What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket Finance › Stocks Closes Sat 11:59 PM ET · $8.4K today · $46.1K traded · $7.8K at stake · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

$549.64high with an even chance
Microsoft Corporation now 532.60 +1.54%

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $549.64 and as low as $512.08.

  • Reaches $54073%
  • Reaches $55538%
  • Reaches $57024%
  • Reaches $58519%
  • Reaches $60019%
  • Reaches $61519%
  • Reaches $63019%
  • Falls to $52595%
  • Falls to $51043%
  • Falls to $49524%
  • Falls to $48012%
  • Falls to $46510%
  • Falls to $45010%
  • Falls to $4354%
  • Falls to $4201%

Already reached: ↑ $540, ↑ $525, ↑ $510, ↓ $525, ↓ $525, ↓ $525

How the odds have moved

Falls to $510: 68% on Oct 20, 43% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 26, 11 PM ETFalls to $510: 71% → 43%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 7 PM ETFalls to $510: 54% → 67%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
✓ ↑ $510 >99% ▲ 17 100¢ 100¢ $104
✓ ↑ $525 >99% ▲ 13 100¢ 100¢ $487
✓ ↑ $540 >99% ▲ 12 100¢ 100¢ $1.8K
✓ ↑ $540 >99% ▲ 25 100¢ 100¢ $2.4K
↑ $540 73% ▲ 24 69¢ 76¢ $1.32 $3.3K
↑ $555 38% ▲ 7 34¢ 41¢ $2.44 $6.9K
↑ $570 24% ▲ 12 21¢ 26¢ $3.85 $4.4K
↑ $585 19% ▲ 3 9¢ 16¢ $6.25 $2.9K
↑ $600 19% ▲ 7 1¢ 46¢ $2.18 $709
↑ $615 19% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 $852
↑ $630 19% ▲ 30 0¢ 68¢ $1.47 $386
↓ $405 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ 0¢ $748
↓ $420 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 $227
↓ $435 4% 0¢ 7¢ $13.89 $837
↓ $450 10% ▲ 9 1¢ 29¢ $3.50 $503
↓ $465 10% ▼ 3 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 $998
↓ $480 12% ▼ 5 9¢ 14¢ $7.14 $3.8K
↓ $495 24% ▼ 37 19¢ 28¢ $3.57 $5.7K
↓ $510 43% ▼ 29 39¢ 47¢ $2.13 $4.7K
✓ ↓ $525 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $513
✓ ↓ $525 >99% ▲ 15 100¢ 100¢ $60
✓ ↓ $525 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $45
✓ ↓ $525 >99% ▲ 30 100¢ 100¢ $1.6K
↓ $525 95% ▲ 6 90¢ 99¢ $1.01 $816
✓ ↓ $540 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $100
✓ ↓ $540 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Microsoft Corporation, MSFT

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions