Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $1K today · $42.5K traded · $10.9K at stake · prices read 5 min ago

The odds

51%Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway51%▲ 1
Amanda Seyfried26%
Penélope Cruz9%▲ 2
Kate O'Flynn5%▼ 1
Samantha Morton3%
Sandra Hüller2%
Tao Okamoto2%
Zendaya2%▼ 2
Mariana di Girolamo2%
Margaret Qualley1%
Gemma Chan1%
Danielle Deadwyler1%

5 more

Isabella Rossellini1%
Olivia Colman1%
Parker Posey<1%
Inde Navarrette<1%
Betty Gilpin<1%

How the odds have moved

Anne Hathaway: 51% on Oct 20, 51% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Anne Hathaway	51%	▲ 1	51¢	53¢	$1.89	$28.7K
Amanda Seyfried	26%		26¢	30¢	$3.34	$4.1K
Penélope Cruz	9%	▲ 2	9¢	11¢	$9.09	$2.5K
Kate O'Flynn	5%	▼ 1	3¢	9¢	$10.75	$320
Samantha Morton	3%		0¢	7¢	$15.15	$271
Sandra Hüller	2%		1¢	4¢	$24.39	$624
Tao Okamoto	2%		0¢	4¢	$25.00	$1.9K
Zendaya	2%	▼ 2	1¢	2¢	$41.67	$384
Mariana di Girolamo	2%		1¢	3¢	$34.48	$493
Margaret Qualley	1%		0¢	2¢	$58.82	$427
Gemma Chan	1%		0¢	2¢	$52.63	$355
Danielle Deadwyler	1%		0¢	1¢	$90.91	$395
Isabella Rossellini	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$244
Olivia Colman	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$136
Parker Posey	<1%		0¢	1¢		$465
Inde Navarrette	<1%		0¢	1¢		$766
Betty Gilpin	<1%		0¢	1¢		$415

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress (2027)Amanda SeyfriedKalshi 32%Polymarket 26%6 pts apart

Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress (2027)

49%Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway49%▲ 1
Amanda Seyfried32%▼ 4
Penélope Cruz6%▼ 1
Kate O'Flynn3%▼ 1

12 more

Zendaya2%
Inde Navarrette1%
Sandra Hüller1%
Gemma Chan1%
Tao Okamoto1%
Isabella Rossellini<1%
Margaret Qualley<1%
Betty Gilpin<1%
Mariana di Girolamo<1%
Danielle Deadwyler<1%
Parker Posey<1%
Tie<1%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Supporting Actress

Search ›

Anne Hathaway’s ‘Verity’ Shifts To Digital This Week After Colleen Hoover Adaptation Defies Critics To Become Theater HitForbes · 5 h agoVerity, the adaptation of Colleen Hoover’s bestselling novel of the same name starring Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett, arrives on digital streaming this week after becoming a hit in theaters despite a smattering of…
Why Not Be Anne Hathaway for Halloween?Vulture · 2 days agoAnne Hathaway had the biggest 2026 of any movie star, leaving behind a range of potential Halloween costumes. Which one is right for you? Things you buy through our links may earn Vox Media a commission. The hottest movie star of 2026 is…
WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning ActorWrestling Inc. · 12 h agoFormer World Heavyweight and Undisputed Champion Drew McIntyre says this renowned actor wants to join forces with him in the WWE. WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning Actor Once he comes back, WWE…
Film Screening of the 2026 Lithuanian submission for the Academy Awards – How to Divorce During the WarStanford University · 28 h agoStanford University Film Screening of the 2026 Lithuanian submission for the Academy Awards – How to Divorce During the War Join us for a film screening of Lithuania's submission for the Academy Awards with commentary from Maarja…
Neon joins the Guardian, MK2 on Academy Award-winning directors Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor’s NAZAthe Guardian · 3 days agoDocumentary, produced by James Wilson and executive-produced by Jonathan Glazer, premiered in Venice and won the special jury prize The Guardian’s head of investigations, Paul Lewis, and global head of multimedia, Nicole Jackson, said…
The Intern Korean Remake: How Han So-hee & Choi Min-sik’s Film Differs From Anne Hathaway’s OriginalKoimoi · 3 days agoRemaking a popular film is never easy. A new version can end up feeling like a copy of the original, or it can retain the heart of the story while finding its own identity. Director Kim Do-young’s 2026 adaptation of The Intern managed to…
‘You Can See Everything’ Oscar odds climb in every race, including Best Supporting ActressGold Derby · 4 days agoYou Can See Everything is starting to see Oscar buzz across the board. While Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim's film has been predicted for Best Documentary Feature since its first sneak-peek screening at the Telluride Film Festival in…
Zendaya Sets Best Actress Oscar Campaign for Dune: Part 3IGN · 2 days agoZendaya will reportedly campaign in the Best Actress category for her role as Chani in Dune: Part III in the upcoming Oscars race. “The move marks a shift from the first two films, where she was positioned in supporting actress,” said…
The 2011 movie Anne Hathaway launched a “full-frontal assault” to star inFar Out Magazine · 5 days agoWhen Anne Hathaway wants a role, no one can get in her way, which is why we see her dominating 2026 with a complete monopoly on popular culture discourse by being in five high-profile new releases. Despite seemingly having an infinite…
Zendaya Sets ‘Dune 3’ Oscar Campaign for Best Actress in Category Shake-Up (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 2 days agoZendaya is “Dune’s” leading lady. Multiple sources tell Variety that Zendaya will campaign for Oscar consideration in the lead actress category for her role as Chani in “Dune: Part Three,” the final chapter of Denis Villeneuve’s sci-fi…
Sequel to ‘Days of Thunder’ filmed in NC to star Tom Cruise, Anne HathawayCharlotte Observer · 3 days ago“Days of Thunder,” a NASCAR-centric 1990 movie that starred Tom Cruise and was filmed in the Charlotte area, is set to get a sequel in 2028. Nearly four decades after playing character Cole Trickle in the original movie, Cruise revealed in…
Clayface Just Broke a Comic Book Movie Record & Beat An Academy Award WinnerComicBook.com · 3 days ago(Sr. Writer/Editor) Kofi Outlaw has a B.A. in writing and film studies. He then earned a Master’s Degree in creative writing from The New School in NYC, where he became editor of Screenrant.com when it was just a hobby blog. Kofi…

Related markets

All awards ›

Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey

The Odyssey48%▲ 4
You Can See Everything27%▼ 2
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

85%NAZA

NAZA85%
You Can See Everything80%▼ 7
Once Upon a Time in Harlem67%▲ 5

7 more

American Doctor63%
14th39%▲ 1
Nuisance Bear37%▲ 6
One in a Million33%▲ 6
Musk26%
Tutu23%▼ 1
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%▲ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

99%The Odyssey

The Odyssey99%▲ 1
The Black Ball95%
Wild Horse Nine91%

50 more

Dune: Part Three83%
You Can See Everything80%
Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
The Debut74%
The Invite62%▲ 2
I Play Rocky57%
Artificial56%▲ 1
All of a Sudden37%
Fjord35%
Obsession34%▲ 1
Elsinore30%▲ 2
Wildwood26%▼ 3
Digger23%
Club Kid22%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▼ 1
Being Heumann18%▲ 1
Possible Love17%▲ 1
Behemoth16%
Michael12%
Primetime10%
Ink8%▲ 2
Josephine6%
Sense and Sensibility6%
Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 1
Saturn Return5%
Minotaur4%
Misty Green4%▲ 1
The Drama4%
Paper Tiger4%
The Whisper Man4%
Clarissa4%▲ 1
Disclosure Day3%
Werwulf3%▼ 3
Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
Cry to Heaven3%▼ 1
Parallel Tales3%
1949 / Fatherland3%▼ 1
Rose3%
The Uprising3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
The Death of Robin Hood3%
Backrooms3%▲ 1
The Entertainment System Is Down2%
Hope2%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%▲ 1
I Love Boosters2%
Jack of Spades2%
Tony2%
Bucking Fastard2%
The Social Reckoning1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

94%The Odyssey

The Odyssey94%
Dune: Part Three78%▼ 4
Project Hail Mary64%

6 more

Fatherland45%
Digger37%▲ 7
Werwulf35%▼ 10
Obsession16%▼ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth15%
Josephine10%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Director (2027)

97%Christopher Nolan

Christopher Nolan97%
Javier Calvo89%
Martin McDonagh71%▲ 1

24 more

Nathan Fielder65%▲ 1
Denis Villeneuve58%▲ 2
Olivia Wilde51%▲ 1
Ryusuke Hamaguchi33%▲ 1
Cristian Mungiu28%
Jesse Eisenberg24%
Phil Lord12%
Alejandro González Iñárritu12%▲ 2
Curry Barker10%
Christopher Miller10%▲ 1
David Fincher9%▲ 2
Paweł Pawlikowski8%▲ 1
Tony Gilroy8%▲ 1
Steven Spielberg6%▼ 1
Mike Leigh5%▼ 6
Andrew Haigh5%
Joel Coen5%
Ben Affleck5%▲ 2
Na Hong-jin4%
Greta Gerwig4%
Beth de Araujo4%
Danny Boyle3%
Janus Metz Pedersen3%
James Ashcroft2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

90%The Odyssey

The Odyssey90%▲ 13
The Black Ball76%▲ 6
Dune: Part Three74%▲ 2

9 more

Sense and Sensibility67%▲ 7
The Devil Wears Prada 254%▲ 12
I Love Boosters50%▼ 3
Werwulf49%▲ 3
Wuthering Heights44%▲ 11
Michael40%▲ 3
Wild Horse Nine28%▲ 7
Digger28%▲ 4
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJun 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$42.5K

Today$1K

This week$2.5K

At stake$10.9K

In the news13 headlines today, 315 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions