Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score) (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $6.7K traded · $3.4K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

64%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey64%▲ 1
  • Dune: Part Three16%
  • Disclosure Day7%
  • The Black Ball5%
  • Project Hail Mary4%
  • Cry to Heaven3%
  • The Drama2%
  • Whalefall2%
  • Tie2%
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth1%
  • Wild Horse Nine<1%
1 more
  • The Social Reckoning<1%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 65% on Oct 20, 64% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
The Odyssey 64% ▲ 1 64¢ 67¢ $1.49 9.3K
Dune: Part Three 16% 16¢ 21¢ $4.76 1.7K
Disclosure Day 7% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 619
The Black Ball 5% 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 1.3K
Project Hail Mary 4% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 894
Cry to Heaven 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 96.00
The Drama 2% 4¢ $25.00 3.2K
Whalefall 2% 4¢ $25.00 292
Tie 2% 4¢ $25.00 111
The Mandalorian and Grogu 1% 3¢ $33.33 57.00
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 1% 2¢ $50.00 209
Wild Horse Nine <1% 1¢ $100.00
The Social Reckoning <1% 1¢ $100.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

64%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey64%▲ 1
  • Dune: Part Three18%
  • Project Hail Mary6%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball5%▼ 1
8 more
  • Whalefall5%
  • Wild Horse Nine4%
  • Disclosure Day4%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth2%
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Music

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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

43%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey43%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything28%▼ 1
  • La Bola Negra14%
24 more
  • Dune: Part Three7%▼ 1
  • Digger4%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial<1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Behemoth!<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Tony<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • I Play Rocky<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Saturn Return<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Clarissa<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fatherland<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

88%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway88%
  • Penélope Cruz77%
  • Samantha Morton76%
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto62%▼ 5
  • Amanda Seyfried45%▼ 14
  • Kate O'Flynn42%▲ 2
  • Olivia Colman31%▲ 3
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▼ 2
  • Sandra Hüller24%▼ 6
  • Parker Posey21%
  • Merritt Wever18%▲ 5
  • Gemma Chan12%▲ 3
  • Danielle Deadwyler11%▲ 7
  • Zendaya7%▼ 1
  • Betty Gilpin6%▲ 2
  • Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
  • Margaret Qualley3%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette1%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

92%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon92%▼ 3
  • John Malkovich89%▲ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%
16 more
  • Tom Cruise50%▼ 13
  • John Turturro45%▲ 2
  • Anthony Ippolito45%▲ 14
  • Ryan Gosling44%▼ 4
  • Robert Pattinson44%▼ 1
  • Sebastian Stan19%
  • Jaafar Jackson17%
  • Pedro Pascal16%▲ 2
  • Timothée Chalamet11%▼ 2
  • Sam Rockwell7%▲ 2
  • Javier Bardem5%
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Josh O'Connor5%▼ 1
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong2%▲ 1

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▼ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three88%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary77%
  • The Debut77%
  • You Can See Everything76%▼ 6
  • The Invite60%▼ 2
  • I Play Rocky57%▲ 14
  • All of a Sudden38%▲ 1
  • Fjord34%▼ 2
  • Obsession32%▲ 2
  • Elsinore24%▼ 7
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth22%▼ 2
  • Digger19%
  • Behemoth!19%▲ 3
  • Michael11%
  • Avengers: Doomsday7%
  • Disclosure Day5%
  • Fatherland5%
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

91%The Debut
  • The Debut91%▲ 7
  • Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 4
  • Club Kid59%▼ 2
15 more
  • Obsession55%▲ 10
  • Fjord51%▲ 4
  • Elsinore34%▲ 9
  • Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma20%▲ 4
  • Behemoth!18%▼ 5
  • The Drama16%▼ 4
  • Josephine13%▲ 4
  • Digger13%▼ 1
  • Fatherland6%▲ 3
  • Forgotten Island5%▲ 2
  • The Odyssey4%
  • The Invite4%
  • A Place in Hell4%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth3%
  • The Black Ball2%

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%▲ 15
  • The Black Ball97%▲ 15
  • You Can See Everything59%▼ 2
10 more
  • Wild Horse Nine57%▼ 6
  • Dune: Part Three47%▼ 17
  • Project Hail Mary38%▲ 1
  • Fjord31%▲ 1
  • The Debut22%▼ 21
  • The Invite19%▼ 10
  • Elsinore17%▲ 1
  • Digger16%
  • Ink14%
  • Club Kid12%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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