Largest Company end of October 2026?
90%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA90%▲ 18
- Apple10%▼ 17
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
The last odds before it closed
99%Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace
- Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace99%▲ 34
- ChatGPT<1%
- Muse from Meta<1%▼ 23
- TikTok Pro - Events<1%▼ 2
- Claude by Anthropic<1%▼ 2
- McDonald's<1%▼ 1
- KICK - Live Streaming<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace: 39% on Oct 20, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 5 PM ETVinted: Pre-loved marketplace: 75% → 99%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace | 99% | ▲ 34 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $3.2K | |
| ChatGPT | <1% | 1¢ | $2.5K | |||
| Muse from Meta | <1% | ▼ 23 | 0¢ | $1.1K | ||
| TikTok Pro - Events | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $208 | ||
| Claude by Anthropic | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $206 | ||
| McDonald's | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $172 | ||
| KICK - Live Streaming | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $432 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Apple App Store, Free App
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Elon Musk and Tim Sweeney bash Apple App Store fee as Patreon creators are slated to make less on iOS than AndroidIn a blog post, Patreon has now confirmed that after November 4 new memberships will be charged a 30% App Store fee in the iOS app. Since Apple’s in-app payment system only supports subscription billing, creators using the… -
How parents can claim their child's Trump Account, possible $1,000 seed contributionFormer Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender analyzes the potential expansion of Trump accounts for adults. He also weighs in on the challenges Chinas domestic economy is facing. Tens of millions of tax-advantaged Trump Accounts… -
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Free Fire India launch date 2026: Is Garena releasing the game soon? What we knowFree Fire India could be nearing its long-awaited return, with renewed activity around Garena's official Indian channels and updates shared by popular gaming creators triggering excitement among players. However, Garena has not officially… -
The chaos in France is a ‘warning signal’ for Australia’s public spending and rising costsAustralia’s public debt may be well below that of France but there are lessons to be taken from its economic woes Get our daily political email, free app or daily news podcast The explosion of discontent that led to major protests and… -
Florida Wants to Verify Your Age Before You Can Use Apps, AI Chatbots, or Your PhoneFlorida AG Uthmeier’s Safe Screens Act would impose age checks on app stores, device OS platforms, and AI chatbots, with fines up to $50,000 per violation Protecting kids online is the stated goal. What the mechanism apparently requires is… -
I stopped uploading private documents to AI, this free app handles them on my PCI don't know about you, but I have more bills, invoices, bank statements, and healthcare documents than I know what to do with. Finding a specific detail, understanding a complicated term, or ... I don't know about you, but I have more… -
Another player enters SA’s MVNO frayEntrepreneur and The Perfume Co Africa(TPC Africa) founder Bathabile Moreki has entered South Africa’s thriving mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) market via her new venture, TPC Africa Mobile. Unveiled at the weekend, TPC Africa… -
Australians should prepare for online services to go down unexpectedly as threats rise, cyber agency warnsAustralian Signals Directorate chief says advanced AI tools are needed to defend against ‘AI-enabled attackers’ Get our daily political email, free app or daily news podcast Australians should prepare for more basic and important online… -
Apple Display Veterans Step Back as New Leaders Take OverTwo executives who have spent roughly three decades each at Apple are handing over responsibility for its displays, as part of a broader series of engineering leadership changes reported by Bloomberg's Mark Gurman. Victor Yin now oversees… -
TERREPOWER to Showcase Product and Technology Innovation at AAPEX 2026 with Remy BAS Hybrid Unit, New Part Numbers and the Launch of Mobile S.T.A.R.T. Diagnostic AppThe company will also highlight a major expansion of its steering and braking portfolio, including 92 new electric power steering part numbers and the planned 2027 expansion of its NuGeon 100% new brake caliper line to more than 1,800…
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Lowe's customer transactions in Q3 2026
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Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 182.85M.
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Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
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Largest Company end of December 2026?
63%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA63%
- Apple34%
- Alphabet2%
5 more
- Microsoft<1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions