Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $997 today · $105K traded · $9.4K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

49%you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo
  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo49%▲ 2
  • Lux - Rosalía19%
  • The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean16%
  • Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers6%
  • Confessions II - Madonna5%
  • The Great Divide - Noah Kahan2%▲ 1
  • Dandelion - Ella Langley2%▼ 1
  • petal - Ariana Grande1%▼ 2
  • The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift1%
  • Octane - Don Toliver1%
  • The Romantic - Bruno Mars<1%
  • West End Girl - Lily Allen<1%
3 more
  • Iceman - Drake<1%
  • Arirang - BTS<1%
  • Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles<1%

How the odds have moved

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in lov: 42% on Oct 20, 49% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo 49% ▲ 2 49¢ 51¢ $1.96 $25.6K
Lux - Rosalía 19% 19¢ 21¢ $4.76 $12.9K
The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean 16% 16¢ 16¢ $6.37 $45.7K
Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers 6% 6¢ 6¢ $16.67 $4.2K
Confessions II - Madonna 5% 5¢ 6¢ $16.13 $1.7K
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan 2% ▲ 1 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 $1.9K
Dandelion - Ella Langley 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 $1.6K
petal - Ariana Grande 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 2¢ $52.63 $1.5K
The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift 1% 0¢ 1¢ $76.92 $1.6K
Octane - Don Toliver 1% 0¢ 1¢ $90.91 $1.5K
The Romantic - Bruno Mars <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.7K
West End Girl - Lily Allen <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.1K
Iceman - Drake <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.2K
Arirang - BTS <1% 0¢ $1.6K
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles <1% 0¢ $985

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Grammy winner: Album of the Year (2027)

55%you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love55%▲ 2
  • Lux22%▲ 1
  • The Art of Loving15%
  • The Great Divide5%▼ 1
9 more
  • Dandelion3%
  • Lost Weekend2%▼ 1
  • The Life of a Showgirl1%
  • Tie1%▲ 1
  • Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally<1%
  • The Romantic<1%
  • Arirang<1%
  • ICEMAN<1%
  • Through the Wall<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $88 today · $18.2K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Grammys, Grammy

Search ›

Related markets

All awards ›

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

47%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey47%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything26%▼ 3
  • La Bola Negra13%▲ 1
24 more
  • Dune: Part Three9%▲ 3
  • Digger4%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • I Play Rocky<1%
  • Behemoth!<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Tony<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Clarissa<1%
  • Saturn Return<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fatherland<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • Elsinore<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • The Black Ball95%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 1
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three85%▲ 3
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 3
  • The Debut74%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary74%▼ 3
  • I Play Rocky65%▲ 7
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • Artificial54%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession32%▼ 2
  • Elsinore31%▲ 1
  • Wildwood29%▲ 1
  • Digger24%▲ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
  • Club Kid20%▼ 5
  • Being Heumann19%▲ 1
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth14%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%▼ 1
  • Josephine9%▲ 2
  • Ink8%
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Saturn Return6%▲ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother4%▼ 2
  • Minotaur4%
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Clarissa3%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell77%▲ 6
23 more
  • Guitarricadelafuente64%▼ 9
  • John Leguizamo60%▼ 9
  • Edward Norton51%▼ 6
  • Robert Pattinson29%▼ 2
  • Colman Domingo19%▼ 6
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • Steve Buscemi18%
  • John Goodman13%▲ 1
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • Miles Teller7%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Antonio Banderas6%
  • Guy Pearce5%▼ 5
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Channing Tatum5%
  • Jeremy Strong5%▼ 10
  • Himesh Patel4%▼ 1
  • Michael Fassbender4%
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Tom Holland4%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich87%▲ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise62%▲ 12
  • Anthony Ippolito50%▲ 1
  • John Turturro46%▼ 3
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson26%▼ 18
  • Sebastian Stan18%
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal16%
  • Timothée Chalamet13%▲ 3
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

96%Project Hail Mary
  • Project Hail Mary96%▼ 2
  • Dune: Part Three88%▲ 18
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 8
11 more
  • Werwulf51%▲ 10
  • The Black Ball47%▼ 10
  • Whalefall34%
  • The Mosquito Bowl33%▼ 2
  • Behemoth!33%▲ 4
  • Disclosure Day28%▲ 13
  • Godzilla Minus Zero25%▲ 2
  • The End of Oak Street24%▲ 14
  • Michael23%▼ 2
  • Digger12%▲ 5
  • The Debut7%

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 1
  • Digger73%▼ 2
8 more
  • Project Hail Mary68%▲ 5
  • Dune: Part Three62%▼ 2
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth59%▲ 39
  • Sense and Sensibility51%▲ 27
  • Werwulf48%▲ 3
  • Wuthering Heights20%
  • Backrooms18%
  • Wildwood4%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions