Companies odds

Every Companies market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.

836 open markets · $2.1M traded today

Trending companies markets

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

>99%chance

Largest Company end of December 2026?

74%NVIDIA

NVIDIA74%▲ 3
Apple23%▼ 2
Alphabet2%
Microsoft1%

4 more

SpaceX<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%

AAPL+1.44%AMZN-0.31%GOOGL-2.16%

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

>99%October 31

October 31>99%
December 31>99%

AI bubble burst by...?

22%June 30, 2027

December 31, 202610%▼ 1
June 30, 202722%▲ 1

Largest Company end of October 2026?

91%NVIDIA

NVIDIA91%▲ 3
Apple9%▼ 3
Alphabet<1%
Microsoft<1%

5 more

SpaceX<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%
Amazon<1%

SPCX+9.59%NVDA+1.74%MSFT-0.16%

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

25%December 31, 2029

December 31, 202711%▲ 1
December 31, 202814%▼ 8
December 31, 202925%▼ 4

Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026

644.1median

540720

Median 644.1Middle half 630.3 – 655

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

95%chance

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

10%December 31

December 3110%▼ 1

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

28%December 31, 2029

December 31, 202711%
December 31, 202820%
December 31, 202928%

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

84%Before April 2027

Before April 202784%
Before March 202713%▼ 1
Before February 20274%
Before 20272%▼ 1

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

$212.95Bhigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $212.95B.

Reaches $200B79%
Reaches $225B23%
Reaches $250B23%

Falls to $140B3%
Falls to $135B3%
Falls to $130B3%

Already reached: ↑$190B, ↑$180B, ↑$170B, ↑$160B

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 (comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026)

9.55%median

3%12.5%

Median 9.55%

Gemini App Downloads in October 2026

217.5high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 217.5.

Reaches 3599%
Reaches 5099%
Reaches 6098%

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3 (average passenger fare in Q3 2026)

$230.23median

$180$245

Median $230.23Middle half $224.32 – $234.02

How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? (Before 2027)

502,618median

250,0002.50M

Median 502,618

Tesla total deliveries in 2026

1.82Mmedian

1.45M1.95M

Median 1.82MMiddle half 1.79M – 1.84M

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

99%October 31

October 3199%▲ 1
November 3099%▲ 1
December 3199%▲ 14

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

74.61%median

60%95%

Median 74.61%Middle half 69.6% – 82.33%

3rd Largest Company end of October?

76%Alphabet

Alphabet76%▼ 5
Microsoft23%▲ 3
Apple<1%
NVIDIA<1%

5 more

Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%
Broadcom<1%
SpaceX<1%

AAPL+1.44%AMZN-0.31%AVGO+0.38%

Robinhood funded customers in 2026

29.33Mmedian

27.80M36.80M

Median 29.33MMiddle half 28.99M – 30.02M

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?

44%↑$125B

Reaches $125B44%
Reaches $150B25%
Reaches $175B12%

Falls to $75B8%
Falls to $70B6%
Falls to $65B5%

Already reached: ↑$110B, ↑$100B, ↑$95B, ↓$80B

United Airlines passengers flown in 2026

187.32Mmedian

176.00M198.00M

Median 187.32MMiddle half 186.35M – 188.70M

Amazon headcount in Q3

1.62Mmedian

1.52M1.70M

Median 1.62MMiddle half 1.60M – 1.64M

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Decided soon

Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth?2.44% Closes tomorrow 9:30 AM ET
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?46% Closes Fri 7:59 PM ET
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?59% Closes Fri 7:59 PM ET

Prices these markets are about

Price it is about	Last	Today	Markets
Tesla, Inc.TSLA	386.44	+3.41%	33
Alphabet Inc.GOOGL	332.92	−2.16%	112
Amazon.com, Inc.AMZN	261.81	−0.31%	62
Microsoft CorporationMSFT	531.03	−0.16%	49
USOUSO	160.61	−0.12%	16
Crude OilCL=F	97.69	−0.13%	16
NVIDIA CorporationNVDA	220.24	+1.74%	71
Apple Inc.AAPL	344.40	+1.44%	28
Meta Platforms, Inc.META	710.55	+2.35%	71
Space Exploration TechnologiesSPCX	161.97	+9.59%	19

Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.