Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $11.3K today · $73.2K traded · $46.6K at stake · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

85%NAZA
  • NAZA85%
  • You Can See Everything81%▼ 6
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem68%▲ 5
  • American Doctor65%▲ 2
  • Nuisance Bear39%▲ 4
  • 14th39%
  • One in a Million31%
  • Musk29%▲ 3
  • Tutu23%
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

NAZA: 70% on Oct 20, 85% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
NAZA 85% 84¢ 85¢ $1.18 6.1K
You Can See Everything 81% ▼ 6 80¢ 81¢ $1.23 78.4K
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 68% ▲ 5 67¢ 68¢ $1.47 2.4K
American Doctor 65% ▲ 2 64¢ 65¢ $1.54 1.2K
Nuisance Bear 39% ▲ 4 36¢ 41¢ $2.44 2.2K
14th 39% 34¢ 43¢ $2.33 732
One in a Million 31% 27¢ 35¢ $2.86 2.0K
Musk 29% ▲ 3 25¢ 33¢ $3.03 2.2K
Tutu 23% 19¢ 27¢ $3.70 415
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party 20% ▲ 1 17¢ 23¢ $4.35 401

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations

85%You Can See Everything
  • You Can See Everything85%▼ 4
  • NAZA85%▲ 1
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem73%▲ 17
  • American Doctor66%▲ 2
6 more
  • 14th55%▲ 14
  • Nuisance Bear37%▼ 1
  • One in a Million36%▼ 5
  • Musk32%▲ 3
  • Tutu24%▼ 1
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%▼ 1
PolymarketCloses Mar 14, 2027 · $2.9K today · $40.6K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Documentary Feature Film

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey48%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything28%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three82%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything82%▲ 3
  • Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite62%▲ 1
  • I Play Rocky57%▼ 1
  • Artificial55%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession33%
  • Elsinore30%
  • Wildwood28%▲ 2
  • Digger23%▼ 1
  • Club Kid22%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
  • Being Heumann17%▼ 1
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth14%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine8%▲ 2
  • Ink8%▲ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 2
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%▲ 1
  • Paper Tiger4%
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 3
  • The Drama3%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man3%▼ 1
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Clarissa3%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • Cry to Heaven3%▼ 2
  • Parallel Tales3%▼ 1
  • Backrooms3%
  • Rose3%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%▼ 1
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%▲ 1
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Hope2%▼ 1
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Winner

53%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball53%▼ 10
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut29%▲ 13
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 513%▼ 3
8 more
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk2%▼ 6
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 21%▲ 1
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!1%
  • By Any Means - By Any Means<1%
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey<1%
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn<1%
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights<1%
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

89%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball89%▼ 2
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut75%▼ 1
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 569%▼ 11
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%▼ 1
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey58%▲ 2
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 238%▲ 2
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!34%▼ 3
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad31%▲ 4
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk28%▲ 2
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 5
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

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