Stocks odds

Every Stocks market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.

833 open markets · $2M traded today

Trending stocks markets

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

12%December 31, 2026

December 31, 202612%

What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of October 19 2026?

49%↓ $332

Traders see as low as $332.11.

Reaches $34434%
Reaches $34816%
Reaches $3528%

Falls to $340>99%
Falls to $33686%
Falls to $33249%

Already reached: ↑ $344

AAPL-1.00%

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

43%December 31, 2027

December 31, 20268%
June 30, 202724%
December 31, 202743%▼ 4

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?

$724high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $724 and as low as $652.24.

Reaches $72052%
Reaches $74044%
Reaches $76037%

Falls to $70099%
Falls to $68083%
Falls to $66060%

Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $740, ↓ $720, ↓ $700, ↑ $740, ↑ $760

META-1.59%

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 19?

$262.50median

$240$270

Median $262.50Middle half $261.25 – $263.75

AMZN+0.07%

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 19?

$535median

$510$570

Median $535Middle half $532.50 – $537.50

MSFT-0.31%

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

9%chance▼ 1

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?

$228.39high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $228.39 and as low as $210.18.

Reaches $22464%
Reaches $23239%
Reaches $24015%

Falls to $21694%
Falls to $20834%
Falls to $20013%

Already reached: ↑ $240, ↑ $232, ↓ $224, ↓ $216, ↓ $232, ↓ $240

NVDA-0.29%

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on October 19?

$217.50median

$200$230

Median $217.50Middle half $216.25 – $218.75

NVDA-0.29%

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in October 2026?

$406.84high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $406.84.

Reaches $375>99%
Reaches $39074%
Reaches $40553%

Falls to $36049%
Falls to $34528%
Falls to $33020%

Already reached: ↓ $375, ↓ $360, ↑ $360, ↑ $375, ↓ $360, ↓ $375

TSLA+1.54%

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$394.94high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $394.94 and as low as $361.78.

Reaches $375>99%
Reaches $382.5088%
Reaches $39065%

Falls to $367.50>99%
Falls to $36035%
Falls to $352.5027%

Already reached: ↑ $367.50, ↑ $360

TSLA+1.54%

What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in October 2026?

$191.31high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $191.31 and as low as $158.28.

Reaches $175>99%
Reaches $18074%
Reaches $18569%

Falls to $16570%
Falls to $16055%
Falls to $15541%

Already reached: ↑ $200, ↓ $195, ↓ $190, ↓ $185, ↓ $180, ↓ $175

COIN+1.42%

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 19?

$365median

$340$400

Median $365Middle half $362.50 – $367.50

TSLA+1.54%

Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on October 19?

$342.50median

$330$360

Median $342.50Middle half $341.25 – $343.75

AAPL-1.00%

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on October 19?

$342.50median

$335$365

Median $342.50Middle half $341.25 – $343.75

GOOGL-1.13%

Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on October 20?

$342.50median

$325$355

Median $342.50Middle half $341.25 – $343.75

GOOGL-1.13%

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in October 2026?

42%↓ $328

Traders see as low as $329.28.

Reaches $35225%
Reaches $3609%
Reaches $3687%

Falls to $33692%
Falls to $32842%
Falls to $32018%

Already reached: ↑ $344, ↑ $336, ↓ $328, ↓ $328, ↑ $336, ↑ $336

AAPL-1.00%

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?

$166.07high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $166.07 and as low as $150.26.

Reaches $16077%
Reaches $16270%
Reaches $16451%

Falls to $156>99%
Falls to $154>99%
Falls to $152100%

Already reached: ↑ $192, ↑ $190, ↑ $188, ↑ $186, ↓ $184, ↓ $182

EWY-1.65%

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?

$108.21high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $108.21 and as low as $91.77.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $10573%
Reaches $11037%

Falls to $9567%
Falls to $9041%
Falls to $8540%

Already reached: ↓ $120, ↓ $115, ↓ $110, ↓ $105, ↓ $100, ↓ $95

HOOD+1.75%

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$71.44high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $71.44 and as low as $61.03.

Reaches $70>99%
Reaches $72.5013%
Reaches $758%

Falls to $67.5084%
Falls to $6580%
Falls to $62.5077%

Already reached: ↓ $70

NFLX-1.66%

SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

$2.18Tmedian

$750B$2.5T

Median $2.18TMiddle half $2T – $2.34T

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$224.68high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $224.68 and as low as $213.14.

Reaches $22089%
Reaches $22455%
Reaches $22826%

Falls to $21697%
Falls to $21232%
Falls to $20813%

Already reached: ↑ $216

NVDA-0.29%

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in October 2026?

56%↓ $60

Traders see as low as $59.29.

Reaches $7540%
Reaches $809%
Reaches $854%

Falls to $6574%
Falls to $6056%
Falls to $5517%

Already reached: ↓ $70, ↑ $70, ↓ $70, ↓ $70, ↓ $70, ↓ $70

NFLX-1.66%

Extended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

54%Kraken

Kraken54%
Bybit48%▼ 1
OKX46%▲ 1
Coinbase30%▼ 3

3 more

Upbit28%▲ 6
Binance16%▼ 2
Revolut13%▼ 12

COIN+1.42%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Biggest moves today

More ›

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of October 19 2026?↓ $95 32% ▼ 59
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit Week of October 19 2026?↓ $142.50 16% ▼ 56

Decided soon

Calendar ›

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 19?$262.50 For Mon 4:00 PM ET
Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 19?$535 For Mon 4:00 PM ET
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on October 19?$217.50 For Mon 4:00 PM ET
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 19?$365 For Mon 4:00 PM ET
Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on October 19?$342.50 For Mon 4:00 PM ET
Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on October 19?$342.50 For Mon 4:00 PM ET

Prices these markets are about

All ›

Price it is about	Last	Today	Markets
Tesla, Inc.TSLA	373.71	+1.54%	34
Alphabet Inc.GOOGL	340.28	−1.13%	113
Amazon.com, Inc.AMZN	262.63	+0.07%	62
Microsoft CorporationMSFT	531.87	−0.31%	49
USOUSO	160.61	−0.12%	16
Crude OilCL=F	99.16	+1.37%	16
NVIDIA CorporationNVDA	216.47	−0.29%	72
Apple Inc.AAPL	339.50	−1.00%	28
Meta Platforms, Inc.META	694.25	−1.59%	71
Space Exploration TechnologiesSPCX	147.79	−0.11%	19

Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.