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Gold price at year end? (December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST)
The odds
How the odds have moved
4,300 or above: 69% on Sep 22, 38% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Oct 17, 12 AM ET4,300 or above: 44% → 51%
- Oct 1, 12 AM ET4,300 or above: 44% → 51%
- Sep 29, 12 AM ET4,300 or above: 55% → 45%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,300 or above | 38% | ▼ 2 | 35¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 72.2K |
| 4,400 or above | 30% | ▼ 3 | 29¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 64.7K |
| 4,500 or above | 20% | ▼ 8 | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 31.6K |
| 4,600 or above | 11% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 27.5K |
| 4,700 or above | 9% | ▼ 2 | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 17.3K |
| 4,800 or above | 7% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 26.5K |
| 4,900 or above | 6% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 22.8K |
| 5,000 or above | 6% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 19.4K |
| 5,100 or above | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 10.6K | |
| 5,200 or above | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 8.8K | |
| 5,300 or above | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 7.3K | |
| 5,400 or above | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 13.4K | |
| 5,500 or above | 4% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 30.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: gold prices, gold, PM EST
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GoldBod revises gold price announcement times until March 2027Goldbod CEO Sammy Gyamfi The Ghana Gold Board (GoldBod) is moving its daily local gold price announcements one hour later from Monday, October 26, 2026, following a change in the time difference between Ghana and the United Kingdom. The… -
GoldBod revises gold price announcement schedule until March 2027The Ghana Gold Board (GoldBod) has announced new times for releasing local gold prices, with the changes taking effect from Monday, October 26, 2026, to Saturday, March 27, 2027. - You are only allowed to submit content which you have… -
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Gold prices today (October 25): Continuing decline, SJC gold rings fall below 140 million VND/ounce.Gold prices today (October 25): In the domestic market, the price of gold bars and gold rings continues to fall across most brands; world gold prices have lost the $4,000/ounce mark. Domestic gold bar prices today SJC, Bao Tin Manh Hai… - Gold Price in RaipurGold Rate Today In Raipur, Check Live 22 And 24 Carat Gold Price NDTV Profit Gold Price in Raipur Updated on 23 October 2026 Gold Price Comparison (24K vs 22K) in Raipur Calculate Gold Prices in your City Know About Gold Prices in Raipur…
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Gold price outlook: Can bulls survive the death cross and oil surge?Buy United States Oil Fund (USO). The news is a direct tailwind: Brent ~$117 and WTI ~$103, with diesel at all-time highs and sanctions easing not stopping the move. Higher oil feeds inflation, which the Fed is unlikely to cut… -
Gold Price Exclusive Update - October 24, 2026Our proprietary cycle indicator is DOWN. To public readers of our updates, our cycle indicator is one of the most effective timing tool for traders and investors. It is not perfect, because periodically the market can be more volatile and… -
Gold prices jump from ₹432 to ₹1.42 lakh in 50 years: Should you sell inherited gold jewellery, exchange it or keep it?Gold prices have risen sharply over the years, making inherited jewellery worth revisiting. A necklace passed down by a parent or a pair of old bangles may hold both financial and sentimental value. But should you sell the jewellery at… -
Undervalued? West Wits Mining: Bank-Backed, Pouring Gold, Priced Below PeersWest Wits Mining (ASX:WWI) is pouring gold at Qala Shallows and is funded to 70,000oz p.a., yet trades near A$21/oz in the ground versus A$44-118 for peers. Deysel stresses that the cost base is not theoretical. He told Crux Investor that… -
Today’s Gold Rate in India October 24: Gold prices up in Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, BengaluruGold prices rose across most metro cities today compared to yesterday. Below is a detailed breakdown of gold prices in these cities. Gold rates in India: Gold prices in India today were ₹13,150 for 1 gram of 22-carat gold (up by ₹10) and… -
Today’s Gold Rate in India October 24: Gold prices up in Coimbatore, Nagpur, Visakhapatnam, Surat, JaipurGold prices rose across most other cities today compared to yesterday. Below is a detailed breakdown of gold prices in these cities. Gold rates in India: Gold prices in India today were ₹13,150 for 1 gram of 22-carat gold (up by ₹10) and… -
Gold Rate Today, October 6: 24K Gold At Rs 14,902 Per Gram, 22K At Rs 13,660; Check Gold Price In Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai And Other Cities, Silver Rate And Latest UpdateGold prices in India witnessed a marginal decline on October 6, 2026. The rate of 24K gold stood at ₹14,902 per gram, while 22K gold was priced at Rs 13,660 per gram. The price of 18K gold stood at Rs 11,177 per gram. On a larger scale, 10…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions