Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $764 today · $7.8K traded · $3.5K at stake · prices read 47 min ago

The odds

95%All of a Sudden
  • All of a Sudden95%▲ 13
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Possible Love81%▲ 8
  • Fjord72%▼ 1
  • Minotaur50%▼ 1
  • Fatherland48%▲ 1
  • Coward31%▲ 1
  • Rose24%▼ 2
  • The Dreamed Adventure7%

How the odds have moved

All of a Sudden: 84% on Oct 20, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
All of a Sudden 95% ▲ 13 94¢ 96¢ $1.04 $480
The Black Ball 95% 94¢ 95¢ $1.05 $3K
Possible Love 81% ▲ 8 80¢ 82¢ $1.22 $414
Fjord 72% ▼ 1 71¢ 73¢ $1.37 $2.3K
Minotaur 50% ▼ 1 49¢ 50¢ $2.00 $220
Fatherland 48% ▲ 1 31¢ 65¢ $1.54 $648
Coward 31% ▲ 1 27¢ 34¢ $2.94 $619
Rose 24% ▼ 2 12¢ 36¢ $2.78
The Dreamed Adventure 7% 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 $117

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar nominees: Best International Feature Film (2027)

98%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball98%▲ 3
  • All of a Sudden91%▲ 3
  • Fjord80%▼ 1
  • Possible Love79%▲ 10
11 more
  • Minotaur50%▼ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland46%▼ 4
  • Coward36%▲ 1
  • Rose25%
  • The Dreamed Adventure8%
  • Sheep in the Box4%
  • Bitter Christmas3%▲ 1
  • The Beloved3%
  • Hope3%▼ 6
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • The Man I Love3%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $707 today · $37.6K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best International Feature Film Nominations

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

46%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey46%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball18%
  • You Can See Everything17%▼ 4
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three9%
  • Wild Horse Nine2%
  • Digger1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

90%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway90%
  • Samantha Morton84%▲ 4
  • Penélope Cruz78%▲ 1
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto61%▲ 2
  • Amanda Seyfried52%▲ 4
  • Kate O'Flynn42%
  • Sandra Hüller35%▼ 7
  • Parker Posey28%▲ 11
  • Mariana di Girolamo28%▼ 6
  • Olivia Colman25%▼ 8
  • Merritt Wever13%▼ 1
  • Gemma Chan12%
  • Zendaya8%
  • Isabella Rossellini7%
  • Betty Gilpin6%
  • Margaret Qualley4%
  • Danielle Deadwyler3%
  • Inde Navarrette2%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

84%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey84%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball77%
  • You Can See Everything64%▲ 26
10 more
  • Wild Horse Nine62%▲ 2
  • Dune: Part Three45%▼ 3
  • Project Hail Mary39%▼ 2
  • Fjord31%▼ 3
  • The Debut27%
  • Digger25%▲ 16
  • The Invite23%▼ 2
  • Elsinore23%▲ 6
  • Club Kid21%▲ 4
  • Ink21%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine92%
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three87%
  • The Debut80%▼ 3
  • Project Hail Mary77%▼ 3
  • You Can See Everything71%▲ 4
  • The Invite58%▼ 1
  • Fjord39%
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • I Play Rocky35%▼ 4
  • Obsession34%
  • Elsinore27%▲ 1
  • Behemoth!20%▲ 1
  • Digger20%▼ 1
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 1
  • Michael13%
  • Disclosure Day8%▼ 2
  • Avengers: Doomsday6%▼ 4
  • Fatherland4%▲ 1
  • The Social Reckoning4%
  • The Drama4%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

93%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon93%
  • John Malkovich88%▼ 1
  • Andrew Scott86%
16 more
  • Tom Cruise56%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling45%▲ 3
  • John Turturro44%▲ 2
  • Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
  • Anthony Ippolito37%▼ 11
  • Pedro Pascal19%▲ 1
  • Sebastian Stan17%
  • Jaafar Jackson17%
  • Timothée Chalamet13%▼ 11
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Sam Rockwell5%
  • Brad Pitt5%
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Robert Aramayo4%
  • Jeremy Strong1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.