Commodities odds

Every Commodities market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.

835 open markets · $1.9M traded today

Trending commodities markets

Crude Oil all time high by...?

17%December 31

March 31, 202717%▼ 2
December 3117%

CL=F-0.30%USO-0.59%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$103.37high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $103.37 and as low as $92.96.

Reaches $10080%
Reaches $10536%
Reaches $11016%

Falls to $9565%
Falls to $9029%
Falls to $8512%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90

CL=F-0.30%USO-0.59%

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

50%↑ $4,500

Reaches $4,50050%
Reaches $5,00011%
Reaches $6,0005%

Falls to $3,5009%
Falls to $3,0004%
Falls to $2,5003%

GC=F-0.50%GLD-0.61%IAU-0.63%

How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

39%$115.01 or above

Reaches $11539%
Reaches $12028%
Reaches $12523%

CL=F-0.30%USO-0.59%

Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

$97.90median

$57.49$117.99

Median $97.90Middle half $93.07 – $103.19

CL=F-0.30%USO-0.59%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

$4,270high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,270 and as low as $4,038.

Reaches $4,20069%
Reaches $4,30042%
Reaches $4,40010%

Falls to $4,10074%
Falls to $4,00035%
Falls to $3,9009%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200

GC=F-0.50%IAU-0.63%GLD-0.61%

US gas prices tomorrow (Oct 20, 2026)

$4.28median

$4.25$4.34

Median $4.28Middle half $4.28 – $4.28

UGA-1.10%RB=F-0.20%

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

44%Above $4.60

Reaches $4.6044%
Reaches $4.8032%
Reaches $523%

RB=F-0.20%UGA-1.10%

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

$4.23median

$2.40$5.10

Median $4.23Middle half $4.15 – $4.30

RB=F-0.20%UGA-1.10%

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

4.17median

3.605.10

Median 4.17

US gas prices this week (Oct 26, 2026)

$4.25median

$4.08$4.52

Median $4.25Middle half $4.22 – $4.26

RB=F-0.20%UGA-1.10%

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

$60.38high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $60.38 and as low as $54.46.

Reaches $5877%
Reaches $6056%
Reaches $6222%

Falls to $5675%
Falls to $5443%
Falls to $5214%

Already reached: ↓ $62, ↓ $60, ↓ $58, ↓ $56, ↓ $60, ↑ $62

SI=F-0.13%SLV+0.06%

US gas prices on Election Day (Nov 3, 2026)

4.21median

2.255.25

Median 4.21Middle half 4.09 – 4.39

US imports Russian diesel by...?

45%December 31

October 313%
November 3030%▲ 2
December 3145%

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

$6.26median

$5.40$7.60

Median $6.26Middle half $6.22 – $6.30

Diesel price on Election Day (November 3, 2026)

$6.38median

$4.20$7.40

Median $6.38Middle half $6.23 – $6.60

Copper price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

$6.59median

$6.36$7.29

Median $6.59Middle half $6.49 – $6.70

HG=F+0.16%CPER+0.18%

Brent crude oil price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

$105.35median

$78.99$140.99

Median $105.35Middle half $100.65 – $110.86

BZ=F-0.31%BNO-0.10%

WTI price at year end? (December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST)

$95median

$70$130

Median $95Middle half $79.09 – $109.33

CL=F-0.30%USO-0.59%

SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026

78%Above $2,250/MTU

$500$2,500

Gold price at year end? (December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST)

47%4,300 or above

$4,200$5,600

GC=F-0.50%GLD-0.61%IAU-0.63%

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 20, 2026?

$98.42median

$90.99$106.49

Median $98.42Middle half $96.87 – $99.74

CL=F-0.30%USO-0.59%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$4,204high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,204 and as low as $4,084.

Reaches $4,20053%
Reaches $4,25020%
Reaches $4,3007%

Falls to $4,10061%
Falls to $4,05028%
Falls to $4,00013%

Already reached: ↓ $4,150

GC=F-0.50%GLD-0.61%IAU-0.63%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$101.94high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $101.94.

Reaches $10074%
Reaches $10513%
Reaches $1107%

Falls to $9546%
Falls to $9019%
Falls to $8519%

CL=F-0.30%USO-0.59%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Biggest moves today

SMM APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) on Oct 30, 2026?Above… 3% ▼ 81
New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026Above 4.5000 18% ▼ 75

Decided soon

US gas prices tomorrow (Oct 20, 2026)$4.28 Closes today 11:59 PM ET
Copper Price (Oct 19, 2026)21% Closes tomorrow 12:55 AM ET
Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 20, 2026?$98.42 Closes tomorrow 2:30 PM ET

Prices these markets are about

Price it is about	Last	Today	Markets
Tesla, Inc.TSLA	368.06	+3.76%	33
Alphabet Inc.GOOGL	344.18	+1.05%	116
USOUSO	160.81	−0.59%	14
Crude OilCL=F	98.24	−0.30%	14
Amazon.com, Inc.AMZN	262.45	+4.98%	61
Microsoft CorporationMSFT	533.52	+0.84%	49
NVIDIA CorporationNVDA	217.09	+1.38%	71
Meta Platforms, Inc.META	705.44	−0.55%	71
Boeing Company (The)BA	191.42	+0.64%	10
United States Gasoline Fund LPUGA	143.32	−1.10%	8

Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.