Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $177 today · $23.3K traded · $14.1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

48%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway48%▼ 2
  • Amanda Seyfried35%▲ 1
  • Penélope Cruz7%▲ 2
  • Kate O'Flynn3%
  • Zendaya2%
  • Inde Navarrette1%
  • Sandra Hüller1%
  • Gemma Chan1%
  • Tao Okamoto1%
  • Isabella Rossellini<1%
  • Margaret Qualley<1%
  • Betty Gilpin<1%
4 more
  • Mariana di Girolamo<1%
  • Danielle Deadwyler<1%
  • Parker Posey<1%
  • Tie<1%

How the odds have moved

Anne Hathaway: 51% on Oct 20, 48% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Anne Hathaway 48% ▼ 2 48¢ 50¢ $2.00 29.5K
Amanda Seyfried 35% ▲ 1 35¢ 38¢ $2.63 18.4K
Penélope Cruz 7% ▲ 2 6¢ 8¢ $12.50 13.4K
Kate O'Flynn 3% 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 7.1K
Zendaya 2% 4¢ $25.00 5.1K
Inde Navarrette 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 40.4K
Sandra Hüller 1% 2¢ $50.00 4.4K
Gemma Chan 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.3K
Tao Okamoto 1% 2¢ $50.00 4.5K
Isabella Rossellini <1% 1¢ $100.00 134
Margaret Qualley <1% 1¢ $100.00 429
Betty Gilpin <1% 1¢ $100.00 61.00
Mariana di Girolamo <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.3K
Danielle Deadwyler <1% 1¢ $100.00 13.00
Parker Posey <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.2K
Tie <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

51%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway51%▼ 1
  • Amanda Seyfried26%
  • Penélope Cruz7%▼ 1
  • Kate O'Flynn7%▲ 1
13 more
  • Samantha Morton3%▼ 1
  • Sandra Hüller3%
  • Zendaya2%▲ 1
  • Tao Okamoto2%▲ 2
  • Mariana di Girolamo1%
  • Margaret Qualley1%
  • Gemma Chan1%▼ 1
  • Danielle Deadwyler1%
  • Isabella Rossellini1%
  • Olivia Colman1%
  • Parker Posey<1%
  • Inde Navarrette<1%
  • Betty Gilpin<1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $261 today · $41.6K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Supporting Actress

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

44%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey44%▼ 2
  • You Can See Everything28%▼ 3
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three6%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 4
  • Andrew Scott85%
  • John Malkovich84%▼ 4
16 more
  • John Turturro47%▲ 4
  • Tom Cruise45%▼ 20
  • Ryan Gosling44%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson44%▼ 1
  • Anthony Ippolito39%▲ 8
  • Sebastian Stan18%▼ 1
  • Jaafar Jackson18%▲ 1
  • Pedro Pascal17%▲ 1
  • Timothée Chalamet11%▼ 2
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Javier Bardem5%
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Brad Pitt5%▲ 1
  • Josh O'Connor4%▼ 1
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • La Bola Negra96%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three88%
  • Project Hail Mary77%▲ 1
  • The Debut77%
  • You Can See Everything76%▼ 5
  • I Play Rocky62%▲ 19
  • The Invite61%
  • All of a Sudden38%
  • Fjord34%▼ 2
  • Obsession31%▼ 1
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth24%▲ 2
  • Elsinore24%▼ 7
  • Digger19%
  • Behemoth!18%▲ 2
  • Michael12%▲ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday7%
  • Disclosure Day5%
  • Fatherland5%
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

91%The Debut
  • The Debut91%▲ 7
  • Wild Horse Nine89%▼ 6
  • Club Kid56%▼ 3
15 more
  • Obsession49%▼ 6
  • Fjord48%▲ 1
  • Elsinore34%▲ 9
  • Behemoth!21%▼ 3
  • The Drama21%▲ 1
  • Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma20%▲ 5
  • Digger13%
  • Josephine12%▲ 2
  • Forgotten Island5%▲ 1
  • The Odyssey4%
  • A Place in Hell4%
  • The Invite4%
  • Fatherland4%▼ 2
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth3%
  • The Black Ball2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

88%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway88%
  • Samantha Morton82%▲ 5
  • Penélope Cruz77%
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto61%▼ 2
  • Amanda Seyfried41%▲ 1
  • Kate O'Flynn34%▼ 8
  • Olivia Colman32%▲ 6
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▼ 4
  • Sandra Hüller25%▼ 5
  • Parker Posey21%▲ 1
  • Merritt Wever18%▼ 6
  • Gemma Chan10%▼ 5
  • Zendaya9%▲ 2
  • Danielle Deadwyler8%▼ 11
  • Betty Gilpin6%▲ 2
  • Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
  • Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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