PolymarketCulture › AwardsCloses Mar 14, 2027 · $3.3K today · $9.4K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read just now
The odds
79%The Black Ball
The Black Ball79%▼ 4
The Odyssey77%▼ 2
Sense and Sensibility64%
Werwulf60%▲ 16
Dune: Part Three59%▼ 3
Wild Horse Nine57%▼ 3
The Devil Wears Prada 256%▼ 4
Michael45%▼ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth41%▼ 2
I Love Boosters34%▼ 28
Wuthering Heights29%▼ 14
Digger20%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
The Black Ball
79%
▼ 4
77¢
81¢
$1.24
$1.6K
The Odyssey
77%
▼ 2
76¢
77¢
$1.30
$1.2K
Sense and Sensibility
64%
55¢
72¢
$1.39
$1.6K
Werwulf
60%
▲ 16
59¢
61¢
$1.64
$1.1K
Dune: Part Three
59%
▼ 3
39¢
79¢
$1.27
$100
Wild Horse Nine
57%
▼ 3
42¢
72¢
$1.39
$100
The Devil Wears Prada 2
56%
▼ 4
38¢
74¢
$1.35
$100
Michael
45%
▼ 1
15¢
74¢
$1.35
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
41%
▼ 2
38¢
44¢
$2.27
$200
I Love Boosters
34%
▼ 28
30¢
37¢
$2.70
$2.9K
Wuthering Heights
29%
▼ 14
11¢
47¢
$2.13
$80
Digger
20%
19¢
20¢
$5.00
$358
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.