Largest Company end of October 2026?
92%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA92%▲ 11
- Apple7%▼ 10
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
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Largest Company end of December 2026?
The odds
65%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA65%▲ 1
- Apple33%
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
How the odds have moved
NVIDIA: 71% on Oct 20, 65% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 11 PM ETNVIDIA: 64% → 59%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 65% | ▲ 1 | 64¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | $1.5M |
| Apple | 33% | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.01 | $1.3M | |
| Alphabet | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $851K | |
| Microsoft | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1.1M | ||
| SpaceX | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1M | ||
| Tesla | <1% | 0¢ | $1.1M | |||
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | 0¢ | $1.1M | |||
| Amazon | <1% | 0¢ | $1M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Largest Company
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Apple is set to take back the market-cap crown from Nvidia. Upcoming earnings may push it over the topApple is set to leapfrog Nvidia and reclaim its title as the world's largest company as tech investors embrace consumer hardware again. Apple's upcoming strong earnings may be the catalyst that pushes ... -
Meta shares are down 9% this week. Here's why Mike Khouw is buying nowSize is a relative matter. The standard Manhattan apartment would seem almost claustrophobic compared to the vast expanses offered by suburban living. A similar dynamic is playing out in the market. Mega-cap companies are generally defined… -
Why McDonalds, Microsoft and Google saying no to tokenized stocks isn't a dealbreakerThis is an excerpt from CoinDesk's new ‘Tokenization Weekly’ newsletter that will be launching soon. Sign-up details will be here when it goes live. The SEC's new framework for tokenized stock trading looked, at first glance, roughly a… -
Sharp drops for AI stocks overwhelm markets worldwide as oil prices jumpDatacenter and chip costs fueled sharp decrease in AI sector although non-AI stocks still had a strong showing The latest shudder for stocks in the AI industry pulled markets lower worldwide on Thursday, while oil prices hit their highest… -
Democratic Surrogates Campaign, US & Israel Plan Iran Strikes, Tesla SpaceX MergerDemocrats are sending former President Barack Obama and former Vice President Kamala Harris into competitive Senate races to help the party win in Republican territory.NPR has learned the U.S. and Israel are preparing for a possible attack… -
RSP Trailed IVV by $95,160 on $300,000 Over Five Years. Over One Year, It LedEqual-weight investing sounds like a safer, more balanced approach to the S&P 500, but the five-year price tag on that logic will surprise you. The one-year verdict complicates the story even further. The ETF Examiner desk. Editor: Ryne… -
Tether’s MDK Gains Broad Industry Backing to Accelerate the Next Generation of Bitcoin Mining AutomationThat distinction is central to the model. MDK is not an attempt to make every manufacturer or mining pool operate the same way. It is designed to make different systems interoperable. Across Bitcoin, AI, communications, energy and… -
Eli Lilly's Fast Growth Hasn't Slowed Its Progress As Sustainability LeaderEli Lilly's commitment to philanthropy, coupled with a dedication to environmental progress, make it a sustainability leader. The post Eli Lilly's Fast Growth Hasn't Slowed Its Progress As Sustainability Leader appeared first on Investor's… -
History Says Nvidia Rarely Trades This Cheaply. Here's What Happened the Last Time.Nvidia (NVDA -0.59%) has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution that began four years ago, with shares of the semiconductor giant up by almost 1,700% over this period. Nvidia stock's stunning… -
Communications and financial shares rise 4% while ASX 200 loses groundEight of the 11 sectors rose but a hefty fall in mining stocks pulled the ASX 200 into the red. Communications and financial shares led the ASX 200 market sectors last week, with both rising 4%. Despite 8 of the 11 sectors going higher… -
iShares Nasdaq Top 30 Stocks ETF $QTOP Holdings Raised by Diversify Advisory Services LLCPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 23rd, 2026 NASDAQ QTOP opened at $36.70 on Friday. The company has a market capitalization of $337.64 million, a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.35 and a beta of 1.38. The company’s 50-day simple moving… -
Elon Musk Says a SpaceX-Tesla Merger Is a “Good Idea.” Here’s What Stands in the Way.It's no secret that a merger between Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX +1.89%) and Tesla could be in the works. The prediction markets platform Kalshi places the odds of such a tie-up happening before next May at 59%, as of this…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions