Grammy winner: Album of the Year (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $258 today · $18.3K traded · $12.9K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

53%you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love53%▲ 3
  • Lux23%▼ 3
  • The Art of Loving16%▲ 2
  • The Great Divide6%
  • Dandelion4%
  • Lost Weekend2%
  • The Life of a Showgirl1%
  • Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally1%▲ 1
  • The Romantic<1%
  • Arirang<1%
  • ICEMAN<1%
  • Tie<1%
1 more
  • Through the Wall<1%

How the odds have moved

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in lov: 46% on Oct 20, 53% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love 53% ▲ 3 53¢ 56¢ $1.79 21.9K
Lux 23% ▼ 3 23¢ 26¢ $3.85 12.2K
The Art of Loving 16% ▲ 2 16¢ 19¢ $5.26 13.1K
The Great Divide 6% 5¢ 8¢ $12.50 7.5K
Dandelion 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 6.6K
Lost Weekend 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 4.0K
The Life of a Showgirl 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 7.7K
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally 1% ▲ 1 2¢ $50.00 2.5K
The Romantic <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.6K
Arirang <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K
ICEMAN <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.0K
Tie <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.7K
Through the Wall <1% 1¢ $100.00 100

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

47%you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo
  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo47%▲ 2
  • Lux - Rosalía19%▼ 4
  • The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean15%▲ 5
  • Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers6%
11 more
  • Confessions II - Madonna5%▲ 1
  • petal - Ariana Grande3%▲ 3
  • Dandelion - Ella Langley3%
  • The Great Divide - Noah Kahan2%
  • The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift1%
  • Octane - Don Toliver1%
  • The Romantic - Bruno Mars<1%
  • West End Girl - Lily Allen<1%
  • Iceman - Drake<1%
  • Arirang - BTS<1%
  • Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles<1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $4.8K today · $104K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Grammys, Grammy

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All awards ›

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey48%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything28%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

99%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey99%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three83%
  • You Can See Everything81%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite62%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky57%
  • Artificial56%
  • All of a Sudden37%
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Elsinore30%▲ 3
  • Wildwood26%▼ 1
  • Digger23%▲ 1
  • Club Kid22%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▼ 1
  • Being Heumann18%
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth16%
  • Michael12%
  • Primetime10%
  • Ink8%▲ 2
  • Josephine7%▲ 1
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother7%▼ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Saturn Return5%
  • Minotaur4%
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • The Drama4%
  • Paper Tiger4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 3
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • Cry to Heaven3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • 1949 / Fatherland3%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man3%▼ 1
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%▲ 1
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%▲ 1
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscar nominees: Best Director (2027)

97%Christopher Nolan
  • Christopher Nolan97%
  • Javier Calvo89%
  • Martin McDonagh71%▲ 1
24 more
  • Nathan Fielder65%▲ 1
  • Denis Villeneuve59%▲ 2
  • Olivia Wilde51%
  • Ryusuke Hamaguchi33%
  • Cristian Mungiu28%
  • Jesse Eisenberg24%
  • Phil Lord12%
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu12%▲ 1
  • Curry Barker10%
  • Christopher Miller10%▲ 1
  • David Fincher9%▲ 2
  • Paweł Pawlikowski8%
  • Tony Gilroy8%
  • Steven Spielberg6%▼ 1
  • Mike Leigh5%▼ 6
  • Andrew Haigh5%
  • Joel Coen5%
  • Ben Affleck5%▲ 2
  • Na Hong-jin4%
  • Greta Gerwig4%
  • Beth de Araujo4%
  • Danny Boyle3%
  • Janus Metz Pedersen3%
  • James Ashcroft2%

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

90%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey90%▲ 12
  • Dune: Part Three74%▲ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility65%▲ 3
9 more
  • The Black Ball64%▼ 6
  • I Love Boosters51%
  • Werwulf49%▲ 3
  • Wuthering Heights44%▲ 11
  • Michael40%▲ 2
  • The Devil Wears Prada 236%▼ 3
  • Digger28%▲ 3
  • Wild Horse Nine27%▲ 3
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions