OpenAI14%▲ 1
Meta9%▼ 3
xAI7%

10 more

DeepSeek6%
Baidu5%
Amazon5%
Alibaba5%
Microsoft5%
Z.ai4%
Moonshot3%
Mistral3%
Meituan3%
ByteDance1%

MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%GOOGL-3.15%

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

87%Anthropic

Anthropic87%▼ 6
OpenAI6%
Google3%
Meta1%

14 more

Alibaba<1%
Moonshot<1%
Z.ai<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Xiaomi<1%
MiniMax<1%
Nvidia<1%
ByteDance<1%
Baidu<1%
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Microsoft<1%

AMZN-4.57%BABA-2.48%BIDU-1.07%

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

35%Meta

Meta35%▲ 2
Anthropic28%▲ 3
Google26%▲ 9
DeepSeek7%▼ 1

17 more

StepFun6%▲ 1
Nvidia6%▲ 2
Meituan6%
Moonshot6%
OpenAI4%▼ 2
Mistral4%
Alibaba4%
Z.ai4%▼ 2
Microsoft3%
Tencent3%▼ 2
Xiaomi2%▼ 1
Thinky2%
ByteDance1%▼ 3
Baidu1%▼ 3
SpaceXAI1%
MiniMax1%
Amazon1%

AMZN-4.57%BABA-2.48%BIDU-1.07%

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

43%Z.ai

Z.ai43%▲ 12
OpenAI9%
Meta7%▼ 11
Google6%▼ 2

16 more

Xiaomi5%
DeepSeek4%▲ 3
Microsoft4%▼ 5
Alibaba4%
StepFun3%▲ 2
Moonshot3%
Bytedance3%
Anthropic2%
Amazon2%
MiniMax2%
SpaceXAI1%
Tencent1%▲ 1
Meituan1%
Baidu1%
Nvidia1%
Mistral1%

BABA-2.48%AMZN-4.57%BIDU-1.07%

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

54%Google

Google54%▲ 1
Anthropic40%▼ 1
OpenAI3%
Meta1%

16 more

Moonshot<1%
ByteDance<1%
Mistral<1%
Xiaomi<1%
Alibaba<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Baidu<1%
Z.ai<1%
Nvidia<1%
DeepSeek<1%
MiniMax<1%
Meituan<1%
Amazon<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

41%Google

Google41%▲ 11
Anthropic32%▲ 10
Meta13%▼ 1
Microsoft7%

17 more

MiniMax6%▲ 2
SpaceXAI6%
ByteDance6%
Tencent6%
DeepSeek5%▼ 1
StepFun5%
Thinky5%
Z.ai4%
Alibaba4%
OpenAI4%
Xiaomi4%
Amazon3%
Moonshot1%
Nvidia1%
Baidu1%
Meituan1%
Mistral1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

44%Meta

Meta44%▲ 1
Anthropic19%▼ 1
OpenAI16%▼ 2
Google7%▼ 8

17 more

Moonshot3%
Meituan2%
Z.ai2%
Alibaba2%
Xiaomi1%▲ 1
Tencent1%
SpaceXAI1%
DeepSeek1%
Amazon1%
Mistral<1%
Baidu<1%
ByteDance<1%
MiniMax<1%
Thinky<1%
Microsoft<1%
Nvidia<1%
StepFun<1%

GOOGL-3.15%BIDU-1.07%BABA-2.48%

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

91%Meta

Meta91%▲ 1
Alibaba5%▼ 1
Google2%
Anthropic2%

17 more

Xiaomi1%
Baidu1%
OpenAI1%
SpaceXAI1%
Moonshot<1%
Tencent<1%
Z.ai<1%
DeepSeek<1%
ByteDance<1%
Amazon<1%
Nvidia<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

73%Anthropic

Anthropic73%▼ 1
OpenAI12%▼ 4
Alibaba6%▲ 1
Google5%▲ 1

15 more

SpaceXAI1%
Moonshot1%
DeepSeek1%
MiniMax1%
ByteDance1%
Baidu1%
Xiaomi<1%
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Microsoft<1%
Tencent<1%
Z.ai<1%
Meta<1%
Nvidia<1%

BABA-2.48%AMZN-4.57%BIDU-1.07%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

64%Anthropic

Anthropic64%▲ 4
OpenAI21%▲ 3
Google5%
Alibaba1%

17 more

Baidu1%
Z.ai1%
Xiaomi1%
SpaceXAI1%
Amazon1%
ByteDance1%
Nvidia1%
Thinky1%
Mistral1%
Tencent1%
Microsoft1%
DeepSeek1%
Meituan<1%
Meta<1%
Moonshot<1%
StepFun<1%
MiniMax<1%

META-6.98%GOOGL-3.15%BIDU-1.07%

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

65%OpenAI

OpenAI65%▼ 1
Anthropic18%▲ 2
Google5%▲ 1
Meta4%▼ 1

15 more

Meituan2%▼ 1
Moonshot2%
SpaceXAI1%
DeepSeek1%
MiniMax1%
Z.ai1%
Nvidia1%
Alibaba<1%
ByteDance<1%
Baidu<1%
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%
Microsoft<1%
Xiaomi<1%
Tencent<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

17%Meta

Meta17%▼ 1
Moonshot15%▲ 2
Anthropic12%▼ 7
Google12%▲ 1

17 more

Alibaba9%▲ 1
DeepSeek7%▼ 4
OpenAI5%
Z.ai5%
Bytedance2%▼ 1
SpaceXAI1%
Thinky1%▼ 1
Nvidia1%
Amazon1%
StepFun1%
Microsoft1%
Tencent<1%
Baidu<1%
Xiaomi<1%
MiniMax<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%

META-6.98%GOOGL-3.15%BIDU-1.07%

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

64%Google

Google64%▲ 1
Meta24%▲ 2
OpenAI6%▼ 2
Moonshot2%

14 more

SpaceXAI1%
Z.ai1%
DeepSeek1%
Anthropic1%
Alibaba<1%
ByteDance<1%
Baidu<1%
Microsoft<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Xiaomi<1%
MiniMax<1%
Nvidia<1%
Amazon<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

30%Meta

Meta30%▼ 7
Anthropic14%
Google12%▼ 7
Moonshot6%▼ 2

17 more

Alibaba5%▼ 1
Tencent5%
DeepSeek4%
Thinky3%
Mistral3%
Z.ai3%
OpenAI3%
ByteDance2%
SpaceXAI2%▼ 2
Xiaomi2%
Baidu1%
Meituan1%
Microsoft1%
Amazon<1%
Nvidia<1%
StepFun<1%
MiniMax<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

36%Google

Google36%▲ 1
Anthropic32%▼ 3
Meta15%▼ 2
Baidu9%▲ 2

17 more

SpaceXAI8%
OpenAI7%▲ 3
Moonshot6%
MiniMax5%▲ 1
Xiaomi5%▲ 4
Thinky4%
ByteDance4%
Z.ai4%
Meituan3%▼ 1
Alibaba3%
Mistral3%
Amazon1%
Nvidia1%
StepFun1%
Microsoft1%
DeepSeek1%
Tencent1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

83%Google

Google83%▲ 5
Anthropic14%▼ 3
Meta3%
OpenAI1%▼ 2

17 more

Moonshot<1%
Alibaba<1%
Z.ai<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Baidu<1%
Xiaomi<1%
DeepSeek<1%
ByteDance<1%
MiniMax<1%
Thinky<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%
Amazon<1%
Nvidia<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

13%Anthropic

Anthropic13%▼ 10
Mistral11%▼ 7
Meta8%
Alibaba7%▲ 1

10 more

Google6%▼ 1
Moonshot3%
Z.ai3%
SpaceXAI3%
DeepSeek3%
Amazon2%
ByteDance2%
Meituan2%
Baidu2%
Microsoft1%

MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%GOOGL-3.15%

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

41%Anthropic

Anthropic41%▲ 2
Google35%▼ 2
Meta11%▼ 1
OpenAI7%

17 more

Alibaba1%
SpaceXAI1%
Xiaomi1%
Moonshot1%
Z.ai<1%
Baidu<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

90%OpenAI

OpenAI90%▲ 3
Anthropic4%▼ 1
Google4%▲ 1
Meta2%

14 more

Moonshot1%
Z.ai1%
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Nvidia<1%
Alibaba<1%
Xiaomi<1%
MiniMax<1%
ByteDance<1%
Baidu<1%
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Microsoft<1%

META-6.98%GOOGL-3.15%BIDU-1.07%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

73%Anthropic

Anthropic73%▼ 1
Meituan7%▼ 1
OpenAI6%▲ 1
Google5%

17 more

Meta1%
MiniMax1%
SpaceXAI1%
Tencent1%
StepFun1%
Alibaba1%
Moonshot1%
Baidu1%
Z.ai1%
Xiaomi1%
ByteDance1%
Nvidia1%
Thinky1%
Mistral1%
Amazon1%
Microsoft<1%
DeepSeek<1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Finance › Companies

Amazon Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)

107.8median

85166

Median 107.8Middle half 106.3 – 110.0

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

50%Anthropic

Anthropic50%▼ 1
Google38%
Microsoft6%
DeepSeek6%▼ 1

17 more

StepFun6%▲ 2
Tencent5%▼ 6
OpenAI5%
MiniMax5%▲ 1
Mistral4%
Meta4%
Moonshot3%
Z.ai1%
Xiaomi1%
SpaceXAI1%
Alibaba1%
Baidu1%
Nvidia1%
Meituan1%
Amazon1%
ByteDance1%
Thinky1%

NVDA-4.40%MSFT-2.23%META-6.98%

Mentions › Earnings calls

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Oct 29, 2026)

97%Bedrock

Bedrock97%▼ 1
Tariff96%▲ 1
Trainium93%
Graviton91%▼ 1

18 more

Anthropic / Claude89%
Prime Day88%
Alexa+ / Alexa Plus87%▲ 4
Live Sports84%▲ 1
Robotic / Robotics83%▲ 2
OpenAI82%▲ 1
Supply Chain78%▲ 2
NVIDIA78%▲ 1
Gen AI / Generative AI75%▼ 1
Sponsored Products72%▲ 1
Continuum63%▼ 1
Third Party Seller51%▼ 2
Iran / Middle East42%
Snowflake32%▼ 1
Pinterest25%
China21%
Drone18%
Layoff / Job Cuts9%▼ 2

SNOW-2.72%PINS-0.09%NVDA-4.40%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.