What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Oct 29, 2026)

Kalshi Mentions › Earnings calls Closes Nov 12 · $129 today · $43K traded · $34.8K at stake · prices read 67 min ago

The odds

94%Siri
  • Siri94%
  • Tariff93%
  • iPhone 1893%▲ 1
  • Manufacturing87%
  • Fold / Folding / Foldable83%
  • Formula 1 / F180%
  • Private Cloud Compute75%
  • Mac Studio75%
  • Apple Pay72%
  • Sport71%▼ 1
  • Creator Studio47%▼ 1
  • Broadcom28%▲ 2
5 more
  • Streaming19%
  • Gemini17%
  • OpenAI / ChatGPT17%
  • Liquid Glass12%
  • Widget9%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Siri: 94% on Oct 20, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Siri 94% 92¢ 96¢ $1.04 7.9K
Tariff 93% 91¢ 95¢ $1.05 9.3K
iPhone 18 93% ▲ 1 90¢ 95¢ $1.05 13.3K
Manufacturing 87% 84¢ 90¢ $1.11 8.0K
Fold / Folding / Foldable 83% 79¢ 86¢ $1.16 7.4K
Formula 1 / F1 80% 76¢ 83¢ $1.20 5.00
Private Cloud Compute 75% 71¢ 79¢ $1.27 74.00
Mac Studio 75% 71¢ 78¢ $1.28 390
Apple Pay 72% 69¢ 75¢ $1.33 138
Sport 71% ▼ 1 66¢ 75¢ $1.33 199
Creator Studio 47% ▼ 1 43¢ 51¢ $1.96 518
Broadcom 28% ▲ 2 21¢ 37¢ $2.70 2.3K
Streaming 19% 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 221
Gemini 17% 13¢ 20¢ $5.00 25.00
OpenAI / ChatGPT 17% 12¢ 21¢ $4.76 13.00
Liquid Glass 12% 8¢ 16¢ $6.25 56.00
Widget 9% ▼ 1 5¢ 13¢ $7.69 75.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Apple

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  • Apple revives the original iPod as an Apple Music easter eggThe Verge · 3 days agoIf you've been feeling nostalgic for your old iPod, you can head over to Apple Music's 404 page to play music on a virtual recreation of the first-generation iPod. The hidden iPod was spotted by users on social media on Friday. It's…
  • The Best Folding Phones Now Includes Apple's iPhone DuoWIRED · 19 h agoYou may be scoffing as you read this. The best folding phones? Really? Aren’t those just gimmicks? I'm here to tell you they're pretty darn useful. And yes, there are quite a few now (even Apple is in on the action), so you have options…
  • Apple iPhone Duo hits store shelvesCNBC · 2 days agoCNBC’s MacKenzie Sigalos reports on the launch of Apple’s iPhone Duo from the company’s flagship store in New York City. iPhone Duo release is first major test of Apple’s push under new CEO
  • Apple's first-ever foldable iPhone hits storesCBS News · 2 days agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Apple's…
  • What to expect from Apple’s ‘Pro and tell’ eventThe Verge · 40 h agoApple’s long-rumored touchscreen MacBook Pro, an OLED iPad Mini, and more. Beyond that? There could be an OLED update for the iPad Mini, plus M6 updates across other devices, following the M6 debut with the Mac Mini in August. A MacBook…
  • Customers wait in overnight lines for Apple's iPhone DuoFox News · 2 days agoVideo shows eager shoppers gathering outside Apple stores across the world, hours before the new iPhone Duo hit the shelves. Customers wait in overnight lines for Apple's iPhone Duo Video shows eager shoppers gathering outside Apple stores…
  • Apple's new iPhone Duo hits store shelvesCNBC · 3 days agoCNBC’s MacKenzie Sigalos reports on the queues outside Apple's flagship New York City for the launch of the new iPhone Duo. Apple's new iPhone Duo hits store shelves
  • Apple CarPlay and Android Auto Make Your Phone Hot. Here’s How to Keep It CoolWIRED · 20 h agoAndroid Auto and CarPlay have transformed the way people drive. Rather than putting up with whatever infotainment systems car manufacturers have put together, we're now able to interact with our phones from our car dashboards—with our…
  • David Zayas Joins Apple TV's Alex Cary Thriller SeriesDeadline · 3 days agoDavid Zayas is set to star opposite Dakota Fanning in Apple TV's as-yet-untitled Alex Cary thriller. Services to share this page. EXCLUSIVE: David Zayas (Dexter, The Bear) is set to star opposite Dakota Fanning in Apple TV‘s…
  • Apple’s Newest iPhone May Be Hollywood’s Best FriendThe Hollywood Reporter · 2 days agoAs more video goes vertical, the iPhone Duo embraces horizontal video and a bigger canvas, making it ideal for watching longer-form, premium content at a moment when cheap vertical video is everywhere. Could Apple‘s newest iPhone spark a…
  • Apple fans brave the cold for iPhone Duo launch dayCNBC · 2 days agoCNBC's MacKenzie Sigalos spoke with Apple fans who waited in line for as long as 30 hours for the new iPhone Duo. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters ... Apple fans brave the cold for iPhone…
  • The Duo makes its Apple Store debut.The Verge · 3 days agoApple’s foldable is available for purchase and demos at stores worldwide today, and the company is already sharing images of the crowds and customers celebrating the launch at Apple Jing’an, Shanghai. You can check out our iPhone Duo…

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  • AI Mode94%▲ 3
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  • Honey Chicken83%▲ 1
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  • Credit Card92%▲ 3
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  • Robinhood Chain88%▲ 2
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  • Acquired / Acquisition85%▲ 9
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KalshiCloses Jan 25, 2027 · $426 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions