Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
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When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
The odds
84%Before April 2027
- Before April 202784%▲ 1
- Before March 202713%▲ 2
- Before February 20274%
- Before 20273%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before April 2027 | 84% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 18.0K |
| Before March 2027 | 13% | ▲ 2 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 53.6K |
| Before February 2027 | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 65.7K | |
| Before 2027 | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.5M | |
| Before October | 1% | $100.00 | 3.5M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Apple, Phone
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.