Oscars: Best Picture Winner 2027

Crypto.com Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $700 today · $700 traded · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

47%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey47%
  • The Black Ball23%
  • Wild Horse Nine11%
  • Digger10%
  • Project Hail Mary9%
  • Dune: Part Three1%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 44% on Oct 20, 47% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
The Odyssey 47% 35¢ 56¢ $1.79 367
The Black Ball 23% 6¢ 27¢ $3.70 17.00
Wild Horse Nine 11% 1¢ 13¢ $7.69 35.00
Digger 10% 1¢ 12¢ $8.33 78.00
Project Hail Mary 9% 11¢ $9.09 111
Dune: Part Three 1% 1¢ 20¢ $5.00 92.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

45%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey45%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything23%▲ 3
  • The Black Ball16%▼ 2
  • Dune: Part Three9%
37 more
  • Wild Horse Nine2%
  • Digger1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $31.1K today · $1.4M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

44%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey44%▼ 4
  • La Bola Negra18%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything18%
  • Dune: Part Three8%▼ 1
23 more
  • Digger3%
  • Wild Horse Nine2%
  • Fjord1%
  • Project Hail Mary1%
  • The Invite1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Artificial<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Behemoth!<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • I Play Rocky<1%
  • Tony<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Saturn Return<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Clarissa<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fatherland<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $19.5K today · $45K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Picture

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Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich88%▼ 1
  • Andrew Scott86%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise61%▲ 1
  • Robert Pattinson50%▲ 7
  • Ryan Gosling44%▼ 1
  • John Turturro42%
  • Anthony Ippolito39%▲ 1
  • Jaafar Jackson20%▲ 4
  • Pedro Pascal18%
  • Sebastian Stan14%▼ 3
  • Timothée Chalamet13%▼ 2
  • Sam Rockwell8%▲ 3
  • Josh O'Connor6%
  • Adam Driver6%▲ 1
  • Brad Pitt4%▼ 1
  • Javier Bardem4%▼ 1
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

44%John Malkovich
  • John Malkovich44%▲ 3
  • Matt Damon18%▲ 2
  • Andrew Scott15%▼ 1
19 more
  • Tom Cruise12%▼ 2
  • Robert Pattinson3%
  • Timothée Chalamet3%
  • John Turturro1%
  • Ryan Gosling1%
  • Jeremy Strong1%
  • Sebastian Stan1%
  • Anthony Ippolito<1%
  • Yura Borisov<1%
  • Mahershala Ali<1%
  • Guy Pearce<1%
  • Jaafar Jackson<1%
  • Brad Pitt<1%
  • Pedro Pascal<1%
  • Adam Driver<1%
  • Javier Bardem<1%
  • Josh O'Connor<1%
  • Robert Aramayo<1%
  • Sam Rockwell<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • The Black Ball96%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 2
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 2
  • Project Hail Mary80%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything75%▼ 2
  • The Debut74%▼ 3
  • Artificial55%▼ 1
  • The Invite54%▲ 3
  • I Play Rocky41%
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Fjord35%▼ 2
  • Obsession34%▼ 3
  • Elsinore29%
  • Club Kid24%▼ 2
  • Digger21%▼ 1
  • Wildwood19%▲ 4
  • Possible Love17%▼ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth17%▲ 1
  • Being Heumann16%▼ 1
  • Behemoth16%▲ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 4
  • Josephine10%▲ 1
  • Ink10%
  • Sense and Sensibility9%
  • Primetime9%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother8%▲ 2
  • Paper Tiger6%▼ 4
  • Saturn Return6%▼ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland6%
  • Avengers: Doomsday5%▼ 1
  • Werwulf5%▼ 2
  • The Drama4%▲ 1
  • Cry to Heaven4%▼ 1
  • Minotaur4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Misty Green4%
  • Parallel Tales3%▲ 1
  • The Whisper Man3%
  • Rose3%▲ 1
  • The Uprising3%
  • Disclosure Day3%▼ 2
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Tony3%▼ 1
  • I Love Boosters2%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%
  • The Social Reckoning2%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Hope2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%
  • Backrooms1%
Culture › Awards

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

44%you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo
  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo44%▲ 2
  • Lux - Rosalía19%▲ 3
  • Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers6%
12 more
  • Confessions II - Madonna5%
  • Dandelion - Ella Langley2%▼ 1
  • The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean2%▼ 25
  • The Great Divide - Noah Kahan2%
  • The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift1%▼ 1
  • petal - Ariana Grande1%
  • The Romantic - Bruno Mars<1%
  • West End Girl - Lily Allen<1%
  • Iceman - Drake<1%
  • Arirang - BTS<1%
  • Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles<1%
  • Octane - Don Toliver<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

83%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey83%▲ 3
  • The Black Ball76%▼ 3
  • Wild Horse Nine62%▲ 1
10 more
  • Dune: Part Three49%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything48%▼ 13
  • Project Hail Mary39%
  • The Debut36%▲ 9
  • Fjord31%
  • Ink27%▼ 17
  • Club Kid21%▼ 4
  • Digger20%▲ 2
  • Elsinore19%▲ 2
  • The Invite16%▼ 7

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.