PolymarketCulture › AwardsCloses Mar 14, 2027 · $5.3K today · $55.1K traded · $3.4K at stake · prices read 18 min ago
The odds
87%La Nieve - The Black Ball
La Nieve - The Black Ball87%▼ 1
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut76%▲ 1
I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 570%▲ 2
By Any Means - By Any Means67%▲ 3
When I'm Home - The Odyssey56%▲ 18
Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk34%▲ 5
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 233%▲ 8
How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad30%▼ 8
Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 22
Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%
Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%
How the odds have moved
La Nieve - The Black Ball: 90% on Oct 20, 87% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
La Nieve - The Black Ball
87%
▼ 1
84¢
90¢
$1.11
$5.2K
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut
76%
▲ 1
74¢
78¢
$1.29
$4.1K
I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 5
70%
▲ 2
51¢
89¢
$1.12
$582
By Any Means - By Any Means
67%
▲ 3
55¢
79¢
$1.27
$974
When I'm Home - The Odyssey
56%
▲ 18
41¢
70¢
$1.43
$4.5K
Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk
34%
▲ 5
33¢
34¢
$2.94
$6.2K
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 2
33%
▲ 8
32¢
33¢
$3.03
$3.2K
How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad
30%
▼ 8
26¢
34¢
$2.94
$2.3K
Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!
11%
▼ 22
10¢
11¢
$9.09
$4K
Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn
6%
4¢
8¢
$13.16
$4.3K
Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
$19.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Original Song Nominations
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
