Oscar nominees: Best International Feature Film (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $161 today · $40.3K traded · $10.5K at stake · prices read 84 min ago

The odds

99%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball99%
  • All of a Sudden95%
  • Fjord86%
  • Possible Love69%▼ 2
  • Minotaur52%▲ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland46%▲ 1
  • Rose40%▼ 3
  • Coward19%▲ 2
  • The Dreamed Adventure9%
  • Bitter Christmas8%
  • The Beloved8%
  • Parallel Tales4%
3 more
  • Hope4%
  • Sheep in the Box4%
  • The Man I Love3%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

The Black Ball: 97% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
The Black Ball 99% 98¢ 99¢ $1.01 3.9K
All of a Sudden 95% 94¢ 96¢ $1.04 3.6K
Fjord 86% 85¢ 86¢ $1.16 24.7K
Possible Love 69% ▼ 2 68¢ 70¢ $1.43 5.6K
Minotaur 52% ▲ 1 49¢ 54¢ $1.85 5.9K
1949 / Fatherland 46% ▲ 1 43¢ 49¢ $2.04 6.5K
Rose 40% ▼ 3 36¢ 44¢ $2.27 2.1K
Coward 19% ▲ 2 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 2.7K
The Dreamed Adventure 9% 4¢ 13¢ $7.69 465
Bitter Christmas 8% 4¢ 11¢ $9.09 1.9K
The Beloved 8% 4¢ 11¢ $9.09 514
Parallel Tales 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 2.7K
Hope 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 5.3K
Sheep in the Box 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 936
The Man I Love 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best International Feature Film

Search ›

Related markets

All awards ›

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

49%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey49%▲ 3
  • You Can See Everything28%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball95%▲ 2
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 5
  • Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky56%▼ 2
  • Artificial54%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden37%▼ 1
  • Fjord34%▼ 1
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Elsinore30%
  • Wildwood28%▲ 3
  • Digger23%▼ 1
  • Club Kid21%▼ 2
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
  • Being Heumann18%
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth16%
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine8%▲ 2
  • Ink8%
  • Sense and Sensibility5%▼ 1
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 2
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%
  • The Drama4%
  • Cry to Heaven4%▼ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%▲ 1
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Avengers: Doomsday2%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Backrooms2%▼ 1
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

88%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball88%▼ 3
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut75%
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 568%▼ 12
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%▼ 1
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey55%▲ 12
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk48%▲ 21
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 244%▲ 21
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad37%▼ 1
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 25
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 6
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell74%▲ 7
23 more
  • John Leguizamo66%▲ 8
  • Guitarricadelafuente55%▼ 17
  • Edward Norton44%▼ 14
  • Robert Pattinson30%
  • Steve Buscemi19%▼ 2
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • Colman Domingo16%▼ 6
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%▲ 1
  • Jeremy Strong8%▼ 2
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Guy Pearce6%▲ 1
  • Channing Tatum6%▲ 1
  • Antonio Banderas6%
  • Miles Teller6%▼ 3
  • Himesh Patel5%
  • Adam Scott5%▼ 1
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 2
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Michael Fassbender3%▼ 4
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Tom Holland3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

89%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway89%▲ 1
  • Penélope Cruz77%
  • Samantha Morton71%▼ 2
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto62%▲ 1
  • Amanda Seyfried48%▲ 6
  • Kate O'Flynn39%▼ 1
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▲ 1
  • Sandra Hüller28%▲ 3
  • Olivia Colman21%▼ 12
  • Merritt Wever18%
  • Parker Posey17%▼ 4
  • Gemma Chan15%▲ 4
  • Danielle Deadwyler13%▲ 6
  • Betty Gilpin8%▲ 1
  • Zendaya6%▼ 2
  • Isabella Rossellini5%
  • Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette1%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

92%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon92%▲ 1
  • John Malkovich86%▲ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise60%▲ 10
  • Anthony Ippolito48%
  • John Turturro46%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling44%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson35%▼ 9
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Sebastian Stan17%▼ 2
  • Pedro Pascal16%
  • Timothée Chalamet12%▲ 2
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Brad Pitt4%▼ 1
  • Josh O'Connor4%▼ 1
  • Javier Bardem4%▼ 1
  • Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions