Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 19?
$535median
$510$570
Median $535Middle half $532.50 – $537.50
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Microsoft Corporation MSFT prediction markets
Every prediction market about Microsoft Corporation: its own price outlook, questions about it, and the ones that move it.
Where traders see Microsoft Corporation
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 19 2026?
$540.14high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $540.14 and as low as $522.14.
- Reaches $54051%
- Reaches $547.5023%
- Reaches $5559%
- Falls to $532.50>99%
- Falls to $52562%
- Falls to $517.5031%
Already reached: ↑ $532.50
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?
$558.57high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $558.57 and as low as $502.42.
- Reaches $54078%
- Reaches $55557%
- Reaches $57026%
- Falls to $52587%
- Falls to $51071%
- Falls to $49529%
Already reached: ↑ $540, ↑ $525, ↑ $510, ↓ $525, ↓ $525, ↓ $525
About the company
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
78%Google
- Google78%▲ 7
- Anthropic19%▼ 10
- OpenAI1%
- Meta1%
17 more
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
72%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA72%▲ 2
- Apple26%▲ 1
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
50%Anthropic
- Anthropic50%▲ 3
- Google40%▼ 2
- OpenAI6%
- xAI1%
11 more
- Meta1%
- Alibaba<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Meituan<1%
Largest Company end of October 2026?
88%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA88%▼ 1
- Apple11%▲ 2
- Alphabet<1%
- Microsoft<1%
5 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
52%Google
- Google52%▼ 1
- Anthropic39%▲ 1
- OpenAI5%
- Meta2%
17 more
- Alibaba<1%
- Z.ai<1%▼ 2
- Moonshot<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
40%Meta
- Meta40%▼ 19
- Z.ai31%▼ 5
- Tencent15%▲ 14
- Microsoft13%▲ 13
16 more
- Google6%▲ 2
- DeepSeek4%▲ 2
- SpaceXAI4%▲ 4
- OpenAI3%
- Anthropic3%▲ 1
- Moonshot3%▲ 1
- Alibaba2%
- Xiaomi2%
- Amazon2%▲ 2
- MiniMax2%▲ 1
- StepFun2%▲ 1
- Meituan1%
- Baidu1%
- Nvidia1%
- Bytedance1%▲ 1
- Mistral1%
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
81%OpenAI
- OpenAI81%▲ 14
- Google9%▼ 16
- Anthropic5%▼ 1
- Moonshot1%▼ 3
14 more
- Z.ai1%▼ 3
- Meta<1%▼ 1
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
65%OpenAI
- OpenAI65%▲ 19
- Anthropic17%▼ 5
- Google6%▼ 4
- Meta5%▼ 1
15 more
- Meituan4%▼ 3
- Moonshot2%▼ 1
- MiniMax1%
- SpaceXAI1%
- DeepSeek1%
- Z.ai1%
- ByteDance1%▼ 3
- Baidu1%
- Alibaba<1%▼ 6
- Nvidia<1%▼ 1
- Amazon<1%
- Mistral<1%▼ 1
- Microsoft<1%▼ 1
- Tencent<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
90%Anthropic
- Anthropic90%▲ 2
- OpenAI5%
- Google3%
- Meta1%
14 more
- Z.ai<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Microsoft<1%
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
64%Alphabet
- Alphabet64%▼ 3
- Microsoft29%▼ 1
- Apple6%▲ 4
- NVIDIA1%
5 more
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
74%Google
- Google74%▲ 4
- Anthropic16%▼ 6
- Meta5%▲ 3
- OpenAI4%▲ 2
17 more
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Thinky<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
83%Apple
- Apple83%▼ 2
- NVIDIA14%▲ 1
- Alphabet1%
- Microsoft<1%
5 more
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?
74%Anthropic
- Anthropic74%▲ 12
- OpenAI15%▲ 1
- Alibaba4%▼ 1
- Google4%▼ 1
15 more
- SpaceXAI1%
- DeepSeek1%
- Baidu1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Tencent<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Meta<1%
- Nvidia<1%
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
76%Google
- Google76%▲ 26
- OpenAI14%▼ 16
- Meta4%▼ 1
- SpaceXAI2%▼ 1
14 more
- Moonshot2%
- Z.ai1%▼ 1
- DeepSeek1%▲ 1
- Anthropic1%
- Alibaba1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Baidu<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Amazon<1%
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
47%Anthropic
- Anthropic47%▼ 3
- Meta36%▲ 7
- Google15%▼ 4
- OpenAI1%
17 more
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Thinky<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
32%Meta
- Meta32%▼ 7
- Anthropic22%▼ 1
- Google17%▲ 1
- StepFun14%▲ 8
17 more
- OpenAI9%▲ 1
- Moonshot6%
- Tencent5%
- DeepSeek4%
- ByteDance4%
- Nvidia4%▼ 2
- Mistral4%
- Alibaba4%
- Z.ai4%
- Xiaomi3%
- Microsoft3%
- Baidu3%
- Meituan2%▼ 6
- Thinky2%
- SpaceXAI1%
- MiniMax1%
- Amazon1%
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
42%Meta
- Meta42%▼ 1
- Anthropic18%
- OpenAI17%▼ 1
- Google14%▼ 1
17 more
- Moonshot4%▼ 1
- Meituan3%
- Z.ai2%▼ 1
- Tencent1%
- Alibaba1%▼ 1
- Xiaomi1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Thinky<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- StepFun<1%
Second-best AI Lab end of October?
68%Anthropic
- Anthropic68%▼ 1
- Google24%▲ 2
- Meta4%▲ 1
- Alibaba1%
17 more
- OpenAI1%
- Xiaomi1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- StepFun<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- Thinky<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Tencent<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Microsoft<1%
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
56%Meta
- Meta56%▼ 11
- Anthropic31%▲ 13
- Alibaba3%
- Google2%
17 more
- Z.ai1%
- Moonshot1%
- OpenAI1%
- SpaceXAI1%
- Baidu1%
- Xiaomi1%
- DeepSeek1%
- Tencent<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Thinky<1%
- Amazon<1%
- StepFun<1%
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
55%Anthropic
- Anthropic55%▼ 6
- OpenAI10%▼ 1
- Meta7%▼ 1
- xAI6%
10 more
- DeepSeek5%
- Baidu4%
- Alibaba4%
- Z.ai4%
- Microsoft4%
- Amazon3%▼ 2
- Moonshot2%
- Mistral2%
- Meituan2%
- ByteDance1%
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
70%Anthropic
- Anthropic70%▲ 2
- OpenAI17%▼ 2
- Google5%
- Alibaba1%
17 more
- Baidu1%
- Z.ai1%
- Xiaomi1%
- SpaceXAI1%
- DeepSeek1%
- Amazon1%
- ByteDance1%
- Nvidia1%
- Thinky1%
- Mistral1%
- Tencent1%
- Microsoft1%
- Meituan<1%
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- StepFun<1%
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
58%Apple
- Apple58%▲ 1
- NVIDIA28%
- Alphabet8%▼ 1
- Microsoft4%▼ 1
5 more
- SpaceX1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Broadcom<1%
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
46%Anthropic
- Anthropic46%▼ 4
- Google40%▼ 1
- OpenAI5%
- Z.ai3%▼ 1
16 more
- Alibaba2%
- Meta1%
- Moonshot1%
- Baidu1%
- DeepSeek1%
- ByteDance1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Tencent<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Amazon<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
21%Anthropic
- Anthropic21%▼ 4
- Mistral7%
- Google7%
- Alibaba5%▲ 2
10 more
- Meta5%▼ 1
- SpaceXAI3%
- Z.ai3%
- Moonshot3%▲ 1
- DeepSeek3%
- Amazon2%
- ByteDance2%
- Meituan2%
- Microsoft2%
- Baidu2%
Second-best AI Lab end of December?
35%Google
- Google35%
- Anthropic33%▲ 1
- Meta17%
- Baidu10%▲ 3
17 more
- SpaceXAI8%
- MiniMax5%▼ 3
- OpenAI5%▼ 1
- Thinky4%
- ByteDance4%
- Z.ai4%
- Meituan3%
- Alibaba3%
- Moonshot3%
- Xiaomi1%
- Mistral1%▼ 1
- StepFun1%
- DeepSeek1%
- Amazon1%
- Nvidia1%
- Tencent1%
- Microsoft1%
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
27%Google
- Google27%
- Anthropic16%▼ 2
- Meta13%▲ 1
- Microsoft6%
17 more
- Tencent5%
- ByteDance5%
- MiniMax5%▼ 1
- StepFun4%
- Alibaba3%
- OpenAI3%
- SpaceXAI3%
- Z.ai3%
- Xiaomi3%
- Amazon3%
- DeepSeek2%
- Thinky2%
- Moonshot1%▼ 1
- Baidu<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Mistral<1%
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
10%Microsoft
- Microsoft10%▼ 3
- SpaceXAI9%▲ 1
- Google7%▼ 1
- DeepSeek5%
9 more
- Meta3%
- Z.ai3%
- Amazon3%▼ 1
- Meituan2%▼ 1
- Moonshot2%
- Alibaba2%▼ 1
- ByteDance1%
- Mistral1%
- Baidu1%
3rd Largest Company end of October?
80%Alphabet
- Alphabet80%▲ 1
- Microsoft20%
- Apple1%
- NVIDIA<1%
5 more
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?
47.33%median
42%52%
Median 47.33%Middle half 46.31% – 48.76%
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
52%Google
- Google52%▼ 2
- Anthropic39%▲ 2
- OpenAI4%
- Meta2%
16 more
- Moonshot<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Second-best AI Lab end of November?
38%Anthropic
- Anthropic38%
- Google36%▲ 2
- Meta11%▼ 1
- OpenAI9%▼ 1
17 more
- Alibaba1%
- SpaceXAI1%
- Xiaomi1%
- Moonshot1%
- Z.ai1%
- Baidu<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
46%Anthropic
- Anthropic46%▼ 2
- Google23%▼ 2
- Meta18%▼ 1
- OpenAI4%
17 more
- Moonshot3%
- Alibaba2%
- Tencent1%
- Z.ai1%
- SpaceXAI1%
- Baidu<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Thinky<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Amazon<1%
- StepFun<1%
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
45%Google
- Google45%▲ 5
- Anthropic39%▼ 5
- Meta11%▼ 1
- Microsoft9%▲ 3
17 more
- SpaceXAI8%▲ 2
- Alibaba6%
- Tencent5%
- StepFun5%
- OpenAI3%
- DeepSeek3%
- Thinky2%
- Moonshot1%
- Z.ai1%
- Baidu1%
- Xiaomi1%
- Meituan1%
- ByteDance1%
- MiniMax1%
- Mistral1%
- Amazon1%
- Nvidia1%
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
58%Anthropic
- Anthropic58%▼ 1
- Google26%▲ 4
- Meta8%▼ 1
- OpenAI5%
17 more
- Meituan3%
- Nvidia3%
- Alibaba1%
- Z.ai1%
- Baidu1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Tencent<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Dec 31, 2029 at 10:00 AM ET)
24%Google
- Google24%▲ 10
- Anthropic16%▼ 1
- OpenAI14%▼ 1
- xAI7%▼ 1
30 more
- Meta5%
- Moonshot5%
- Z AI5%
- Xiaomi5%
- Tencent5%
- DeepSeek4%
- MiniMax4%
- Mistral4%
- Alibaba3%
- NVIDIA3%
- Amazon3%▼ 1
- Essential AI3%▲ 1
- ByteDance3%
- Microsoft3%
- Huawei3%
- StepFun2%
- Baidu2%
- Thinking Machines2%
- China Mobile2%
- Institute of Foundation Models2%
- Upstage2%
- InclusionAI2%
- LongCat2%
- Cohere2%
- Inception2%
- Arcee AI2%
- Safe Superintelligence2%
- Reflection AI2%
- Prime Intellect2%
- LG AI Research2%
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?
74%Anthropic
- Anthropic74%▼ 4
- OpenAI6%
- Google5%▲ 2
- Meituan5%▼ 5
17 more
- Meta1%
- MiniMax1%
- SpaceXAI1%
- Tencent1%
- StepFun1%
- Moonshot1%
- Xiaomi1%
- Thinky1%
- Mistral1%
- Alibaba1%
- Baidu1%
- Z.ai1%
- DeepSeek1%
- Amazon1%
- ByteDance1%
- Nvidia1%
- Microsoft<1%
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
83%Meta
- Meta83%▼ 2
- Alibaba6%
- Anthropic3%
- Google2%
17 more
- Baidu1%
- OpenAI1%
- Xiaomi1%
- SpaceXAI1%
- Moonshot1%
- Tencent<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.