Oscars: Best Picture Winner 2027
44%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey44%
- The Black Ball22%
- Dune: Part Three15%
- Wild Horse Nine10%
2 more
- Project Hail Mary8%
- Digger1%
Install
Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)
The odds
46%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey46%▲ 1
- You Can See Everything19%▲ 2
- The Black Ball18%
- Dune: Part Three9%
- Wild Horse Nine2%
- Digger1%
- Artificial1%
- Project Hail Mary<1%
- Disclosure Day<1%
- Fjord<1%
- The Social Reckoning<1%
- Michael<1%
29 more
- The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
- Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
- Werwulf<1%
- Behemoth<1%
- Josephine<1%
- Sense and Sensibility<1%
- I Love Boosters<1%
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
- Avengers: Doomsday<1%
- The Death of Robin Hood<1%
- The Drama<1%
- Ink<1%
- All of a Sudden<1%
- Cry to Heaven<1%
- Tie<1%
- 1949 / Fatherland<1%
- Paper Tiger<1%
- Hope<1%
- Minotaur<1%
- Parallel Tales<1%
- Jack of Spades<1%
- Obsession<1%
- The Debut<1%
- Elsinore<1%
- The Invite<1%
- Club Kid<1%
- Being Heumann<1%
- Primetime<1%
- Tender Loving Care<1%
How the odds have moved
The Odyssey: 46% on Oct 20, 46% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 46% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 2.1M |
| You Can See Everything | 19% | ▲ 2 | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 870.7K |
| The Black Ball | 18% | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 635.4K | |
| Dune: Part Three | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 604.6K | |
| Wild Horse Nine | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 469.2K | |
| Digger | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 919.4K | |
| Artificial | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 340.5K | |
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 384.8K | ||
| Disclosure Day | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 96.5K | ||
| Fjord | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 237.0K | ||
| The Social Reckoning | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 327.6K | ||
| Michael | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 199.7K | ||
| The Entertainment System Is Down | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 23.2K | ||
| Narnia: The Magician's Nephew | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 14.0K | ||
| Werwulf | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 31.1K | ||
| Behemoth | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 177.0K | ||
| Josephine | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 216.8K | ||
| Sense and Sensibility | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 33.1K | ||
| I Love Boosters | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.3K | ||
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 66.0K | ||
| Avengers: Doomsday | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 354.6K | ||
| The Death of Robin Hood | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.2K | ||
| The Drama | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.3K | ||
| Ink | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 17.9K | ||
| All of a Sudden | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 31.9K | ||
| Cry to Heaven | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 40.4K | ||
| Tie | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 86.4K | ||
| 1949 / Fatherland | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.6K | ||
| Paper Tiger | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 104.9K | ||
| Hope | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 12.9K | ||
| Minotaur | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 42.6K | ||
| Parallel Tales | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 127 | ||
| Jack of Spades | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.0K | ||
| Obsession | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 327.4K | ||
| The Debut | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 362.3K | ||
| Elsinore | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 157.1K | ||
| The Invite | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 51.7K | ||
| Club Kid | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 67.2K | ||
| Being Heumann | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 10.5K | ||
| Primetime | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.5K | ||
| Tender Loving Care | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Crypto.com
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)Wild Horse NineKalshi 2%Crypto.com 10%8 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The same question on Polymarket
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)You Can See EverythingKalshi 19%Polymarket 17%2 pts apart
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
48%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey48%▲ 1
- La Bola Negra19%▲ 2
- You Can See Everything17%▲ 2
- Dune: Part Three8%▼ 1
23 more
- Digger3%▼ 1
- Wild Horse Nine2%
- Fjord1%
- Project Hail Mary1%
- The Invite1%
- The Social Reckoning<1%
- Artificial<1%
- The Debut<1%
- I Play Rocky<1%
- Behemoth!<1%
- Josephine<1%
- The Drama<1%
- Obsession<1%
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
- Tony<1%
- Saturn Return<1%
- All of a Sudden<1%
- Clarissa<1%
- Disclosure Day<1%
- Fatherland<1%
- Michael<1%
- Avengers: Doomsday<1%
- Elsinore<1%
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Picture
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All awards ›Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
88%Anne Hathaway
- Anne Hathaway88%▼ 2
- Samantha Morton86%▲ 7
- Penélope Cruz74%▼ 5
15 more
- Tao Okamoto63%▲ 4
- Amanda Seyfried60%▲ 12
- Mariana di Girolamo38%▲ 13
- Kate O'Flynn36%▲ 8
- Sandra Hüller30%▼ 6
- Olivia Colman26%▼ 4
- Parker Posey23%▲ 4
- Merritt Wever13%
- Gemma Chan12%
- Zendaya8%
- Isabella Rossellini7%
- Betty Gilpin5%▼ 1
- Margaret Qualley4%
- Danielle Deadwyler3%
- Inde Navarrette1%▼ 2
Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)
98%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey98%▲ 1
- The Black Ball97%▲ 1
- Wild Horse Nine89%▲ 1
50 more
- Dune: Part Three82%▲ 1
- Project Hail Mary80%
- The Debut78%▼ 1
- You Can See Everything76%▼ 3
- Artificial55%▼ 1
- The Invite51%▼ 2
- I Play Rocky41%▼ 2
- Fjord37%▼ 2
- All of a Sudden37%▲ 1
- Obsession37%▼ 1
- Elsinore30%▲ 4
- Club Kid26%
- Digger22%▼ 3
- Possible Love18%▲ 1
- Being Heumann16%▼ 1
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth16%▲ 1
- Behemoth15%▼ 1
- Michael14%
- Wildwood14%▼ 6
- Josephine10%
- Paper Tiger10%
- Ink10%
- Sense and Sensibility9%
- Primetime9%▼ 3
- Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother7%▲ 1
- Werwulf6%▲ 2
- Saturn Return6%
- Avengers: Doomsday6%▲ 1
- 1949 / Fatherland6%▼ 1
- Disclosure Day5%
- Cry to Heaven5%▲ 1
- The Drama4%
- Minotaur4%▼ 2
- The Whisper Man4%▲ 1
- Tony4%▲ 1
- Clarissa4%
- Misty Green4%
- The Uprising3%
- The Social Reckoning3%▼ 2
- I Love Boosters3%
- The Death of Robin Hood3%▲ 1
- Parallel Tales3%▲ 1
- Rose3%
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%▼ 1
- Hope2%▲ 1
- The Entertainment System Is Down2%
- Jack of Spades2%
- Bucking Fastard2%▼ 3
- Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%
- Backrooms1%▼ 1
Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)
91%NAZA
- NAZA91%▲ 7
- Once Upon a Time in Harlem90%▲ 14
- You Can See Everything82%▲ 3
7 more
- American Doctor50%▼ 2
- One in a Million34%▲ 7
- 14th34%▼ 3
- Tutu24%▲ 4
- Musk19%▲ 2
- Nuisance Bear19%▼ 7
- Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party15%▼ 3
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
93%Matt Damon
- Matt Damon93%
- John Malkovich88%
- Andrew Scott86%▲ 1
16 more
- Tom Cruise61%▲ 4
- Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
- Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
- John Turturro42%
- Anthony Ippolito38%▲ 9
- Pedro Pascal19%▼ 1
- Jaafar Jackson17%
- Sebastian Stan16%▼ 1
- Timothée Chalamet15%▼ 9
- Josh O'Connor6%▲ 1
- Adam Driver5%▲ 1
- Sam Rockwell5%
- Brad Pitt5%
- Javier Bardem5%▲ 1
- Robert Aramayo4%
- Jeremy Strong1%
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
92%Paul Giamatti
- Paul Giamatti92%
- Andrew Garfield80%▼ 6
- Sam Rockwell74%▼ 5
23 more
- John Leguizamo66%▼ 4
- Guitarricadelafuente62%▼ 4
- Edward Norton43%▲ 6
- Colman Domingo25%▲ 2
- Robert Pattinson21%▼ 2
- Riz Ahmed16%▲ 4
- John Goodman14%
- Steve Buscemi12%
- Charles Melton10%
- James Ortiz8%▲ 3
- Skyler Gisondo8%▼ 1
- Antonio Banderas7%
- Miles Teller6%▲ 1
- Himesh Patel5%▲ 2
- Channing Tatum5%▼ 2
- Jeremy Strong4%▼ 7
- Michael Fassbender4%
- Adam Scott3%
- Jesse Plemons3%▲ 2
- Robert De Niro3%
- Tom Holland2%▼ 4
- Daniel Craig1%
- Guy Pearce1%
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations
96%Julianne Moore
- Julianne Moore96%
- Inde Navarrette76%▼ 12
- Olivia Wilde63%▼ 9
23 more
- Virginie Efira53%▼ 1
- Sandra Hüller52%▼ 12
- Renate Reinsve48%▲ 9
- Ruth Madeley40%▲ 4
- Laura Linney19%▲ 14
- Rosalind Eleazar14%▼ 5
- Sophie Okonedo13%▲ 5
- Emily Blunt7%▲ 1
- Mikey Madison7%
- Daisy Edgar-Jones6%
- Natalie Portman6%
- Cynthia Erivo6%
- Joan Collins6%
- Dakota Johnson5%▼ 1
- Zendaya5%
- Anne Hathaway4%
- Michelle Monaghan4%▼ 3
- Scarlett Johansson4%
- Penélope Cruz4%
- Michelle Williams3%
- Lily Gladstone3%▼ 2
- Shailene Woodley3%▲ 2
- Kirsten Dunst1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.