Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $3.2K today · $46.4K traded · $11.7K at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

90%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey90%▲ 2
  • Dune: Part Three68%▲ 3
  • Disclosure Day67%▲ 18
  • The Black Ball67%▲ 6
  • Project Hail Mary54%▼ 2
  • Behemoth!32%▲ 10
  • Wild Horse Nine32%▲ 3
  • You Can See Everything26%▼ 4
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%
  • Whalefall12%▲ 1
  • The Social Reckoning7%
  • The Drama4%
1 more
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu3%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 94% on Oct 20, 90% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Odyssey 90% ▲ 2 89¢ 90¢ $1.11 $1.1K
Dune: Part Three 68% ▲ 3 66¢ 69¢ $1.45 $6.1K
Disclosure Day 67% ▲ 18 65¢ 69¢ $1.45 $5.2K
The Black Ball 67% ▲ 6 65¢ 68¢ $1.47 $1.8K
Project Hail Mary 54% ▼ 2 53¢ 55¢ $1.82 $2K
Behemoth! 32% ▲ 10 31¢ 32¢ $3.13 $17.1K
Wild Horse Nine 32% ▲ 3 27¢ 36¢ $2.78 $855
You Can See Everything 26% ▼ 4 5¢ 47¢ $2.13 $92
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 14% 13¢ 14¢ $7.14 $4.6K
Whalefall 12% ▲ 1 8¢ 15¢ $6.54 $3.2K
The Social Reckoning 7% 5¢ 8¢ $12.50 $1.2K
The Drama 4% 2¢ 7¢ $14.08 $363
The Mandalorian and Grogu 3% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 $2.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar nominees: Best Music (Original Score) (2027)

93%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey93%▲ 1
  • Dune: Part Three68%
  • The Black Ball68%▲ 1
  • Disclosure Day67%▼ 2
9 more
  • Project Hail Mary56%▼ 3
  • Behemoth!33%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine30%▼ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%
  • Whalefall13%
  • Cry to Heaven6%▼ 1
  • The Drama6%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning5%▼ 1
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu3%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $197 today · $26.9K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Original Score Nominations

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

50%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey50%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything25%▼ 3
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three6%▲ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything84%▲ 3
  • The Debut75%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary73%▼ 4
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • Artificial55%▼ 1
  • I Play Rocky53%▼ 5
  • All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession33%▼ 1
  • Elsinore32%▲ 2
  • Wildwood28%▲ 1
  • Digger23%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▲ 1
  • Club Kid21%▼ 1
  • Being Heumann18%▼ 1
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth14%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine9%▲ 2
  • Ink8%
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 2
  • Saturn Return5%
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Minotaur4%
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Misty Green4%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

90%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon90%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich88%▲ 2
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise60%▲ 12
  • Anthony Ippolito49%▲ 3
  • John Turturro46%▼ 2
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson35%▼ 9
  • Sebastian Stan18%▼ 1
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal17%▲ 1
  • Timothée Chalamet14%▲ 3
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Josh O'Connor5%▲ 1
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Javier Bardem4%▼ 1
  • Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%
  • Sam Rockwell78%▲ 11
23 more
  • John Leguizamo58%▼ 11
  • Guitarricadelafuente55%▼ 18
  • Edward Norton49%▼ 9
  • Robert Pattinson30%▼ 1
  • Colman Domingo19%▼ 7
  • Riz Ahmed18%
  • Steve Buscemi16%▼ 5
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • Miles Teller7%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Jeremy Strong6%▼ 5
  • Guy Pearce6%▼ 1
  • Antonio Banderas5%▼ 1
  • Channing Tatum5%▲ 1
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Himesh Patel5%
  • Michael Fassbender4%▼ 8
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Tom Holland4%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

90%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball90%
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut76%
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 569%▼ 11
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%▲ 1
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey54%▲ 11
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad36%▼ 12
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 234%▼ 6
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk32%▲ 4
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!12%▼ 20
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 2
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

98%Project Hail Mary
  • Project Hail Mary98%
  • Dune: Part Three92%▲ 24
  • The Odyssey84%▲ 2
11 more
  • The End of Oak Street62%▲ 52
  • The Mosquito Bowl54%▲ 22
  • The Black Ball47%▼ 3
  • Werwulf41%▲ 3
  • Godzilla Minus Zero37%▲ 11
  • Whalefall34%
  • Behemoth!30%▲ 2
  • Michael26%▲ 3
  • Disclosure Day15%▼ 14
  • Digger11%▲ 4
  • The Debut6%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions