PolymarketCulture › AwardsCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $1.3K today · $251K traded · $28.6K at stake · prices read 4 min ago
The odds
41%John Malkovich
John Malkovich41%▼ 1
Andrew Scott18%▼ 1
Matt Damon17%▲ 3
Tom Cruise12%
Robert Pattinson4%▲ 1
Timothée Chalamet4%▲ 1
John Turturro1%
Ryan Gosling1%
Jeremy Strong1%
Yura Borisov1%
Jaafar Jackson<1%
Anthony Ippolito<1%
10 more
Sebastian Stan<1%
Brad Pitt<1%
Pedro Pascal<1%
Adam Driver<1%
Javier Bardem<1%
Josh O'Connor<1%
Robert Aramayo<1%
Sam Rockwell<1%
Mahershala Ali<1%
Guy Pearce<1%
How the odds have moved
John Malkovich: 40% on Oct 20, 41% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
John Malkovich
41%
▼ 1
41¢
42¢
$2.36
$23.7K
Andrew Scott
18%
▼ 1
16¢
21¢
$4.76
$25.7K
Matt Damon
17%
▲ 3
17¢
19¢
$5.26
$46.5K
Tom Cruise
12%
11¢
13¢
$7.69
$30.5K
Robert Pattinson
4%
▲ 1
3¢
5¢
$20.00
$12.8K
Timothée Chalamet
4%
▲ 1
3¢
5¢
$20.00
$11.4K
John Turturro
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
$9.9K
Ryan Gosling
1%
1¢
1¢
$83.33
$9.3K
Jeremy Strong
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$10.6K
Yura Borisov
1%
0¢
1¢
$3.6K
Jaafar Jackson
<1%
0¢
1¢
$7.7K
Anthony Ippolito
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2K
Sebastian Stan
<1%
0¢
0¢
$5.9K
Brad Pitt
<1%
0¢
0¢
$13.5K
Pedro Pascal
<1%
0¢
0¢
$6.1K
Adam Driver
<1%
0¢
0¢
$5K
Javier Bardem
<1%
0¢
0¢
$5.5K
Josh O'Connor
<1%
0¢
0¢
$4.8K
Robert Aramayo
<1%
0¢
0¢
$6.5K
Sam Rockwell
<1%
0¢
0¢
$9.5K
Mahershala Ali
<1%
0¢
$87
Guy Pearce
<1%
0¢
$87
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
