Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $7.3K today · $55.9K traded · $2.7K at stake · prices read 15 min ago

The odds

99%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball99%
  • The Odyssey96%
  • You Can See Everything74%▲ 17
  • Wild Horse Nine57%▼ 1
  • The Debut56%▲ 10
  • Dune: Part Three49%▼ 8
  • Elsinore34%▲ 16
  • Project Hail Mary32%▼ 9
  • Fjord31%▲ 1
  • The Invite25%▲ 1
  • Digger20%▲ 3
  • Ink14%
1 more
  • Club Kid13%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

The Black Ball: 77% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Black Ball 99% 97¢ 100¢ $943
The Odyssey 96% 92¢ 100¢ $2K
You Can See Everything 74% ▲ 17 71¢ 77¢ $1.30 $6.2K
Wild Horse Nine 57% ▼ 1 56¢ 58¢ $1.72 $1.8K
The Debut 56% ▲ 10 46¢ 67¢ $1.49 $8.2K
Dune: Part Three 49% ▼ 8 42¢ 55¢ $1.82 $7.9K
Elsinore 34% ▲ 16 26¢ 42¢ $2.38 $5.9K
Project Hail Mary 32% ▼ 9 12¢ 51¢ $1.96 $20
Fjord 31% ▲ 1 12¢ 49¢ $2.04
The Invite 25% ▲ 1 25¢ 26¢ $3.79 $2.4K
Digger 20% ▲ 3 19¢ 21¢ $4.76 $6.5K
Ink 14% 13¢ 14¢ $7.14 $4.1K
Club Kid 13% ▼ 3 12¢ 14¢ $7.14 $10.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Film Editing Nominations

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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

47%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey47%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything26%▼ 2
  • La Bola Negra13%▲ 1
24 more
  • Dune: Part Three9%▲ 3
  • Digger4%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • I Play Rocky<1%
  • Behemoth!<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Tony<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Clarissa<1%
  • Saturn Return<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fatherland<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • Elsinore<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • The Black Ball95%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 1
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three85%▲ 3
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 3
  • The Debut74%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary74%▼ 3
  • I Play Rocky65%▲ 7
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • Artificial54%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession32%▼ 2
  • Elsinore31%▲ 1
  • Wildwood29%▲ 1
  • Digger24%▲ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
  • Club Kid20%▼ 5
  • Being Heumann19%▲ 1
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth14%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%▼ 1
  • Josephine9%▲ 2
  • Ink8%
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Saturn Return6%▲ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother4%▼ 2
  • Minotaur4%
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Clarissa3%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell77%▲ 6
23 more
  • Guitarricadelafuente64%▼ 9
  • John Leguizamo60%▼ 9
  • Edward Norton51%▼ 6
  • Robert Pattinson29%▼ 2
  • Colman Domingo19%▼ 6
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • Steve Buscemi18%
  • John Goodman13%▲ 1
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • Miles Teller7%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Antonio Banderas6%
  • Guy Pearce5%▼ 5
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Channing Tatum5%
  • Jeremy Strong5%▼ 10
  • Himesh Patel4%▼ 1
  • Michael Fassbender4%
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Tom Holland4%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich87%▲ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise62%▲ 12
  • Anthony Ippolito50%▲ 1
  • John Turturro46%▼ 3
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson26%▼ 18
  • Sebastian Stan18%
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal16%
  • Timothée Chalamet13%▲ 3
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 1
  • Digger70%▲ 8
8 more
  • Project Hail Mary68%▲ 5
  • Dune: Part Three62%▼ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility52%▲ 21
  • Werwulf47%▲ 2
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth42%▲ 22
  • Wuthering Heights20%
  • Backrooms18%
  • Wildwood4%

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

96%Project Hail Mary
  • Project Hail Mary96%▼ 2
  • Dune: Part Three88%▲ 18
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 8
11 more
  • Werwulf51%▲ 10
  • The Black Ball47%▼ 10
  • Whalefall34%
  • The Mosquito Bowl33%▼ 2
  • Behemoth!33%▲ 4
  • Disclosure Day28%▲ 13
  • Godzilla Minus Zero25%▲ 2
  • The End of Oak Street24%▲ 14
  • Michael23%▼ 2
  • Digger12%▲ 5
  • The Debut7%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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