Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $973 today · $22.3K traded · $9.3K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

96%Julianne Moore
  • Julianne Moore96%
  • Inde Navarrette82%▼ 4
  • Olivia Wilde76%▲ 5
  • Sandra Hüller62%▲ 3
  • Virginie Efira54%▼ 2
  • Renate Reinsve41%▼ 8
  • Ruth Madeley40%▼ 16
  • Rosalind Eleazar18%▲ 5
  • Sophie Okonedo11%▼ 4
  • Dakota Johnson7%▲ 1
  • Mikey Madison7%
  • Daisy Edgar-Jones6%
14 more
  • Emily Blunt6%
  • Natalie Portman6%
  • Cynthia Erivo6%
  • Joan Collins6%
  • Michelle Monaghan5%▼ 2
  • Lily Gladstone5%
  • Zendaya5%
  • Anne Hathaway4%
  • Laura Linney4%▼ 2
  • Scarlett Johansson4%
  • Penélope Cruz4%
  • Michelle Williams4%
  • Kirsten Dunst1%
  • Shailene Woodley1%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Julianne Moore 96% 95¢ 96¢ $1.04 $2.2K
Inde Navarrette 82% ▼ 4 81¢ 83¢ $1.20 $607
Olivia Wilde 76% ▲ 5 74¢ 78¢ $1.28 $750
Sandra Hüller 62% ▲ 3 47¢ 77¢ $1.30 $1K
Virginie Efira 54% ▼ 2 53¢ 55¢ $1.82 $1.1K
Renate Reinsve 41% ▼ 8 40¢ 41¢ $2.44 $380
Ruth Madeley 40% ▼ 16 30¢ 49¢ $2.04 $690
Rosalind Eleazar 18% ▲ 5 16¢ 20¢ $5.00 $1K
Sophie Okonedo 11% ▼ 4 9¢ 13¢ $7.75 $1.6K
Dakota Johnson 7% ▲ 1 5¢ 10¢ $10.31 $292
Mikey Madison 7% 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 $204
Daisy Edgar-Jones 6% 6¢ 7¢ $14.08 $1.6K
Emily Blunt 6% 5¢ 8¢ $12.99 $2.1K
Natalie Portman 6% 6¢ 7¢ $15.15 $813
Cynthia Erivo 6% 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 $1.5K
Joan Collins 6% 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 $1.2K
Michelle Monaghan 5% ▼ 2 5¢ 5¢ $19.61 $60
Lily Gladstone 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 $387
Zendaya 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.95 $260
Anne Hathaway 4% 2¢ 7¢ $15.15 $958
Laura Linney 4% ▼ 2 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 $301
Scarlett Johansson 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 $605
Penélope Cruz 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.95 $568
Michelle Williams 4% 2¢ 5¢ $20.41 $621
Kirsten Dunst 1% 0¢ 2¢ $45.45 $976
Shailene Woodley 1% ▲ 1 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 $433

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar nominees: Best Actress (2027)

91%Julianne Moore
  • Julianne Moore91%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette82%▼ 4
  • Olivia Wilde76%
  • Sandra Hüller60%▲ 3
22 more
  • Virginie Efira50%▲ 2
  • Renate Reinsve45%
  • Ruth Madeley45%▼ 1
  • Rosalind Eleazar16%▼ 1
  • Emily Blunt12%
  • Zendaya12%▲ 6
  • Shailene Woodley12%▲ 6
  • Sophie Okonedo10%▲ 1
  • Anne Hathaway9%▼ 1
  • Daisy Edgar-Jones8%▼ 1
  • Cynthia Erivo8%▼ 2
  • Laura Linney7%▲ 1
  • Penélope Cruz7%▲ 1
  • Lily Gladstone6%
  • Joan Collins5%
  • Mikey Madison5%
  • Michelle Monaghan5%▲ 1
  • Scarlett Johansson4%▼ 1
  • Kirsten Dunst4%▲ 1
  • Michelle Williams4%
  • Natalie Portman4%
  • Dakota Johnson4%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $1.1K today · $182K traded

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The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Actress Nominations

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

46%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey46%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball18%
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  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine92%
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three87%
  • The Debut80%▼ 2
  • Project Hail Mary77%▼ 3
  • You Can See Everything71%▲ 3
  • The Invite58%▼ 1
  • Fjord39%
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Obsession34%
  • I Play Rocky32%▼ 6
  • Elsinore27%▼ 5
  • Behemoth!21%
  • Digger20%▼ 1
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▲ 2
  • Michael13%
  • Disclosure Day8%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday8%▼ 6
  • Fatherland5%▲ 1
  • The Social Reckoning5%
  • The Drama3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

85%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey85%
  • The Black Ball77%
  • Wild Horse Nine62%▲ 2
10 more
  • You Can See Everything55%▲ 14
  • Dune: Part Three47%▼ 1
  • Project Hail Mary39%▼ 2
  • Fjord31%▼ 3
  • Club Kid28%▲ 7
  • The Debut27%▼ 1
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  • The Invite26%▲ 5
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  • Digger13%▼ 3
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Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

94%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey94%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball71%▼ 3
  • Dune: Part Three65%▼ 5
10 more
  • Disclosure Day65%▼ 4
  • Project Hail Mary58%▼ 2
  • You Can See Everything55%
  • Behemoth!33%▼ 3
  • Wild Horse Nine26%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth11%▲ 1
  • Whalefall7%▲ 3
  • The Social Reckoning6%
  • The Drama5%
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

93%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon93%
  • John Malkovich88%
  • Andrew Scott86%
16 more
  • Tom Cruise55%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling45%▲ 2
  • John Turturro44%▲ 2
  • Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
  • Anthony Ippolito36%▼ 23
  • Pedro Pascal20%▲ 1
  • Sebastian Stan17%
  • Jaafar Jackson17%
  • Timothée Chalamet10%▼ 14
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Adam Driver5%▲ 1
  • Sam Rockwell5%
  • Brad Pitt5%
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Robert Aramayo4%
  • Jeremy Strong1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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