Largest Company end of October 2026?
66%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA66%▲ 5
- Apple34%▼ 3
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Install
Amazon headcount in Q3
The odds
1.62Mmedian
1.52M1.70M
Median 1.62MMiddle half 1.60M – 1.64M
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.62M on Oct 20, 1.62M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.54 million | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 6.1K | |
| Above 1.56 million | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 16.9K | |
| Above 1.58 million | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 13.2K | |
| Above 1.6 million | 79% | 78¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 6.6K | |
| Above 1.62 million | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 5.6K | |
| Above 1.64 million | 20% | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 2.9K | |
| Above 1.66 million | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 7.8K | |
| Above 1.68 million | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 11.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Amazon
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Earnings playbook: Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and more report this week. Here's what to expectEarnings season is in full swing, and more tech giants are slated to report in the new week as investors look for clues on how companies are financing the artificial intelligence boom. Around 160 S & ... -
Amazon adds handwritten ebook notes to the Kindle Android app.After adding the option to annotate Kindle ebooks with handwritten notes on its new Alexa Tablets, Amazon has brought the same functionality to the Kindle Android app, as some users in the Kindle subreddit have discovered. It currently… -
Brazil’s election and the battle for the Amazon – podcastOur Latin America correspondent, Tom Phillips, heads to Roraima to hear what’s at stake for the rainforest and the communities that live there in the Brazilian presidential runoff on Sunday. Send your comments and questions to… -
You could just get a refurbished Samsung phone on AmazonI recently bought a used Galaxy phone, and now Samsung is leaning into that market on Amazon after raising prices on its newest phones. Its certified renewed phones are available on Amazon for the first time, with a new battery and a… -
‘Carrie’ Renewed for Season 2 at Amazon“Carrie,” Amazon Prime Video’s series adaptation of Stephen King’s famous 1974 novel of the same name, has been renewed for a second season that will go beyond the events of the book. Per the official series description, “Misfit… -
Amazon’s Serial Killer Romance Finds Its Lead LoversEmma Laird and Thomas Doherty will star in Prime Video's adaptation of "Butcher & Blackbird" The people want what they want — and apparently right now, that looks like two hot serial killers getting their freak on. Amazon MGM Studios is… -
Amazon renames Kindle Unlimited to Kindle Plus and expands access to audiobooksThe plus-ification of subscription services continues unabated with Amazon becoming the latest company to follow suit with a Kindle Unlimited rebrand. The subscription service is now known as Kindle Plus but will continue to offer… -
Amazon's Prime Video Leans Into New Adult Romance & Book AdaptationsAmazon Prime Video has found much success in the YA space with series such as The Summer I Turned Pretty, We Were Liars, Elle and Sterling Point. Now, the streamer is turning its attention to a similar but slightly older and raunchier… -
'Butcher & Blackbird' Movie Set At Amazon MGM, Cast UnveiledEXCLUSIVE: Lyrical Media and Embrace have sold feature package Butcher & Blackbird, a dark romance based on the bestselling novel by Brynne Weaver, to Amazon MGM Studios, for release worldwide on Prime Video. Chris McKay, the filmmaker who… -
Amazon Prime customers could get $200 refunds in FTC settlementWBZ This Morning 5am CBS News Detroit 5am CBS News Miami 5am CBS News Philadelphia 5am KDKA-TV Morning News 5am -
‘This is a lethal threat’: Indigenous groups fear Bolsonaro’s hold on voters in Brazil’s Amazon townsFar-right presidential candidate is popular among those who believe more mining can help revitalise local economies It was the night before the first round of Brazil’s presidential election and Rosimari Monteiro was so excited she couldn’t… -
Amazon Prime Big Deal DaysBig Deal Days might be over, but discounts are still desperately clinging to life, and we've got highly rated Lenovo laptops at low prices for a few moments more. Amazon's Big Deal Days event is now over but if you need a new computer…
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- Microsoft1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions