Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Trainium
98%
97¢
98¢
$1.02
5.2K
Bedrock
97%
96¢
98¢
$1.02
1.0K
Tariff
95%
92¢
98¢
$1.02
3.3K
Anthropic / Claude
93%
▲ 1
92¢
93¢
$1.08
5.7K
Graviton
91%
90¢
92¢
$1.09
4.6K
Alexa+ / Alexa Plus
91%
▲ 3
88¢
93¢
$1.08
4.5K
Prime Day
86%
82¢
90¢
$1.11
2.7K
Robotic / Robotics
85%
▲ 2
82¢
88¢
$1.14
5.7K
Gen AI / Generative AI
85%
82¢
87¢
$1.15
6.9K
OpenAI
82%
▼ 1
78¢
86¢
$1.16
1.5K
Live Sports
82%
80¢
83¢
$1.20
4.3K
NVIDIA
80%
78¢
82¢
$1.22
1.7K
Sponsored Products
72%
71¢
73¢
$1.37
1.7K
Supply Chain
70%
▼ 6
66¢
74¢
$1.35
481
Continuum
69%
65¢
72¢
$1.39
241
Third Party Seller
55%
▼ 1
51¢
58¢
$1.72
2.3K
Iran / Middle East
42%
40¢
44¢
$2.27
657
Snowflake
32%
28¢
36¢
$2.78
315
China
27%
23¢
30¢
$3.33
322
Pinterest
25%
22¢
28¢
$3.57
207
Drone
18%
▼ 1
14¢
22¢
$4.55
1.4K
Layoff / Job Cuts
15%
▼ 2
12¢
18¢
$5.56
866
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Amazon adds handwritten ebook notes to the Kindle Android app.The Verge · 3 days agoAfter adding the option to annotate Kindle ebooks with handwritten notes on its new Alexa Tablets, Amazon has brought the same functionality to the Kindle Android app, as some users in the Kindle subreddit have discovered. It currently…
Brazil’s election and the battle for the Amazon – podcastthe Guardian · 4 days agoOur Latin America correspondent, Tom Phillips, heads to Roraima to hear what’s at stake for the rainforest and the communities that live there in the Brazilian presidential runoff on Sunday. Send your comments and questions to…
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Amazon’s Serial Killer Romance Finds Its Lead LoversRolling Stone · 4 days agoEmma Laird and Thomas Doherty will star in Prime Video's adaptation of "Butcher & Blackbird" The people want what they want — and apparently right now, that looks like two hot serial killers getting their freak on. Amazon MGM Studios is…
Amazon's Prime Video Leans Into New Adult Romance & Book AdaptationsDeadline · 4 days agoAmazon Prime Video has found much success in the YA space with series such as The Summer I Turned Pretty, We Were Liars, Elle and Sterling Point. Now, the streamer is turning its attention to a similar but slightly older and raunchier…
'Butcher & Blackbird' Movie Set At Amazon MGM, Cast UnveiledDeadline · 4 days agoEXCLUSIVE: Lyrical Media and Embrace have sold feature package Butcher & Blackbird, a dark romance based on the bestselling novel by Brynne Weaver, to Amazon MGM Studios, for release worldwide on Prime Video. Chris McKay, the filmmaker who…
You could just get a refurbished Samsung phone on AmazonThe Verge · 4 days agoI recently bought a used Galaxy phone, and now Samsung is leaning into that market on Amazon after raising prices on its newest phones. Its certified renewed phones are available on Amazon for the first time, with a new battery and a…
Amazon renames Kindle Unlimited to Kindle Plus and expands access to audiobooksThe Verge · 4 days agoThe plus-ification of subscription services continues unabated with Amazon becoming the latest company to follow suit with a Kindle Unlimited rebrand. The subscription service is now known as Kindle Plus but will continue to offer…
This top-rated Hisense TV just dropped to its best Amazon price yetUSA TODAY · 4 days agoIt’s that time of year when sports naturally become our default setup the second we turn on the TV. Even on a quiet weekday, it’s easy to get drawn into a random NHL or NBA game. For many of us, though, the viewing experience leaves a lot…
Amazon Prime Big Deal DaysPCMag UK · 2 days agoBig Deal Days might be over, but discounts are still desperately clinging to life, and we've got highly rated Lenovo laptops at low prices for a few moments more. Amazon's Big Deal Days event is now over but if you need a new computer…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
