Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $5.6K today · $45.4K traded · $5.5K at stake · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

86%You Can See Everything
  • You Can See Everything86%▲ 2
  • NAZA86%▲ 1
  • American Doctor63%▼ 1
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem60%▼ 6
  • 14th49%▲ 4
  • One in a Million32%▼ 2
  • Nuisance Bear31%▼ 4
  • Tutu28%▲ 5
  • Musk28%▲ 3
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party18%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

You Can See Everything: 83% on Oct 20, 86% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
You Can See Everything 86% ▲ 2 84¢ 88¢ $1.14 $15.4K
NAZA 86% ▲ 1 83¢ 88¢ $1.14 $3.6K
American Doctor 63% ▼ 1 59¢ 66¢ $1.52 $2.4K
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 60% ▼ 6 58¢ 62¢ $1.61 $2.8K
14th 49% ▲ 4 48¢ 49¢ $2.04 $2.4K
One in a Million 32% ▼ 2 31¢ 32¢ $3.13 $4.6K
Nuisance Bear 31% ▼ 4 28¢ 34¢ $2.94 $6K
Tutu 28% ▲ 5 27¢ 28¢ $3.57 $2.1K
Musk 28% ▲ 3 23¢ 32¢ $3.13 $2.3K
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party 18% ▼ 3 16¢ 19¢ $5.26 $3.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

85%NAZA
  • NAZA85%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything82%▲ 2
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem65%▼ 2
  • American Doctor63%
6 more
  • 14th44%▲ 6
  • Nuisance Bear33%▼ 5
  • Musk31%▲ 5
  • One in a Million30%▼ 1
  • Tutu23%▲ 1
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $5.2K today · $79.2K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations

Search ›

Related markets

All awards ›

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

50%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey50%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything25%▼ 3
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three7%▲ 2
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine89%▼ 2
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything82%▲ 2
  • The Debut75%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary73%▼ 4
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • Artificial54%▼ 1
  • I Play Rocky53%▼ 6
  • All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession32%▼ 2
  • Elsinore32%▲ 2
  • Wildwood29%▲ 1
  • Digger24%▲ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%
  • Club Kid20%▼ 4
  • Being Heumann19%▲ 2
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth15%▲ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine9%▲ 2
  • Ink8%▲ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%▲ 1
  • Minotaur4%
  • The Whisper Man4%▲ 1
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

90%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon90%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich87%▲ 3
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise61%▲ 13
  • Anthony Ippolito50%▲ 4
  • John Turturro46%▼ 2
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson34%▼ 10
  • Sebastian Stan18%▼ 1
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal17%
  • Timothée Chalamet14%▲ 3
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Javier Bardem5%
  • Adam Driver5%▼ 1
  • Josh O'Connor5%▲ 1
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 1
  • Digger70%▲ 8
8 more
  • Project Hail Mary68%▲ 4
  • Dune: Part Three61%▼ 3
  • Sense and Sensibility52%▲ 24
  • Werwulf49%▲ 4
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth42%▲ 22
  • Wuthering Heights20%▲ 5
  • Backrooms18%
  • Wildwood4%▲ 1

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

88%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball88%▲ 43
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut76%▲ 1
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 570%▲ 1
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%▼ 9
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey56%▲ 19
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 233%▲ 3
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk33%▲ 4
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad32%▼ 13
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 22
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 3
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell77%▲ 6
23 more
  • John Leguizamo56%▼ 13
  • Guitarricadelafuente56%▼ 16
  • Edward Norton51%▼ 6
  • Robert Pattinson29%▼ 2
  • Colman Domingo19%▼ 5
  • Riz Ahmed18%
  • Steve Buscemi17%
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • Miles Teller7%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Antonio Banderas6%▲ 1
  • Channing Tatum6%▲ 1
  • Guy Pearce5%▼ 6
  • Jeremy Strong5%▼ 15
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Himesh Patel5%
  • Michael Fassbender4%▼ 7
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Tom Holland4%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions