Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $7.9K today · $30.3K traded · $1.3K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

94%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey94%▼ 1
  • Dune: Part Three72%▼ 8
  • Digger67%▲ 32
  • Project Hail Mary60%▼ 1
  • Fatherland47%▲ 3
  • Werwulf35%▲ 1
  • Obsession17%▼ 2
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth15%
  • Josephine6%▼ 4

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 94% on Oct 20, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Odyssey 94% ▼ 1 92¢ 95¢ $1.05 $3.6K
Dune: Part Three 72% ▼ 8 67¢ 76¢ $1.32 $1.8K
Digger 67% ▲ 32 44¢ 89¢ $1.12 $3.1K
Project Hail Mary 60% ▼ 1 57¢ 63¢ $1.59 $1.7K
Fatherland 47% ▲ 3 46¢ 48¢ $2.08 $915
Werwulf 35% ▲ 1 33¢ 36¢ $2.78 $12.6K
Obsession 17% ▼ 2 16¢ 18¢ $5.56 $51
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 15% 14¢ 16¢ $6.25 $191
Josephine 6% ▼ 4 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 $6.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar nominees: Best Cinematography (2027)

93%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey93%▲ 1
  • Dune: Part Three81%▲ 2
  • Project Hail Mary62%
  • 1949 / Fatherland48%▲ 2
6 more
  • Digger40%▼ 1
  • Werwulf40%
  • Obsession16%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%
  • The Whisper Man13%▲ 1
  • Josephine9%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $21 today · $13.6K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Cinematography Nominations

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

49%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey49%▲ 5
  • You Can See Everything27%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • You Can See Everything84%▲ 5
  • Dune: Part Three83%
  • Project Hail Mary75%▼ 2
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite62%
  • I Play Rocky57%▼ 1
  • Artificial54%▼ 2
  • All of a Sudden36%▼ 1
  • Obsession33%
  • Fjord32%▼ 3
  • Elsinore30%▲ 1
  • Wildwood28%▲ 2
  • Digger23%
  • Club Kid22%▼ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
  • Being Heumann17%▼ 1
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth14%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%▼ 1
  • Josephine8%▲ 2
  • Ink8%▲ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility6%▼ 1
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 2
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 1
  • The Drama3%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man3%▼ 1
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Clarissa3%▼ 1
  • Cry to Heaven3%▼ 2
  • Parallel Tales3%▼ 1
  • Rose3%▼ 1
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%▼ 1
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Avengers: Doomsday2%▼ 3
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Hope2%▼ 1
  • Backrooms2%▼ 1
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

89%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball89%▼ 2
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut77%▲ 1
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 568%▼ 12
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey56%▲ 13
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 249%▲ 24
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad36%▼ 5
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk28%▲ 1
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!10%▼ 24
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 6
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Winner

52%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball52%▼ 8
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut29%▲ 14
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 513%▼ 1
8 more
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk1%▼ 5
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 21%
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!1%
  • By Any Means - By Any Means<1%
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey<1%
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn<1%
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights<1%
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions